Mr Torchey Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Crushed here. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 It is an odd look to a storm. Almost looks like a wintry slop gyre with a fire hose coming in off the Atlantic. Certainly an atypical look compred to most KU noreasters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 4mb weaker at 57hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Man--it really push the 850 far inland. Looks like a line from just south of BOS to HVN at 57h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Warm. Ncep won't back down. Phase is slower, moisture further NW. Wet and warmer And yeah... quite warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
capecod04 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Beginning to think slushy couple inches for us in South Shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 70kts at 925 60 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Low moves SE between 48 and 54? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Low moves SE between 48 and 54? Is it going to retro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Its cuts everything off a bit sooner/further south so it loses its cold air drain from Maine sooner. The dynamics look weaker too which also plays a factor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 4mb weaker at 57hr This run probably will mark the beginning of the ncep pinch. Surface low is displaced south. Axis or heaviest is shifted south. It's starting I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Is that a sleet signal? 850 AOA 0 and 925 AOB? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Pretty much the same script as many others this winter. Ncep stuff should begin to move thataway. Less interaction from the north, weaker storm, less dynamics, warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 at 63, the 850 runs from Amesbury over the mastiff to NW NJ. Need to cool things down a little bit. Fortunatley, much qpf prior to that warming. Not sure if it's all snow, but it's an awful lot of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Its cuts everything off a bit sooner/further south so it loses its cold air drain from Maine sooner. The dynamics look weaker too which also plays a factor. A good visualization on a loop is this: 00z NAM: http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/WRFEAST_0z/wrfloop.html 21z NMM: http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ETAEAST_0z/etaloop.html Notice how the 21z NMM has the upper air low further north and doesn't pinch it off from the northern energy as soon...thus it is much colder than the NAM which cuts it off from the north and drifts it east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Still a huge qpf dump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 lol DT...grasping at anything for his 2-4" call. ** HUGE SNOW FOR NEW ENGLAND COMING ***Um.. not this is the 15z SREF.. short range ensemble forecastit takes a mean of 15 weather models to see what the % saysas you can see the chances of NEW ENGLAND 8" of snow are under 20% ... Much less 1-2 feet He forgot to mention that those probs are for every 12 hours...and where he has forecasted for 12" is also under that same 20% for 8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 NCEP guidance will probably cave to a point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 So the nam is the least dynamic the past 2 runs hence the warmest at mid levels. Still chilly lower levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Great run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Great run For us yes, for east of here, alot of warm air comes in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
capecod04 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 So Balt/DC gets 1-2' and Boston gets a sloppy few inches... Makea sense lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Beautiful NAM here, one of those rare scenarios where I'm snow and it's a cold rain for most... (Is something wrong with the forum? It seems to have trouble loading, and has been very slow...) -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Beautiful NAM here, one of those rare scenarios where I'm snow and it's a cold rain for most... (Is something wrong with the forum? It seems to have trouble loading, and has been very slow...) -skisheep Think it crashed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 NAM doesnt' really involve the northern s/w at all until very late in the game. That's different than all of the earlier models including the 12z Euro. I'm tending to think this is the NAM whacking it and not finding the golden nugget. (as it pertains to the 48+ hour time frame, not speaking of down the coast) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Good night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Soon as the thread got pinned again. Rgem coming in now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 For us yes, for east of here, alot of warm air comes in. Yep, brings back nightmare memories from 09-10 these things can really throw back some marine taint not to mention the air mass to the northeast is not all that cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Soon as the thread got pinned again. Rgem coming in now. Lets hope it continues from hour 48 as it appeared at 18z! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 If the 00z NAM verified, Kev would beat me by like 40" on the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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