Ginx snewx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Lol at the end it's colder and puts down 6-18 across the region and some are in the lawn thread, as Kev would say what in the Sam Hell is going on in here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
capecod04 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 but Indianapolis was tagge tag Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 Some more 09z SREF stuff. That's 24"+ for areas just SW of BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 A little surprised there's no watches out.... Could still be a "meh" sloppy rain/snow.... not 100% convinced (but I told my peeps here 6-10") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Its definitely going to be very difficult to figure out exactly how the LLJ firehose sets up off the Atlantic...the Ukie barely gets it into SE MA...GFS does bring it decently north, but just not as far inland (still giving coastal ME/PWM over an inch of qpf)...RGEM looks like it would be probably in between. But if this starts to sag back SE a bit over the next 24 hours, then nobody will see much of anything. Maybe a few inches in the hills...perhaps some in SE MA. We'll just have to see how the whole thing evolves...I remember that one 00z suite about 48 hours out before the blizzard all went SE and then the Euro came in stout again...will be interesting to see the Euro this time...see if it holds steady or even tries to tick NW while all the other models seem to have more wild swings. GFS is virtually the only model getting precip this far north, That's why i have a hard time buying into this storm up here anyways Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Could someone tell me how to get a QPF read out from the EC with the wundermaps? I don't see the option in the drop down list of "map types".where do you live, I will tell you as I can not post it here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Bob...what product is that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Lol at the end it's colder and puts down 6-18 across the region and some are in the lawn thread, as Kev would say what in the Sam Hell is going on in here? We all do not live in eastern new england.........The GFS and its Ens were locked and loaded for consecutive runs, they just completely pulled the plug and give people here a borderline dusting. I am happy for eastern mass........and hope this se trend is over for there sake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 Bob...what product is that? Got it off of FB courtesy of Tri-State Weather. It's a Wright-Weather map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mostman Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 where do you live, I will tell you as I can not post it here Westford, MA. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 GFS gives me a foot.....my gut tells me not to expect much; just too many red flags. 2-5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
capecod04 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Not sure if it means anything down the road but Indianapolis was forecasting 3-6'' some models up to 8. But its been 36 and rain all morning which is not what's forrcasted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Lol at the end it's colder and puts down 6-18 across the region and some are in the lawn thread, as Kev would say what in the Sam Hell is going on in here? If every model agreed with the GFS general depiction I'd probably go 1-3 most areas in CT and maybe 3-6 out by you. It's just an ugly setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 We all do not live in eastern new england.........The GFS and its Ens were locked and loaded for consecutive runs, they just completely pulled the plug and give people here a borderline dusting. I am happy for eastern mass........and hope this se trend is over for there sake. This. Usually it's one or two wierd GFS runs, but it took seven runs of the GFS and nine of the GEFS to figure out it was out to lunch. When somethings locked in for that long, you feel like you have to beleive it, and of course, right after you accept it, it pulls the rug out on you. From now on, my forecasts are miniumum 70/30 EURO, GFS is on autotoss, it's that useless, you can't beleive what it's showing even inside 36 hours anymore. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Not sure if it means anything down the road but Indianapolis was forecasting 3-6'' some models up to 8. But its been 36 and rain all morning which is not what's forrcasted Nothing would not surprise me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Got it off of FB courtesy of Tri-State Weather. It's a Wright-Weather map. Thanks. I had not seen it like that before. Still..it's the SREFs...just all fancy-like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Not sure if it means anything down the road but Indianapolis was forecasting 3-6'' some models up to 8. But its been 36 and rain all morning which is not what's forrcasted Its not supposed to snow there until tonight. The drizzle and mid 30s was expected at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Not sure if it means anything down the road but Indianapolis was forecasting 3-6'' some models up to 8. But its been 36 and rain all morning which is not what's forrcasted Yes. It means that it's raining in Indy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 This. Usually it's one or two wierd GFS runs, but it took seven runs of the GFS and nine of the GEFS to figure out it was out to lunch. When somethings locked in for that long, you feel like you have to beleive it, and of course, right after you accept it, it pulls the rug out on you. From now on, my forecasts are miniumum 70/30 EURO, GFS is on autotoss, it's that useless, you can't beleive what it's showing even inside 36 hours anymore. -skisheep your words read as though it's Saturday and it's post -mortem on the event. duh, nothings happened yet - you don't know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Lol at the end it's colder and puts down 6-18 across the region and some are in the lawn thread, as Kev would say what in the Sam Hell is going on in here? Steve, sometimes you have to stop smoking snow algorythms and just go with your intuition.......doesn't this just seem "messy"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Westboro had over 1.5 qpf and 15 of snow on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
capecod04 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Its not supposed to snow there until tonight. The drizzle and mid 30s was expected at this point.no its noti checked their site. They have mixes precip becoming all snow. Their 850s are borderline however but plain rain wasnt forecasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 your words read as though it's Saturday and it's post -mortem on the event. duh, nothings happened yet - you don't know. No, we don't know anything, but the fact that it caved to the EURO as a massive shift after seven runs and inside 36 hours is a failure, no other way to spin it. I've given up anything more than 6" here unless the EURO pulls a JMA, but I think 2-4" still has a shot. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 The GGEM is a glancing blow followed by a norlun kind of signature Thursday night and Friday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
capecod04 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Yes. It means that it's raining in Indy.thanks geez.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Steve, sometimes you have to stop smoking snow algorythms and just go with your intuition.......doesn't this just seem "messy"?curious because I have not seen an algorithm, I await the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 your words read as though it's Saturday and it's post -mortem on the event. duh, nothings happened yet - you don't know. Well...the NCEP stuff was tossable the last several runs and I think I said as much. It's just that people want to believe. It's job was done in signaling the threat, from here on out ride the Euro, or perhaps a Euro/GGEM compromise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 If every model agreed with the GFS general depiction I'd probably go 1-3 most areas in CT and maybe 3-6 out by you. It's just an ugly setup.You would Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mostman Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Westboro had over 1.5 qpf and 15 of snow on the Euro Westborough is different than Westford - but that number tracks close (about .3 higher) to what I can add up. I wish wundermap had total QPF - not just frame by frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 You would I dunno if people want to rip and read QPF output that's fine. There's a chance it verifies. I just don't like the look. Not sure what else there is to add. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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