weathafella Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Its trending a bit colder...most guidance did last night. Thanks Will. Enjoy the train ride. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Thanks Will. Enjoy the train ride. QPF should be people's main worry over temps right now unless you are in far SE areas like the Cape and south coast of MA/RI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 that's what I am seeing. A NW RI special, the squeeze box will be going in and out and in and out. lol. Invitations for all to go sledding on his trails if a big hit verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 QPF should be people's main worry over temps right now unless you are in far SE areas like the Cape and south coast of MA/RI. Do you think temps will be an issue for down here if we can get a GFS/NAM/SREF like solution to verify?(1 inch plus QPF) -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 The gfs sounding is cold for BOS. I know Will is big on 950-900 temps in the high hills, but it's quite important for the coast too. Good snow sounding at hr 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Do you think temps will be an issue for down here if we can get a GFS/NAM/SREF like solution to verify?(1 inch plus QPF) -skisheep I'm sure they will be at least part of the time that far south, but if you get heavy precip, you'll get your share of snow too. You just don't want 1.00" of qpf slow-burned over 40 hours. That prob wont get it done on the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 lol. Invitations for all to go sledding on his trails if a big hit verifies. Well my TV Mets still buying a rain storm so who knows. WHEN are you guys all coming to Sled at CN Mountain???? Back on Topic - Interesting after the dust settled to see the the GGEM about the Furthest OTS model after the Caving war waged yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 How come no one is talking about how the 6z GFS was More SE and NAM was a Total and complete disaster? Euro is king lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I'm sure they will be at least part of the time that far south, but if you get heavy precip, you'll get your share of snow too. You just don't want 1.00" of qpf slow-burned over 40 hours. That prob wont get it done on the coast. Makes sense, it's probably rates more than anything that matters. What is usually seen as heavy enough precip to get it done? .25"+ in 6 hours? -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I thought we did say the gfs was se and we'll need to see the 12z runs before getting excited here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I see. But everytime attlehole looks to beat me out just to spite me something happens either there or here allowing me to do better. Let's see if it happens again. speak to that.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I thought box laid it out with good discussion and pointed out whqt could happen good or bad and lets wait to nail it down. arriving 9:40pm Wed at Logan. Could the blizzard please come after midnight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I like the 6z NAM NORLUN signature for Friday lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Srefs are robust and cold. 2.5+ inside 128. 2+ BDL-ORH eastward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 09z SREFs are out. Keeps everyone beloe 0c at 850mb, save for CC and extreme SE MA Coast. Looks like a 2"+ bullseye over interior SE MA. General 1"+ for all of Eastern areas. 0.5" W of that up into CNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 09z SREFs are out. Keeps everyone beloe 0c at 850mb, save for CC and extreme SE MA Coast. Looks like a 2"+ bullseye over interior SE MA. General 1"+ for all of Eastern areas. 0.5" W of that up into CNE. my qpf is total and not 24 hours so yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 09z SREFs are out. Keeps everyone beloe 0c at 850mb, save for CC and extreme SE MA Coast. Looks like a 2"+ bullseye over interior SE MA. General 1"+ for all of Eastern areas. 0.5" W of that up into CNE. my qpf is total and not 24 hours so yes. wow, nice. Is that over 48hrs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 srefs are way down the last few runs for CT.. if these trends continue.. CT can kiss this snowstorm goodbye.. .75-1" qpf stretched out with some of it during sunlight will not accumulate much on March 6th.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I like the 6z NAM NORLUN signature for Friday lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 my qpf is total and not 24 hours so yes. Yes. SREFs are a solid hit and match the Op Euro in that general idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Wow Srefs. Crusher for BDL east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Noyes tweeting about high water content impacting accums. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Not saying a bigger event isn't possible but at least right now I'm disappointed with the overnight trends. Agree. I'm pretty bulish for the elevated interior. I understand the reason to be cautious on the CP and certainly in the CT River valley...but interior hills should get clocked as long as this doesn't go back SE. Its plenty cold enough. Elevated c/e interior. I'm not concerned about temps here at all...its all about qpf. Will's channelling me. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 This is one of the first storms in a while where it seems as if we are getting one big TROWAL or isentropic bomb instead of depending on banding features. There are little links at 700mb that might drive periods of heavier precip, but that's a classic moisture train off the Atlantic. Usually those are kind to ern mass, so long as they materialize. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 SREF's still look like 1.5" here, spread out over a large chunk of time though which isn't good, although it's probably a nice storm none the less. Temps looked cold compared to other guidance, positive sign. They really didn't change much from 3z, being south is going to be a benifit for this storm in terms of QPF, not temps though. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 The GFS is a damaging wind event across a lot of SNE too. Would expect to see wind gusts up to 50 knots in a lot of areas of CT/RI/E MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 The GFS is a damaging wind event across a lot of SNE too. Would expect to see wind gusts up to 50 knots in a lot of areas of CT/RI/E MAEuro isn't that high though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Euro isn't that high though I don't have wind products for the Euro... but yeah... the Euro is a much weaker and more OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 The GFS is a damaging wind event across a lot of SNE too. Would expect to see wind gusts up to 50 knots in a lot of areas of CT/RI/E MA Multiple hazards for many. Completelly meh for many as well. Typical NE weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Accuweather map, very unlike them in that it's actually reasonable and not totally hyped... Aside from being too far west with the 6-12, and I'm not sure immediate NYC sees 3-6", other than that, good map. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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