moneypitmike Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Interesting mention of that Feb 2010 boo boo Any thoughts? Once bitten, twice shy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 We just called to say we love you Except you are on the western fringe. I'd be careful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Once bitten, twice shy?You should buy in Ashburnham WestminsterGFS moving SE as expected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Except you are on the western fringe. I'd be careful. I figured you'd find some way to debbie it down. You didn't have one positive post overnight lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I have six more hours before I stick a fork in it for anything more than advisory snows out here. Total qpf might be reasonalbe (.5-.75), but long duration=slow accummulation. Probably wet = compaction. Any snow's good snow though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 This is confusing to me, Upton says they are riding the EURO, yet have rain until 10 PM wednesday down here? I thought the EURO was colder than the GFS, and even after the changeover they still only have 1-2" inches. Either I'm crazy, or this just dosen't make sense. Also shocked that BOX does not have a watch out for many of it's zones, this thing is less than 48 hours in and pretty much everything except the GGEM is a big hit, it's time to sound the alarms. Upton map, no map from BOX yet. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Except you are on the western fringe. I'd be careful. Flags? You got 'em? Let's see 'em. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Non event here little snow little rain, glad I did not bite yesterday. 48 hr interruption quick and easy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 You should buy in Ashburnham Westminster GFS moving SE as expected Yeah--that's the place to be this winter. Particuialrly the last month. You might eek out a snow day though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 This is confusing to me, Upton says they are riding the EURO, yet have rain until 10 PM wednesday down here? I thought the EURO was colder than the GFS, and even after the changeover they still only have 1-2" inches. Either I'm crazy, or this just dosen't make sense. Also shocked that BOX does not have a watch out for many of it's zones, this thing is less than 48 hours in and pretty much everything except the GGEM is a big hit, it's time to sound the alarms. Upton map, no map from BOX yet. -skisheep No reason to put a watch up now with the uncertainty. There's time to allow the 12z suite to influence that deicision. The lack of HWO is surprising though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 No reason to put a watch up now with the uncertainty. There's time to allow the 12z suite to influence that deicision. The lack of HWO is surprising though. Upton does have a HWO, suprised Taunton doesn't Just looked at the EURO text more closely, it's almost all rain for here despite the increase in QPF. Caved to the NAM on temps and the GFS for QPF. This is sort of what I feared, that it would end up too amped and we'd get rain. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 BDL flights cancel uncancel. Long duration, moderate total accumulation. Very manageable. Congrats, worcester again. lol I wonder what the percentage of winter stroms is where you can't say that. Luckily we've kept out expectations low out this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Non event here little snow little rain, glad I did not bite yesterday. 48 hr interruption quick and easy! I'd still be concerned with coastal flooding down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Upton does have a HWO, suprised Taunton doesn't Just looked at the EURO text more closely, it's almost all rain for here despite the increase in QPF. Caved to the NAM on temps and the GFS for QPF. This is sort of what I feared, that it would end up too amped and we'd get rain. -skisheep euro is 3-6 or so even for your area..I saw the snow maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Upton does have a HWO, suprised Taunton doesn't Just looked at the EURO text more closely, it's almost all rain for here despite the increase in QPF. Caved to the NAM on temps and the GFS for QPF. This is sort of what I feared, that it would end up too amped and we'd get rain. -skisheep They issued one at 417 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Anyone see the Euro ens qpf? Were they even juicier than op? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I thought the box discussion was well done. Euro is now the coldest and snowiest for mby. Today hopefully we see better consensus in all of the guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Kevin going 12-16! for the ne hills of ct. wow, go big or go home. Snow is a NON issue for most of Ct, a little bit of coastal flooding, but this is really turned into no big deal for our state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Kevin going 12-16! for the ne hills of ct. wow, go big or go home. Snow is a NON issue for most of Ct, a little bit of coastal flooding, but this is really turned into no big deal for our state. Careful. Although without an east facing coastline may be.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 They issued one at 417 am. Thanks for pointing that out. Too bad they don't have any notification that it's there via coding on the main page or links from the p/c forecast pages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Kevin going 12-16! for the ne hills of ct. wow, go big or go home. Snow is a NON issue for most of Ct, a little bit of coastal flooding, but this is really turned into no big deal for our state. What are you taling about? Euro gets an inch of qpf back to HFD..It gives you 3-6 minimum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 lol I wonder what the percentage of winter stroms is where you can't say that. Luckily we've kept out expectations low out this way. I will admit that the 12/18z runs yesterday had me starting to take a sip of the Kool-Aid. I saw the GFS last night and hopes began to diminish. Now, back to square one. Alas. At least the 10-12" pack's not going anywhere fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I'm really surprised at how cold the euro is. Remember, it was too cold 2/23. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Careful. Although without an east facing coastline may be.... Oh our beach faces east, yeah some minor flooding, but the snow threat is gone here, and for most of the state, the big snow threat..........6z nam and gfs were tame to say the least. Euro is warm here, and long duration. I like c-2 here minor coastal flooding, a far far far cry from yesterday and glad I stayed conservative and waited to see if the gfs would buckle and the Euro would meet it half way. Once again the gfs fails, because its forecast so greatly effect SENSIBLE weather.........thats what makes the Euro so great, when it fails it usually does not effect sensible weather, it usually fails being a bit conservative, not like the gfs giving me 2 ft of snow and winds gusting to 60 mph. Awful, awful model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
capecod04 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Matt Noyes going for 6-10'' 1''-3''south Shore 2-4'' Boston. At least thats what his map shows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 What are you taling about? Euro gets an inch of qpf back to HFD..It gives you 3-6 minimum. Talking about realityville............Uptons HWO is supertame this morning compared to yesterday..............expecting minor coastal flooding, a couple areas moderate, winds gusting 40-50 Down from 50-60 yesterday, and 1-3 inches of snow. I think we can handle that LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Based on what I see in the UVV fields and CCB diagnostics, 3 hourly precip, and column temps I'd probably go 3-7" of snow for the majority of the city of boston despite higher qpf numbers. Plus, verbatim on the nam it's not all snow the whole time there. There will be a nice wintry appeal, but as far as adding up it will be real tough. what about your take for snh and s me? Since you are focusing on sne I guess you think nbd up here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I figured you'd find some way to debbie it down. You didn't have one positive post overnight lol. I was posting concerns for mby which people agreed on. I'd feel better if you were east, but I think you are good for 6-10 maybe 8-12 for now. Sometimes with these erly flow firehoses the moisture gets rung out by ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 SREF plumes for ORH. Kinda two camps...one mean is 10" and the mean for the other camp is like 28. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Can someone talk Joe off the ledge..He's sounding like DT. I read Joe's posts all night about how he's happy with 1 foot and high winds and something happened in 2 hours to make him change his mind lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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