Zir0b Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Jesus...let's be careful what we wish for. At this rate of trending we're going to be dealing with major rain issues even away from the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 hr 63 CCB continues to be overhead...surface freezing right over manhattan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Hr 63 is just pure love Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Jesus...let's be careful what we wish for. At this rate of trending we're going to be dealing with major rain issues even away from the coast I wouldn't be so sure...for two reasons. One the NAM is likely too amped (imo). 2, this is dynamically driven snow in the CCB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Jesus...let's be careful what we wish for. At this rate of trending we're going to be dealing with major rain issues even away from the coast Wrong, it's snow for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 hr 63 CCB continues to be overhead...surface freezing right over manhattan I'm sure Central Park would get down to 32/32 with those rates...once heavy snow starts to fall, you usually drop to freezing pretty quickly. The airmass depicted is not that bad considering the time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
christhesnowman Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 whoever called me out at hr 42 and deleted their post thank u... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 This prob VERBATIM ends up being 1-2" QPF areawide! Seems at hour 60 QPF shield is actually expanding NW... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGod Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Hr 63 is just pure love Mother of God? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Through Hr 69 outside of Long Island where surface temps would be an issue it's a massive hit for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowyCane22 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Wrong, it's snow for everyone. even along the central new jersey coast? Toms river/seaside? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Dang. 63 and 66. Wow!!! I would pay good money for this!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
christhesnowman Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 sim radar at hour 60 is pretty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 at 69-72 the 850 line begins to head back west, but at that point the damage is done. 1.75 city east. Much of that paste. Id estimate that roughly 1.2 or so falls in the CCB as dynamically driven paste for the immediate metro area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Hr 72 it's stacking up and stalling. Light snow continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Wrong, it's snow for everyone. Yes, for now. But the significant NW shift keeps occuring with every cycle of model runs. When does it stop? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Mother of God? As close as we could hope for divine intervention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 even along the central new jersey coast? Toms river/seaside? Snow maps show 3-6" for most of the Jersey shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leemhoc Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Omg, look at 24 hour precip, 1.75-2.00 region wide more eastern LI!! Dynamics are great and heavy precip so I presume a lot would be snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 BOS actually goes rain fairly early on this one...We might change over to rain at the very end of precip...NYC coming in at about 1.75" - 2" all/mostly snow...1.5" QPF into NC NJ....WOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowyCane22 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Snow maps show 3-6" for most of the Jersey shore. appreciate you answering my questions...I am philly area transplant but seems like theres not much of a place for coastline new jersey weather freaks around here lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 it is a lot of snow if you're north/west of the 850 line and heres why; this isn't small amounts of precip over a long period of time, or even a modest amount over a short period of time. It is heavy precip that is due to the ccb developing overhead, driven by dynamics, producing a heavy pastejob. Once this thing occludes and rots there is no denying everything would warm up and some would change to drizzle. But as I said before, at that point the damage is done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Without getting into too may specifics based on the clown maps it's solid warning criteria for everyone. Nothing major but a general 4-10" with pockets of more and less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Ok, now the NW/N trend can stop.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Upton Potential impacts of northward trend and closer approach: Scattered Power Outages, Damaging Heavy Wet Snow, Coastal Flooding, High Surf and Beach Erosion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Mt. Holly has put up Coastal Flood Watches for the Jersey shore...likely to be the biggest high-impact weather event since Sandy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Through Hr 69 outside of Long Island where surface temps would be an issue it's a massive hit for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Upton Watch sounds like its upcoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Without getting into too may specifics based on the clown maps it's solid warning criteria for everyone. Nothing major but a general 4-10" with pockets of more and less. I'd take my chances under that ccb any day. And with heavy precip ongoing for almost 9 hours its going to be more than 4in, if this were to verify. I think this is likly one of those NAM hiccups where it shows a snow bomb somewhere. Likely not as amped and further southeast but lets see what the 18z gfs does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Long beach looks way better than suffolk though.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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