snowfan Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Damn thing is just crawling. Either we're going to get a few inches later this afternoon/evening or this is going to be the longest duration torture event ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Any chance now that this thing has nailed Richmond that it heads up and slams NJ-SNE? If that happens I'll have to assume some higher power hates us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Really? I live in South Riding area which is like 5 miles from Dulles if that, and I only have 3 maybe 4" I live off Loudoun County Parkway near the Greenway...I'd say we're nearing 5-6" but it's compacting a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SconnieTransplant Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Absolutely nothing. It's barely raining. The good news is, my felonious neighbors didn't try to steal my firewood this time around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Bob Ryan was right all along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Bob Ryan was right all along. No, he wasn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Bob Ryan was right all along. or initially.. overall he was all over the place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Bob Ryan was right all along. lol i bet he didn't even want to predict those amounts but you get suckered in when every other outlet is hyping. i was extremely skeptical about those larger amounts but really thought we could get 4" out of this. that's looking difficult right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Tenman is the MAN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Looks like that warm 18z GFS run was right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 lol i bet he didn't even want to predict those amounts but you get suckered in when every other outlet is hyping. i was extremely skeptical about those larger amounts but really thought we could get 4" out of this. that's looking difficult right now. I kinda wonder if everyone whipped eachother into a frenzy last night. All we talk about is the upside of instant communications but this could be a downside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongRanger Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Not surprisingly the low ratios, marginal temps, and melting have combined to disappoint the many who thought snowfall = accumulation in their backyard. About 4 inches have fallen here, but at best about 2 have accumulated, and some spots remain bare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 GGEM was way too warm couple days out but as it got closer it got more realistic. I think overall it handled temps/precip the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Looks like that warm 18z GFS run was right I was just thinking the same thing, so I went into the contest thread to remind myself of my entry numbers. I think I entered them after that run. I don't think I'll be too far off if we can get some deform in here a little later, but I'll bust hard for BWI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I kinda wonder if everyone whipped eachother into a frenzy last night. All we talk about is the upside of instant communications but this could be a downside. Yeah, when I went to sleep at 1:00 AM with snow starting to fall it seemed like this was a sure bet but in hindsight I am wondering why I expected anything other than what is happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I kinda wonder if everyone whipped eachother into a frenzy last night. All we talk about is the upside of instant communications but this could be a downside. oh no doubt about that. if every forecaster had to make a forecast on their own with this storm with no input from the outside i have a feeling some of the projected totals would have been lower due to temps alone and if there's one thing i've learned growing up in this area it's that we absolutely don't do complex scenarios very well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Found this a bit interesting. As the crow flies, the distance between Middle River (Western Shore) and Still Pond (Eastern Shore) is 15 miles. Sterling and Mt. Holly forecasts below. Middle River This Afternoon Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Patchy fog. High near 35. Windy, with a north wind around 26 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible. Tonight Snow, mainly before 3am. Areas of fog before 9pm. Low around 33. Breezy, with a north wind 17 to 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Still Pond This Afternoon Rain before 4pm, then snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 41. Windy, with a north wind around 26 mph, with gusts as high as 39 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Little or no snow accumulation expected. Tonight Snow, mainly before 4am. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 32. Breezy, with a north wind 20 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 44 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 If this storm fails to produce 2" in DCA I will cancel what has fallen and give them credit for an honorary snowless winter. Getting 1-2" when 8-12 was forecaster the night before is epic suckage, the likes of which no winters have recent times. could accomplish. And other subforums still wonder why everyone south of the MD line is a troll? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Yeah, when I went to sleep at 1:00 AM with snow starting to fall it seemed like this was a sure bet but in hindsight I am wondering why I expected anything other than what is happening. Those overnight obs were paired up with a modeled drop in temps, so it makes sense that we would have fallen for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I kinda wonder if everyone whipped eachother into a frenzy last night. All we talk about is the upside of instant communications but this could be a downside. Seriously, we went from still questioning everything, then 10 minutes later TWC posts there RPM and NWS goes nuts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 The one thing that will verify for me is the winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 6, 2013 Author Share Posted March 6, 2013 We all knew there was bust potential no matter what but wow. I'm scarred for life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 The one thing that will verify for me is the winds We do chilly winds really well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Gotta love how so many mets hold out till the last minute.. "still early. don't worry" heh Inb4 low topped squall lines and poor mid level lapse rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 If this storm fails to produce 2" in DCA I will cancel what has fallen and give them credit for an honorary snowless winter. Getting 1-2" when 8-12 was forecaster the night before is epic suckage, the likes of which no winters have recent times. could accomplish. And other subforums still wonder why everyone south of the MD line is a troll? this is a very difficult place to live if you enjoy snow. too many ingredients are needed which is why we only average 15" or so and as we know, that's largely due to our big winters. if i end up staying in this area long-term i'm going to need to reconsider where i want to live (maybe more towards the west or northwest). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sonickteam Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 STORMCON-7!!!! I'd hate to see Stormcon-4 or 3..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
haudidoody Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 heavy rain and strong winds here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 lol This Afternoon Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Patchy fog. High near 35. Windy, with a north wind 25 to 28 mph, with gusts as high as 39 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. Tonight Snow, mainly before 3am. Areas of fog before 9pm. Low around 34. Breezy, with a north wind 18 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 This is worse than getting dry slotted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 the most frustrating part is that the radar just looks fantastic. 5 degrees colder and we're not even having this discussion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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