thunderman Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 RAP would destroy most of northern Virginia with that deformation zone. Would fully expect some thundersnow within that with lapse rates around moist adiabatic off around h7/above CCB jet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I'm just wondering why the **** school isn't cancelled yet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 This storm is angry. It's going to make commutegeddem look like the valentines day storm of 2013 Look at the death band coming up I 95, nice dumping out of that band Im sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terpsnation Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I know it doesn't really matter much now, but...euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 1 AM measurement: 2.0 inches. Picked up 1 inch in the last hour. Heavy snow currently, temp down to 28.5F. All surfaces covered. Gorgeous out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikes923 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Went from nothing to a few flakes and now Mod. snow in Ellicott city in about 3 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terpsnation Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 NOAA just dropped my temps from 39 to 35 in the matter of 20 minutes. Hmm...it definitely does feel a lot colder outside now than it did when I went for a walk 30 mins ago, but I feel like I'm being fooled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 so i'm assuming south of fredericksburg should continue filling in? not sure i'm ready for that to come north yet lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 6, 2013 Author Share Posted March 6, 2013 The nam is my new long range model of choice and the euro just dropped below the cras Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 The NAM is going to be hugged and referred to in regard to this storm for years to come. Hope y'all are ready! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 ZCZC NFDSPENES ALLSPENESMDZ000-VAZ000-DCZ000-WVZ000-.SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 03/06/13 0609ZSATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 0545Z CW.LOCATION...MARYLAND...VIRGINIA...DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA...WEST VIRGINIA....ATTN WFOS...AKQ...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...ATTN RFCS...MARFC...OHRFC....EVENT...MOD/HVY SNOWS.SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WATER VAPOR LOOP SHOWS CLEAR AND DEFINEDBLOCKING PATTERN SETUP ACROSS THE NRN ATLANTIC WITH MULTIPLE AREAS OF LOWPRESSURE ALIGNED W TO E. THIS BLOCKING IS HELPING TO PREVENT STORM SYSTEMACROSS OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND MID ATLANTIC TO SLOW ITS ENE PROGRESSION.THIS SETUP IS KEEPING THE WEAKENING BAROCLINIC ZONE OVER IN/OH/WRN WVAND NEWLY FORMING COMMA HEAD (FROM DEVELOPING SFC LOW OVER NC) ACROSSERN VA/CENTRAL NRN VA/WRN AND CENTRAL MD/DC RATHER QUASI-STATIONARY ANDORIENTED W TO E. STRONG SHORTWAVE/PV ANOMALY IS SEEN RACING EWD AND OVERKY/TN ATTM. THIS UL FEATURE SHOULD FURTHER ENHANCE UVVS ALONG THE COMMAHEAD CLOUD SIGNATURE OVER THE NEXT 3-6 HRS. BELIEVE WITHIN THIS AREAOF THE STORM SYSTEM...AHEAD OF PV ANOMALY... IS WHERE THE BEST CHANCEFOR INTENSE MESO SNOW BANDS MIGHT SETUP AND TRACK S TO N OVER THE NEXTSEVERAL HRS FROM W-CENTRAL TO CENTRAL VA INTO NE WV/WRN AND CENTRAL MD/DC..AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION THREAT AREASHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY10-15 MINUTES..SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 0610-1210Z...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FACTOR IN SHORTTERM OUTLOOK...AXIS OF HEAVIEST SNOWS THROUGH 12Z LIKELY TO SETUP ACROSSA STRETCHED OUT AREA FROM W-CENTRAL TO CENTRAL VA/NE WV/WRN AND CENTRALMD/DC AS COMMA HEAD CLOUD SIGNATURE NOT LIKELY TO PROGRESS MUCH FURTHER NDUE TO BLOCKING SCENARIO. APPROACHING SHORTWAVE/PV ANOMALY SHOULD HELPFUEL HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES FOR THIS AREA WITH 1-2"/HR AND SOME LOCALLY2"+/HR RATES IN THE MOST INTENSE MESO BANDS......NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.....FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITEPRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE [email protected] PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/PCPN/.FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php.LAT...LON 3965 7766 3927 7655 3833 7689 3776 7833 3778 80223938 8037.NNNN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazeKing Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 so i'm assuming south of fredericksburg should continue filling in? not sure i'm ready for that to come north yet lol. I hope so cause I dont want that dryslot anywhere near here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 6, 2013 Author Share Posted March 6, 2013 I hope so cause I dont want that dryslot anywhere near here Don't radar hallucinate. Stick with exactly what the models show. Precip isnt stopping till after sunset tomorrow. There are beautiful things going on above our heads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Don't radar hallucinate. Stick with exactly what the models show. Precip isnt stopping till after sunset tomorrow. There are beautiful things going on above our heads. Boom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I'm getting up early to see the 1"+ rates that the RAP gives me this morning. Can't miss it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terpsnation Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 WUSA9 is all on board for calling this storm Snowquestration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazeKing Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Don't radar hallucinate. Stick with exactly what the models show. Precip isnt stopping till after sunset tomorrow. There are beautiful things going on above our heads. It's no hallucination look at the water vapor loop ...but I agree I'm eenjoying the heck out of this snow over 2 inches and rising. Once the low gets going itll fill back in..hopefully Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 sim radar from my own model for the event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 sim radar from my own model for the event *snip* If you want to play with the bull, you have to mess with the horns* *dryslot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Don't radar hallucinate. Stick with exactly what the models show. Precip isnt stopping till after sunset tomorrow. There are beautiful things going on above our heads. yea, but you can never be so sure around here lol. i'm just rollin' with what we have goin' and whatever happens happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Latest rpm clown map has a band of 6-12" running though the Delmarva...met from wboc posted on his fb... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 6, 2013 Author Share Posted March 6, 2013 yea, but you can never be so sure around here lol. i'm just rollin' with what we have goin' and whatever happens happens. Always draw a mental line with the Ull center to the west and waa shield to the east. The waa shield won't just keep spinning in these setups. It wants to park at 2-3 o'clock give or take. Yes, we can get totally fooked sometimes. But watching the motion of the southern extent of precip on radar and thinking it just keeps going is a mistake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I'm back for some fun... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Always draw a mental line with the Ull center to the west and waa shield to the east. The waa shield won't just keep spinning in these setups. It wants to park at 2-3 o'clock give or take. Yes, we can get totally fooked sometimes. But watching the motion of the southern extent of precip on radar and thinking it just keeps going is a mistake Yea I've learned that ull will enhance things...I'm seeing radar fill in again to the south. We are golden...just had to work our way down in temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Radar looks good IMO. Tho this band needs to cover my street or I might have to try going into work lol. It has until 8am to do dirty work. Grass already looks nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Also it's nice to see Ian going all weenie on us. Give me that band!!! Preferably before sunrise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Waking up at 330 to feed the baby isn't all that bad when it's snowing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Waking up at 330 to feed the baby isn't all that bad when it's snowing Baby and wife are still sleeping. I woke up *because* it's snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Waking up at 330 to feed the baby isn't all that bad when it's snowing Baby and wife are still sleeping. I woke up *because* it's snowing. I went to bed at 10, she last ate at 930, I'm super excited she went 6hrs between feedings! I'm going back to bed tho, working from home tomorrow so I'll see the snow allllll day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I guess I should say today since it is 4am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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