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March 6th Storm Banter Thread


Bob Chill

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He has been remarkably quiet all day. Not surprising.

 

I hate to kick him while he's down, but the schadenfreude of him starting his 3:06 PM post with "First this took awhile to update and complete because I had to change the forecastS for all my clients because my concept and overall scheme of what I thought was going to happen with the system has turned out to be disastrously wrong." is pretty sweet

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It just depends on how much above 1" liquid we go-- the more conservative Euro QPF would max us out, even if all snow, 8-9 inches. I'd say probably around 1" liquid was snow for mid-Montgomery County on 1/26/11 so that'd be the comparable amount.

All snow on the NAM would be ridiculous of course. 

 

Yeah.  If we end up with 1.25" liquid, figure that's 9-10" at 7-8:1 ratios.  Factor in some lost to evaporational cooling and initial melting, plus account for some compacting and melting during the daylight hours, I figure 6-7" is reasonable for maximum snow depth.  Obviously, if some of the NAM's crazy QPF numbers are right, we could break into double digits, but I've learned better than to let the NAM dictate my expectation levels.

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I was talking about the one between the Metro and Harris Teeter.  Not sure about the legality of ducking into the construction site.  I'm thinking there has to be a better spot to see snow.

 

Do you have roof access at your condo?

 

If you're up for a Jebwalk, head down the Pike to Georgetown Prep.  Their rolling hills are awesome in the snow.

Our outdoor common area is ok, just no grass, so hopefully temps will cooperate and not too much melting goes on on the brick and concrete. 

Otherwise, I might actually walk to the neighborhood when I turn right onto Tilden Lane from Old Georgetown. That neighborhood held onto snow for like a week longer after 1/26/11 than the landscaped areas in front of my building. 

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Link?

 

 I don't have a link, but someone posted this on DT's thread:

 

Curt Autry NBC 12

Being a meteorologist isn't an easy job - ours here at channel 12 are exceptional, and the other guys in town are no slouches either. But apparently there's a weather-guy online who routinely beats up on all the local weather folks, yet consistently butchers the forecast. Jealousy is like cancer, it can eat you up.

 

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Our outdoor common area is ok, just no grass, so hopefully temps will cooperate and not too much melting goes on on the brick and concrete. 

Otherwise, I might actually walk to the neighborhood when I turn right onto Tilden Lane from Old Georgetown. That neighborhood held onto snow for like a week longer after 1/26/11 than the landscaped areas in front of my building. 

 

chance IAD beats March 93?...35%?

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Our outdoor common area is ok, just no grass, so hopefully temps will cooperate and not too much melting goes on on the brick and concrete. 

Otherwise, I might actually walk to the neighborhood when I turn right onto Tilden Lane from Old Georgetown. That neighborhood held onto snow for like a week longer after 1/26/11 than the landscaped areas in front of my building. 

 

That's a nice wooded neighborhood.  

 

The old Bethesda Trolley Trail might also be a nice walk.

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I hate to kick him while he's down, but the schadenfreude of him starting his 3:06 PM post with "First this took awhile to update and complete because I had to change the forecastS for all my clients because my concept and overall scheme of what I thought was going to happen with the system has turned out to be disastrously wrong." is pretty sweet

 

:lmao:  Couldn't happen to a nicer more polite guy :popcorn: .

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College Park is a horrible place for snow, comparable to DCA in my opinion. The campus is in a highly urban setting with a heated ground. I've seen snow on the sidewalks melt on contact when it was 20 degrees. When elevation matters, it's gonna hurt being there if you want snow.

Dude, don't I know it.

 

I live about 200 feet north of 495 and about half a mile East of 95.  I'm hoping we get a little bit of good luck and have decent rates for a period of time.  There's a nice park and wooded area w/ paths through it behind where  I live.  I will be wandering around out there if I'm not on here complaining :P

 

Local TV anchor just called out DT on his FB page. Meteorology wars are seriuz bizniz.

I commended him on posting his reasons why he failed to predict this storm correctly.  The response was his usual hatred...

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Dude, don't I know it.

 

I live about 200 feet north of 495 and about half a mile East of 95.  I'm hoping we get a little bit of good luck and have decent rates for a period of time.  There's a nice park and wooded area w/ paths through it behind where  I live.  I will be wandering around out there if I'm not on here complaining :P

 

I commended him on posting his reasons why he failed to predict this storm correctly.  The response was his usual hatred...

 

Matt? Yeah, I saw that unfortunately.

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Hi, I've been reading constantly on this site the past two days, trying to understand what you all are saying and maybe even learn something!

 

Meanwhile, can I get a few projections for my area? I'm in Ellicott City, MD right near Marriottsville/ I-70.

 

I would really appreciate your thoughts!

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Hi, I've been reading constantly on this site the past two days, trying to understand what you all are saying and maybe even learn something!

 

Meanwhile, can I get a few projections for my area? I'm in Ellicott City, MD right near Marriottsville/ I-70.

 

I would really appreciate your thoughts!

I'm right by you and FWIW (not much) I'm thinking about 6-10 for us.

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