nj2va Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I think the odds of a low imby bust for 6-8" have increased greatly. 8-10? Did models actually all trend in our favor on the final day? Is the voodoo hex over? Looks that way. Amen! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I think the odds of a low imby bust for 6-8" have increased greatly. 8-10? Did models actually all trend in our favor on the final day? Is the voodoo hex over? If we get 12+ anywhere between me and Rockville I will WALK from here to Bob C's neighborhood with no jacket. (note: this is not a guarantee) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Wow, NBC is doing a segment on EURO vs GFS models. Pretty cool that sites like this and blogs like CWG is making TV mets become more technical, which is good methinks. IF it is played correctly. for some mets it is horrible because they don't know what they are talking about. But if you get a good met or group like CWG it's great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Where can I get hi-res NAM clown maps? http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/NAMSFC4US_18z/snow60.gif (Change the z time for the diffrent runs) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 If we get 12+ anywhere between me and Rockville I will WALK from here to Bob C's neighborhood with no jacket. (note: this is not a guarantee) I live in a condo building-- trying to figure out where to go to see the grass covered in the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 If we get 12+ anywhere between me and Rockville I will WALK from here to Bob C's neighborhood with no jacket. (note: this is not a guarantee) haha! wifey is a mean cook and I got a great tv room. lolz Honestly, it's been a rough couple tracking years. Extremely rough this year. But I've had a blast with this one. Yes, of course because we're going to win one for once but also because it's been a great type of system to watch evolve. I'm sleep deprived, my eyes hurt, my wife thinks I'm crazy, but damn this stuff is fun when it works. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Wow just checked the 18z NAM soundings. Barely gets above freezing at the surface! I'll have that please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terpsnation Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Downgraded to a WWA. Derpy McDerpderps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 haha! wifey is a mean cook and I got a great tv room. lolz Honestly, it's been a rough couple tracking years. Extremely rough this year. But I've had a blast with this one. Yes, of course because we're going to win one for once but also because it's been a great type of system to watch evolve. I'm sleep deprived, my eyes hurt, my wife thinks I'm crazy, but damn this stuff is fun when it works. I always get nervous because of my proximity to 95 and DC in general but I feel as though most times in marginal situations I tend to get what you get moreso than I get what DC gets. It's incredible what a short distance and elevation can do. I could probably scream and folks on 95 could hear me lol. I think I'll do well in this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/NAMSFC4US_18z/snow60.gif (Change the z time for the diffrent runs) Thanks! Road trip to Shrewsbury? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Thanks! Road trip to Shrewsbury? My gf's parents live just N of there at 840', I'm trying to book a room right now I'm stuck at 300' here at MU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Downgraded to a WWA. Derpy McDerpderps College Park is a horrible place for snow, comparable to DCA in my opinion. The campus is in a highly urban setting with a heated ground. I've seen snow on the sidewalks melt on contact when it was 20 degrees. When elevation matters, it's gonna hurt being there if you want snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 I always get nervous because of my proximity to 95 and DC in general but I feel as though most times in marginal situations I tend to get what you get moreso than I get what DC gets. It's incredible what a short distance and elevation can do. I could probably scream and folks on 95 could hear me lol. I think I'll do well in this. It's just a perfect combo this time. We need the rates. Plain and simple. Without them we're done at our locations. Heavy rates are a lock now. la la locked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I always get nervous because of my proximity to 95 and DC in general but I feel as though most times in marginal situations I tend to get what you get moreso than I get what DC gets. It's incredible what a short distance and elevation can do. I could probably scream and folks on 95 could hear me lol. I think I'll do well in this. If you did well on 1/26/2011 then I think you'll be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I live in a condo building-- trying to figure out where to go to see the grass covered in the snow. I think there are still a few patches of grass where they haven't started construction in the North Bethesda Town Center development... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I think the odds of a low imby bust for 6-8" have increased greatly. 8-10? Did models actually all trend in our favor on the final day? Is the voodoo hex over? I'm still holding off on 10" entering the range for the moment because verbatim the Euro is in that 6-8" range around here I think. But, yeah, a blend of the NAM and GFS would easily push us to a major event (once every three seasons) type event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 It's just a perfect combo this time. We need the rates. Plain and simple. Without them we're done at our locations. Heavy rates are a lock now. la la locked And now let's watch as the 0z suite falls apart and radar fizzles and we get drizzle jk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 I think there are still a few patches of grass where they haven't started construction in the North Bethesda Town Center development... yea but they charge you just to look at it. NOTHING is free in bethesda Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dalfy Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 College Park is a horrible place for snow, comparable to DCA in my opinion. The campus is in a highly urban setting with a heated ground. I've seen snow on the sidewalks melt on contact when it was 20 degrees. When elevation matters, it's gonna hurt being there if you want snow. I concur with this statement. None the less, its still awesome to walk around campus in ripping snow rates, which, to me, is the best part any storm. so I wont be complaining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 College Park is a horrible place for snow, comparable to DCA in my opinion. The campus is in a highly urban setting with a heated ground. I've seen snow on the sidewalks melt on contact when it was 20 degrees. When elevation matters, it's gonna hurt being there if you want snow. I would bet big money CP receives more than 2-4 inches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I think there are still a few patches of grass where they haven't started construction in the North Bethesda Town Center development... That's what I look at outside my window when it starts to snow now.. Or are you talking about the other development right above the metro? 'Cause that one I look at from my lobby. I think I'm just going to walk down Old Georgetown Rd towards the Harris Teeter and see if I can duck into the construction site (presuming no one's working tomorrow). Or is that going to get me arrested? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 I'm still holding off on 10" entering the range for the moment because verbatim the Euro is in that 6-8" range around here I think. But, yeah, a blend of the NAM and GFS would easily push us to a major event (once every three seasons) type event. I got about 7-8" in jan 11 iirc. I'm starting to thing this one will be more. I got hosed in jan 11 with the waa stuff. got washed down the gutter. Looks like a good thump before 9am this time. Considering marginal surface. Timing and rates can fight the good fight with compaction and melting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 yea but they charge you just to look at it. NOTHING is free in bethesda Heck, this year, I'd pay good money to look at snow on grass. Even more to play in it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 LWX is just embarrassing sometimes. Their text never matches the warning. Only 1-3 inches tomorrow in Columbia, MD? I don't think so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 LWX is just embarrassing sometimes. Their text never matches the warning. Only 1-3 inches tomorrow in Columbia, MD? I don't think so. They may be having issues updating all their products perhaps. If the data keeps looking like this and nowcasting supports it I wouldn't be surprised to see a little bump in the warning text and forecasts later this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I would bet big money CP receives more than 2-4 inches of snow. They're at ~100 ft and a heat island. If there's any storm where I-95 is the dividing line between good snows and paltry totals, you can bet that CP will get the short end of the stick, just about every time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 That's what I look at outside my window when it starts to snow now.. Or are you talking about the other development right above the metro? 'Cause that one I look at from my lobby. I think I'm just going to walk down Old Georgetown Rd towards the Harris Teeter and see if I can duck into the construction site (presuming no one's working tomorrow). Or is that going to get me arrested? I was talking about the one between the Metro and Harris Teeter. Not sure about the legality of ducking into the construction site. I'm thinking there has to be a better spot to see snow. Do you have roof access at your condo? If you're up for a Jebwalk, head down the Pike to Georgetown Prep. Their rolling hills are awesome in the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I got about 7-8" in jan 11 iirc. I'm starting to thing this one will be more. I got hosed in jan 11 with the waa stuff. got washed down the gutter. Looks like a good thump before 9am this time. Considering marginal surface. Timing and rates can fight the good fight with compaction and melting. It just depends on how much above 1" liquid we go-- the more conservative Euro QPF would max us out, even if all snow, 8-9 inches. I'd say probably around 1" liquid was snow for mid-Montgomery County on 1/26/11 so that'd be the comparable amount. All snow on the NAM would be ridiculous of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I want snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 It just depends on how much above 1" liquid we go-- the more conservative Euro QPF would max us out, even if all snow, 8-9 inches. I'd say probably around 1" liquid was snow for mid-Montgomery County on 1/26/11 so that'd be the comparable amount. All snow on the NAM would be ridiculous of course. well the nam is right so I'm going 12-15 now. thanks for reminding me about the nam! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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