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March 6th Storm Banter Thread


Bob Chill

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It sucks for RIC but people need to be smarter on who they follow especially if they continue to hype things when ego gets in the way

 

It has nothing to do with following DT. It has to do with the majority DC crowd rooting against RIC seeing snow b/c DT lives somewhat close (really grouping Chester with RIC is like saying F-Burg is in DC)

 

 

Truthfully, I wish RIC would be grouped in with the SE discussion, because the Mid-Atlantic board is 90% DC/BWI.

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It has nothing to do with following DT. It has to do with the majority DC crowd rooting against RIC seeing snow b/c DT lives somewhat close (really grouping Chester with RIC is like seeing F-Burg is in DC)

 

 

Truthfully, I wish RIC would be grouped in with the SE discussion, because the Mid-Atlantic board is 90% DC/BWI.

 

bullcrap.  I would love for Midlothian/ashland/RIC to get snow.  I just want rain over DTs

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only ji would flip out about  getting 10-12

 

I think everyone from DC north and west is fairly ok at this point - even the others too. As long as I see some white on the ground tomorrow I'll be happy (and by white I mean streak breaker). Sure I desire 10 inches but if I get 4 or 5 so be it. 

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I'm sure dtk could speak more about this, but I thought it's resolution is nowhere near the others.

gfs ~ 27km

nam ~ 12 km

ecmwf ~ 17km (I think)

nam-conus-nest ~ 4 km

SREF members ~ 18-22 km

 

This is just spatial resolution.....they all use very different vertical coordinates as well.  Also, the notion that you shouldn't use a global model to aid in the short term is preposterous.  How can a model be any good at 3-5 days if it sucks in the 0-24h range?

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I like that we have mets discounting euro warm bl bias and celebrating 850 temps. No complaints with that!

Not at all. Euro usually does great upstairs but not so great on surface. If we stuck all the most recent runs of the important models and stuck them between 2 slices of bread it's the best sandwich I've had since Feb 2010.

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wxusaf is a true snow weenie

Can't hate him for that. Man what a complicated setup. More than any I remember recently in one of my locales.

Time to start lending a lot of credit to the short term models/higher res as today winds down. Tracking temps upstream and our current temps to modeled temps might be somewhat fruitful for figuring out temp profiles. I imagine there are some actual observed sounding data to view this afternoon if people can post it.

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