lsukev Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Got word that even if the Fed closes, the Smithsonian is staying open. Awesome for downtown museums, but not out here at the Hazy Center, in Dulles' microclimate, that's kind of a dumb idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I think the chance for more rain and just slop has increased significantly based on what is occurring now. The is only so much that cold air aloft can do for you when the day of the start of the event the temps are in a 45-49 range and the clouds increase after the heating max has occurred and you don't radiate out post sunset. Based on every analog set up I have ever observed in an event like this DCA has Never received more than 4" accumulation and will not this time either. The laying down of snow cover before 9am now seem less likely than before, probably 50/50 right now, and I believe getting that snow cover is critical to significant accumulation. What? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 What? Corn dust, sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 wasnt the whole goal to get heavy precip. There should be no heavy rain. Its either Moderate/Heavy snow or light/rain drizzle imo Its funny how weenies always get attacked for saying "the storm will make its own cold air," but that's exactly what we're counting on this time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I'm probably going to lose big in the contest because I entered my guess after the 18z GFS from last night. I'm a modelologist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 I honestly don't see heavy rain at all for the cities on West. You would have to take the soundings from the worst run of the gfs and still challenge them. Ratios and stickage is a whole nuther disco though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I'm surprised CWG didn't scale back their forecast totals in that recent update. Still has 6-12+" for everyone west of I-95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I'm surprised CWG didn't scale back their forecast totals in that recent update. Still has 6-12+" for everyone west of I-95. Have they published their new update? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Have they published their new update? Yeah it took a little while but it remains pretty much unchanged http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/post/high-impact-heavy-snowstorm-to-hammer-washington-dc-area-tonight-and-wednesday/2013/03/05/eb0f4978-85a2-11e2-9d71-f0feafdd1394_blog.html#pagebreak Honestly, being north of Baltimore, I expect 4-7" out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Have they published their new update? yup http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/post/high-impact-heavy-snowstorm-to-hammer-washington-dc-area-tonight-and-wednesday/2013/03/05/eb0f4978-85a2-11e2-9d71-f0feafdd1394_blog.html#comments Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
09-10 analogy Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Where I-64 intersects Skyline Drive/Blue Ridge Pwky. outside of Waynesboro is about 1800 in elevation, according to Google Maps. There are a a bunch of motels around there IIRC. I was tempted to drive down but can't get away. Hoping my 350' in Tenlytown will see me to at least a criteria storm. At least I can work at home tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 It's 46 and sunny in Bumsville, Loudon County! Oh no!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Still can't shake the feeling that those folks to the east of DC (Annapolis and southern Anne Arundel County) will be shafted on this one. Seasonal trends how they are. Fact is, it just isn't going to be cold enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 State College went WS Warning for counties bordering MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catoctin wx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Got word that even if the Fed closes, the Smithsonian is staying open. Awesome for downtown museums, but not out here at the Hazy Center, in Dulles' microclimate, that's kind of a dumb idea. I see them going with the Liberal Leave policy. Fed usually only closes if they getl or are expecting, 8 inches or more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 State College went WS Warning for counties bordering MD. 5-8" for York and Lancaster counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 If I'm at home, I'm going to wipe the snow board (i.e. a glass table on my deck) and measure at least every hour. I should be able to overcome some of the boundary layer issues that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 yup http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/post/high-impact-heavy-snowstorm-to-hammer-washington-dc-area-tonight-and-wednesday/2013/03/05/eb0f4978-85a2-11e2-9d71-f0feafdd1394_blog.html#comments Almost exactly what I've been telling some friends. 4-8" S/E of I-95 including DC and Baltimore proper, 6-14" N/W of I-95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I see them going with the Liberal Leave policy. Fed usually only closes if they getl or are expecting, 8 inches or more Fed closed earlier this year when a couple of inches were predicted (we ended up with rn-). I'm pretty confident in a Weds closing and maybe even a Thurs delayed opening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 If I'm at home, I'm going to wipe the snow board (i.e. a glass table on my deck) and measure at least every hour. I should be able to overcome some of the boundary layer issues that way. You can't do that, it would inflate your totals. You've gotta give at least 6 hours between wiping the snow board (unless there's a precip type change, in which case you can clear right away). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catoctin wx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Fed closed earlier this year when a couple of inches were predicted (we ended up with rn-). I'm pretty confident in a Weds closing and maybe even a Thurs delayed opening. The DC Fed? We haven't had a "closing" since Sandy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 If I'm at home, I'm going to wipe the snow board (i.e. a glass table on my deck) and measure at least every hour. I should be able to overcome some of the boundary layer issues that way. Don't warm it up too much with the heat of your hand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 You can't do that, it would inflate your totals. You've gotta give at least 6 hours between wiping the snow board (unless there's a precip type change, in which case you can clear right away). Exactly. Like I said, I'm hoping to overcome the BL issues. Scientific slant-sticking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueapple Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I see them going with the Liberal Leave policy. Fed usually only closes if they getl or are expecting, 8 inches or more They had a few delayed/liberal leave days over the last few months, If those wimpy storms can do it, this certainly will. Also, they need to take into account areas outside of DC since people commute from MoCo, Fredrick, and Loudoun counties, where 12" is a real possibility I predict a CWG FedCast of 3 capitals and a SchoolCast of 3.5 apples. EDIT: Thought they closed, guess just delayed opening. My bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 The DC Fed? We haven't had a "closing" since Sandy You're right - went back and checked my dates. Felt like that was more recent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Exactly. Like I said, I'm hoping to overcome the BL issues. Scientific slant-sticking. I don't know, melting on contact may be worse than compaction tomorrow. You may want to gently remove anything over 1/2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I see them going with the Liberal Leave policy. Fed usually only closes if they getl or are expecting, 8 inches or more think they may close tho if they have to shut the metro in the burbs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catoctin wx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 They closed once and had a few delayed/liberal leave days over the last few months. If those wimpy storms can do it, this certainly will. Also, they need to take into account areas outside of DC since people commute from MoCo, Fredrick, and Loudoun counties, where 12" is a real possibility I predict a CWG FedCast of 3 capitals and a SchoolCast of 3.5 apples. The DC Federal offices have not "closed" since Hurricane Sandy due to weather. IIRC there has been 1 delay and just a couple of liberal leave days. The last true closing that I can recall for DC offices due to snow was in February 2010. Now, you may be right and I hope they do close tomorrow, but generally they do not unless there is 8" or more because the metro won't run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catoctin wx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 think they may close tho if they have to shut the metro in the burbs I agree that there is a good chance. Been a while since the last closing due to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 If I'm at home, I'm going to wipe the snow board (i.e. a glass table on my deck) and measure at least every hour. I should be able to overcome some of the boundary layer issues that way. You can't do that, it would inflate your totals. You've gotta give at least 6 hours between wiping the snow board (unless there's a precip type change, in which case you can clear right away). Well, then they may just be able to do that 1 hour deal, at least for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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