Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 lol bob chill I got un-nam'd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 I would love to know the algorithm used to generate this map. What causes the reduced snowfall in Frederick County and that spot in MC? Fdk is in a shadow sometimes with e-ene flow. You can see the max zone over parrs and fdk is on the lee side. As far as rockville goes....voodoo hex Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Knight in shining armor rides to save his girlfriend . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 ian, go find me one of those pretty high res maps and post it please. I aint goin down like this or I bring you all with me. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 ian, go find me one of those pretty high res maps and post it please. I aint goin down like this or I bring you all with me. lol You'll get snow holed and like it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 You guys are so uber sensitive .. I dunno. People like Matt my buddy have confused others into thinking the nam is totally useless when that is incorrect. I just don't get how people who spend so long here don't understand how models work or the caveats associated with all of them. We just had a NAM run within 12 hours of storm onset giving the three airports 2" QPF with soundings that support all snow (at least for DCA/IAD, didn't check BWI). The fact that we aren't all freaking out is a testament to how far the NAM has fallen out of favor amongst the weenie masses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 ian, go find me one of those pretty high res maps and post it please. I aint goin down like this or I bring you all with me. lol Yeah, he needs to find maps that give us more snow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 You'll get snow holed and like it I'm saving this post for when I need motivation to detroy your hopes and dreams in a la la locked severe setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Don Cherry's Jacket Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 We just had a NAM run within 12 hours of storm onset giving the three airports 2" QPF with soundings that support all snow (at least for DCA/IAD, didn't check BWI). The fact that we aren't all freaking out is a testament to how far the NAM has fallen out of favor amongst the weenie masses. So you're suggesting we should be freaking out, or that nobody believes the NAM with good reason? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 this will be the blizzard of 96 of March events. I bet the DC metro area averages more for this storm than the 1993 superstorm. The 1993 superstorm will crush this event in the mountain areas though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 Yeah, he needs to find maps that give us more snow.. no kidding. he's been pbp'ing pay site maps and posting like 30 others every suite. and look how I'm being treated now. is this how it's really going to be? really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 We just had a NAM run within 12 hours of storm onset giving the three airports 2" QPF with soundings that support all snow (at least for DCA/IAD, didn't check BWI). The fact that we aren't all freaking out is a testament to how far the NAM has fallen out of favor amongst the weenie masses. I would like to see the best VVs a bit closer.. they like the NW burbs. But honestly I don't expect to get superbanded the whole storm.. that happens to places like FDK. No one should use the NAM as sole guidance but in this range having it in your camp is certainly a plus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 "this will be the blizzard of 96 of March events. I bet the DC metro area averages more for this storm than the 1993 superstorm. The 1993 superstorm will crush this event in the mountain areas though" Somebody please put Ji back in his cage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BryanInMd Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 That's much better than the last two runs. Bad news for Rockville though for some unlikely micro reason. I noticed that on another map yesterday, though it was a bit further north and west. On the HiRes NAM you can see the initial precip with the NW/SE orientation is lighter N of the Potomac. Later, the banding sets up on the backside to the NW and SE and leaves that little hole with lighter precip for both stages of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 My main goal from here out is getting out of work tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I think these snow maps have been historically terrible. Wouldn't worry about them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 this will be the blizzard of 96 of March events. I bet the DC metro area averages more for this storm than the 1993 superstorm. The 1993 superstorm will crush this event in the mountain areas though If this event beats the 14" my backyard got in jan 2011 (and probably march 93 as well based on KU maps), I'll be incredibly thrilled, especially if tssn is in the mix. But I don't expect more than 10" so we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hank Scorpio Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I got un-nam'd. I have it on good authority that a small group of rogue snow haters in Rockville switched to DST a week early, and that's why you're seeing the snow hole...too much extra sunlight. Also, Tony Pann may have the greatest name ever when spoonerised Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 So you're suggesting we should be freaking out, or that nobody believes the NAM with good reason? I would like to see the best VVs a bit closer.. they like the NW burbs. But honestly I don't expect to get superbanded the whole storm.. that happens to places like FDK. No one should use the NAM as sole guidance but in this range having it in your camp is certainly a plus. Ian's reply was good. Better to have it on your side. Shave precip by a 1/3, give it a 7:1 ratio, and we still are sitting at an 8-10" storm on the NAM in DC. That's pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 I think these snow maps have been historically terrible. Wouldn't worry about them Hey, you're not snowholed ok. You cannot imagine the desperation and despair I'm feeling right now. I'm rooting for fire balls to drop out of the sky instead of snow and burn the whole place down. everything. poof Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 which is why I am probably going to get a room there tomorrow night and maybe tonight i have the dog but i might drop by later if you do. ill be there tomorrow of course assuming i don't have work. gotta guess they'll close at this pt.. tho the telecommuting change has me worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Somebody please put Ji back in his cage. Evidently DCA's low reporting isn't a new thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 90% 5"+ IMBY 4% for Bob Chill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Hey, you're not snowholed ok. You cannot imagine the desperation and despair I'm feeling right now. I'm rooting for fire balls to drop out of the sky instead of snow and burn the whole place down. everything. poof i betcha do fine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 90% 5"+ IMBY 4% for Bob Chill 99% your first severe threat thread is unreadable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Evidently DCA's low reporting isn't a new thing. How on Earth did Rockville get 24"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 The Columbia TSSN superband is going to suck all the moisture away from Rockville. 14" for me, 4" after rain for Rockville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Evidently DCA's low reporting isn't a new thing. Seems like it will be a similar map with different totals. Probably slightly lower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 How on Earth did Rockville get 24"? that's how we roll Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 99% your first severe threat thread is unreadable Don't make me wish a tornado on you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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