Fozz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I realize the clown maps are just that, but can anyone explain totals in FDK? It has been present on just about every run of the nam for the last 6 cycles. Not complaining, just curious... Frederick is in a valley, and in a marginal storm like this, elevation could have a big role. So that means less snow for Frederick due to lower elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I know we are in a valley, but the lower amounts don't correlate to the valley...in fact most of the area in the lighter shading is well elevated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 The snow maps from the nam have been particularly bad for whatever reason as in they don't seem to match soundings that well on the edges Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 The snow maps from the nam have been particularly bad for whatever reason as in they don't seem to match soundings that well on the edges Shutup. I want my foot of snow so I can watch it melt in 28 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Nice to see that 100 wrong NAM pbp posts are ok but ask one question about when it can be trusted and that is called silly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Shutup. I want my foot of snow so I can watch it melt in 28 hours. I meant they seemed underdone in places like DC etc. 0z was a snow bomb for most everyone and it still had that same look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I know we are in a valley, but the lower amounts don't correlate to the valley...in fact most of the area in the lighter shading is well elevated. I'd then say the clown maps don't have enough resolution to properly locate the exact area with less elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I get NAMclownmapped on this run. Just got me in the 12" nipple. Please keep this forum G rated, thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Nice to see that 100 wrong NAM pbp posts are ok but ask one question about when it can be trusted and that is called sillyYou guys are so uber sensitive .. I dunno.People like Matt my buddy have confused others into thinking the nam is totally useless when that is incorrect. I just don't get how people who spend so long here don't understand how models work or the caveats associated with all of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 That's much better than the last two runs. Bad news for Rockville though for some unlikely micro reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 That's much better than the last two runs. Bad news for Rockville though for some unlikely micro reason. lol bob chill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Nice to see that 100 wrong NAM pbp posts are ok but ask one question about when it can be trusted and that is called silly Knight in shining armor rides to save his girlfriend . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCS Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 That's much better than the last two runs. Bad news for Rockville though for some unlikely micro reason. I would love to know the algorithm used to generate this map. What causes the reduced snowfall in Frederick County and that spot in MC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 lol bob chill I got un-nam'd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 I would love to know the algorithm used to generate this map. What causes the reduced snowfall in Frederick County and that spot in MC? Fdk is in a shadow sometimes with e-ene flow. You can see the max zone over parrs and fdk is on the lee side. As far as rockville goes....voodoo hex Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Knight in shining armor rides to save his girlfriend . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 ian, go find me one of those pretty high res maps and post it please. I aint goin down like this or I bring you all with me. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 ian, go find me one of those pretty high res maps and post it please. I aint goin down like this or I bring you all with me. lol You'll get snow holed and like it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 You guys are so uber sensitive .. I dunno. People like Matt my buddy have confused others into thinking the nam is totally useless when that is incorrect. I just don't get how people who spend so long here don't understand how models work or the caveats associated with all of them. We just had a NAM run within 12 hours of storm onset giving the three airports 2" QPF with soundings that support all snow (at least for DCA/IAD, didn't check BWI). The fact that we aren't all freaking out is a testament to how far the NAM has fallen out of favor amongst the weenie masses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 ian, go find me one of those pretty high res maps and post it please. I aint goin down like this or I bring you all with me. lol Yeah, he needs to find maps that give us more snow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 You'll get snow holed and like it I'm saving this post for when I need motivation to detroy your hopes and dreams in a la la locked severe setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Don Cherry's Jacket Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 We just had a NAM run within 12 hours of storm onset giving the three airports 2" QPF with soundings that support all snow (at least for DCA/IAD, didn't check BWI). The fact that we aren't all freaking out is a testament to how far the NAM has fallen out of favor amongst the weenie masses. So you're suggesting we should be freaking out, or that nobody believes the NAM with good reason? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 this will be the blizzard of 96 of March events. I bet the DC metro area averages more for this storm than the 1993 superstorm. The 1993 superstorm will crush this event in the mountain areas though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 Yeah, he needs to find maps that give us more snow.. no kidding. he's been pbp'ing pay site maps and posting like 30 others every suite. and look how I'm being treated now. is this how it's really going to be? really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 We just had a NAM run within 12 hours of storm onset giving the three airports 2" QPF with soundings that support all snow (at least for DCA/IAD, didn't check BWI). The fact that we aren't all freaking out is a testament to how far the NAM has fallen out of favor amongst the weenie masses. I would like to see the best VVs a bit closer.. they like the NW burbs. But honestly I don't expect to get superbanded the whole storm.. that happens to places like FDK. No one should use the NAM as sole guidance but in this range having it in your camp is certainly a plus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 "this will be the blizzard of 96 of March events. I bet the DC metro area averages more for this storm than the 1993 superstorm. The 1993 superstorm will crush this event in the mountain areas though" Somebody please put Ji back in his cage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BryanInMd Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 That's much better than the last two runs. Bad news for Rockville though for some unlikely micro reason. I noticed that on another map yesterday, though it was a bit further north and west. On the HiRes NAM you can see the initial precip with the NW/SE orientation is lighter N of the Potomac. Later, the banding sets up on the backside to the NW and SE and leaves that little hole with lighter precip for both stages of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 My main goal from here out is getting out of work tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I think these snow maps have been historically terrible. Wouldn't worry about them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 That could give ft Reno 20" which is why I am probably going to get a room there tomorrow night and maybe tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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