VAsnowlvr82 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Did the soundings improve at all from 18z to 0z on the gfs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Wait.. Bob Ryan saying a longer period of rain with no issues until Wed. night?... remember also he said a few days ago that he saw no reason that this storm would impact us at all. So yeah.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Nowcast / obs time could not possibly come soon enough. The envelope is locked. Were arguing over wobbles. Pick your favorite, hug it, and for God sakes act more mature than my 8 year old twins. All models will not go into a marginal airmass saying the same exact thing. If you think warm is right, grab your umbrella. If you think cold is right, grab your shovel. If you want to whine and fight, just stfu and kick your cat. This analysis is excellent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Wait.. Bob Ryan saying a longer period of rain with no issues until Wed. night?... Swear he said during his on air forecast 15 minutes ago that there would be more snow, less mixing... He's been all over the place. Not sure he has much cred left with this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 She's not innocent, but you can't threaten violence against any other board members. Making threats is way over the line regardless of whether she said some mean things to you first. Yeah, I apologize to her sincerely for suggesting anything along those lines in the past that she could have taken as offensive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Wait.. Bob Ryan saying a longer period of rain with no issues until Wed. night?... sometimes its better not to update all the time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Nowcast / obs time could not possibly come soon enough. The envelope is locked. Were arguing over wobbles. Pick your favorite, hug it, and for God sakes act more mature than my 8 year old twins. All models will not go into a marginal airmass saying the same exact thing. If you think warm is right, grab your umbrella. If you think cold is right, grab your shovel. If you want to whine and fight, just stfu and kick your cat. I don't have a cat. But you are right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Just confused, because nothing really supports what he's saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 She's not innocent, but you can't threaten violence against any other board members. Making threats is way over the line regardless of whether she said some mean things to you first. Understatement of the century. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 NAM: bwi http://coolwx.com/cgi-bin/getbufr.cgi?region=MD&stn=KBWI&model=nam&time=current&field=prec dca http://coolwx.com/cgi-bin/getbufr.cgi?region=MD&stn=KDCA&model=nam&time=current&field=prec that would be acceptable That's all we are getting, what happened to the 3" the RPM showed for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Did the soundings improve at all from 18z to 0z on the gfs? Nope, It's quite ugly... If you live in DC, your rooting for the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Just confused, because nothing really supports what he's saying. The GFS does to a degree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 On the cusp of breaking a 750ish day 2+ snow drought, and many of the self-appointed old guard can only complain and snipe at various folks outside the circle of trust. You guys should be euphoric, and celebrating what could be a historic snow dump. Scroll past or ignore the comments you don't like. Get over it. Enjoy the moment, as ones like this are incredibly rare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I guess people dont read maps before they post them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 It might help to get some cloud cover into the city early in the morning. But I dont know of that is going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 75% 5+ IMBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 i'm still not buying the rainier scenario. then again, maybe it's because it's 37 with a dewpoint of 15 in dc right now with still a nw wind. i know that's not tomorrow night's profile, but still nice that we have some cold air around and we're not working with pre-storm warmth. we started out as light rain/snow mix during 93 and then once things got poppin' it was all good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Ukie?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 It might help to get some cloud cover into the city early in the morning. But I dont know of that is going to happen. Antecedent airmass is really dry and 850s are sub freezing all day. Not really that big of a deal as is but blocking the raging march sun is not a bad thing either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Ukie?? We are grasping at straws down here in RIC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k94 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 GEFS?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 GEFS?? they are warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 CRAS? JMA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 they are warmProbably inside their useful range at this ltErr they aren't useful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Laying out some rope for my weenie suicide in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I feel as good as I have... I don't care about the GFS right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TerpWeather Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Just confused, because nothing really supports what he's saying. he also said the derecho would miss to the South... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 he also said the derecho would miss to the South... hey! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Wait.. Bob Ryan saying a longer period of rain with no issues until Wed. night?... Just to clarify, his tweet says Wednesday PM, not Wednesday night. Edit: Exact tweet: dProg/fT is now favoring a longer period of rain in D.C. No problems Tuesday and change not until Wed PM @abc7news Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Shouldn't GGEM be out by now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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