real Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 If it busts, I will never again track any storm after Presidents Day.... But got to remember that this sort of nervousness happens before every storm after one bad model run. Got to stay positive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 No... sleet I need to learn to read better either way now THAT is slop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Almost 2" of ice?? Sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Saw this on Facebook. It is from a PA news station. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 2/11/06, 3/1/09/, 1/26/11.....this is what happens...we get suicidal and then we get pummeled...at midnight on March 2nd 2009 I had a dusting and it had been snowing steady for 6-7 hours...then around 2 or 3 am...crushed Weren't we debating temps for 1/26/11 even up to right before it started? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Lets do a contest on high temp tomorrow Better yet, how about a contest to see who jumps off the cliff first... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Weren't we debating temps for 1/26/11 even up to right before it started? Everyone was nervous until the flip actually happened. Here's what I don't understand-- why do we (me included) just jump to one discrete solution at a time? Like, instead of blending the model data, we post like we're assuming one run of the one model must be very close to being verbatim correct until one run of the next model comes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Saw this on Facebook. It is from a PA news station. Well if you are gonna go all out, go big.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Water temps at OC are 39.....same for Ches bay...not great but could be worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 Everyone was nervous until the flip actually happened. Here's what I don't understand-- why do we (me included) just jump to one discrete solution at a time? Like, instead of blending the model data, we post like we're assuming one run of the one model must be very close to being verbatim correct until one run of the next model comes out. Unfortunately, we come out on the losing end of marginal storm way more than the other way around. Our paranoia is kinda justified. Haven't seen winwxluvr complain about the gfs though... Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Justin Berk's first call Actually looks very reasonable to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TL97 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Berk is bullish on the 6-10 line with it running down 95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Berk is bullish on the 6-10 line with it running down 95. I think I-95 can get 6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Topper Shutt is really bullish as well. Odd. He may be the most bullish local met down here. 6-9 for the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Berk is bullish on the 6-10 line with it running down 95. I think that map is actually pretty reasonable. I'd be a little bolder out in VA, but he cares more about MD anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 DT, someone called WxSynopsis and The Faithful are hatin' on us american weenie forum MORONS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 This new Bob Ryan ABC 7 video timeline and forecast seems reasonable. Says 3 to 6 for DC and "much much more" out west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skipper Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 DT, someone called WxSynopsis and The Faithful are hatin' on us american weenie forum MORONS. What's the consensus with those clowns? That we are too bullish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazeKing Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 That facebook page has more drama than a full season of keeping up with the kardasians Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 This new Bob Ryan ABC 7 video timeline and forecast seems reasonable. Says 3 to 6 for DC and "much much more" out west. I guess he doesn't really buy the latest GFS and its mixing. His animation looks very bullish for Baltimore based on his heavy snow axis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Shouldn't The Great DTini have produced his promised call map by now? Still dealing with all of his minions asking how many feet to expect in Frog Holler, NC, I reckon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Shouldn't The Great DTini have produced his promised call map by now? Still dealing with all of his minions asking how many feet to expect in Frog Holler, NC, I reckon. When he says 6pm, he means 9:30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 storm is starting to get busy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/us_comp/us_comp_big.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 A more complete LWX snow map for those who Care™ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueapple Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I guess he doesn't really buy the latest GFS and its mixing. His animation looks very bullish for Baltimore based on his heavy snow axis. I agree, and don't see how that animated map adds up to his forecasted amount of "three to as much as six" if DC proper switches from mix to snow at 8am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Everyone needs to stop hugging one or two particular model runs. Take a peek at the HPC site and learn from the pros. A blend of the models/model runs is the way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 This new Bob Ryan ABC 7 video timeline and forecast seems reasonable. Says 3 to 6 for DC and "much much more" out west. That's pretty bullish for Ryan. It's usually about this time in a storm's evolution that he calls for a few lonely snowflakes.MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Shouldn't The Great DTini have produced his promised call map by now? Still dealing with all of his minions asking how many feet to expect in Frog Holler, NC, I reckon. Maps don't even usually solve that problem. Not sure a lot of people know where they are on a map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 the GFS initializes at 10:30....unless you are 80 years old or you have to be at work at 3am and you operate heavy machinery, you should stay up Or if you have a 2 month old and you get sleep whenever you can Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Well, at least we can be happy that it's not DST. This setup is too fragile to handle an extra hour of sun. It would be 55 at onset if this was next week. . I'm late into this thread, and could be missing an inside joke, but seriously hope you are kidding here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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