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March 6th Storm Banter Thread


Bob Chill

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Upslope regions are easy target for jackpot but I honestly think lower elev locales have a shot of lollis somewhere close to higher elev if the deform sits and rots like some models suggest. Were talking a several hour stall and pivot with some inches per hour and rolling thunder. Pinpointing this might be most awesome part of storm.

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May be premature to say this, but... Even though we all often lament DC weather, really think we live in one of the best spots in the country when it comes to  occassionally seeing  it alll -- blizzards/big snow storms/tropical storms/weenie Cat 2 hurricane threats/severe/tornado/flash floods/heat waves/rare overperforming clippers/rare derecho... What other area of the country has all of that? Philadelphia and New Jersey, maybe, but think their severe risk is less than ours.   It can be a long wait, but undoubtedly, eventuallly we cash in.

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May be premature to say this, but... Even though we all often lament DC weather, really think we live in one of the best spots in the country when it comes to occassionally seeing it alll -- blizzards/big snow storms/tropical storms/weenie Cat 2 hurricane threats/severe/tornado/flash floods/heat waves/rare overperforming clippers/rare derecho... What other area of the country has all of that? Philadelphia and New Jersey, maybe, but think their severe risk is less than ours. It can be a long wait, but undoubtedly, eventuallly we cash in.

I have been telling people this. I got 30" IMBY from 2/6/10 and saw 106F the following summer. Not many places that happens. Maybe CO/KS but they don't get topical weather. Better severe though (well better might not be the right term.)

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Any early bets on which ski areas make out the best from this one?  I am talking real ski areas, i.e. not Liberty/Roundtop/Whitetail.

 

I am debating whether to head to Snowshoe or Canaan/Timberline on Thursday.  That is, if the roads are passable to get to either.

 

I realize this may be the first time in recorded history that Massanutten gets more snow than either of those two but I am still not going there.

 

My bet is on Canaan/Timberline since Snowshoe looks to be a little SW of the main axis of precip, but I fully admit that I don't know what I am talking about.

 

It's too bad that there are so damn many trees on Bull Run Mountain.  I can see it from my window.  I would ski that mofo all day long tomorrow.  As it is, I will be the lunatic on randonnee skis on Gum Spring Road tomorrow, skinning up and skiing down the berms in front of the quarry.

Snowshoe always does best....elevation my brotha.

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That LWX map actually just cut DC's snowfall back to 6 to 8, after briefly upping it to 8 to 10. But can we just agree to ban it. Really is pointless. In fact, entire weather service system for conveying accumulations needs major, major upgrade or its pointless. So much conflicting info from same source, and changes too frequently. really does a disservice.

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Nasty dry slot looks to run around 95.  Will be interesting to see how far north it gets.  Models keep it out of DC area, but it gets close.

 

Thats definitely a concern of mine.  The dry slot sorta shows up on RAP but its not too aweful.  If it's bad it could cut totals a good bit but still would be a big storm here.

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