WxUSAF Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Hopefully the board doesn't crash before the Euro NAM's us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 On 3/4/2013 at 5:41 PM, Ji said: When do we start using mm5 12 years ago, when the model was still actually being supported... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 No matter what the forecast says, I'll believe this will be anything more than sloppy wet snow giving me an inch that lasts 12 hours when I see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 On 3/4/2013 at 5:43 PM, WxUSAF said: Hopefully the board doesn't crash before the Euro NAM's us... If the Euro NAMS us, this board will probably come to a crawl. We have like 1600 on and the server load spiked. But she's holding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 On 3/4/2013 at 5:44 PM, chris87 said: 12 years ago, when the model was still actually being supported... So the SUNY models aren't in use anymore? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 On 3/4/2013 at 5:54 PM, yoda said: So the SUNY models aren't in use anymore? not sure, you'd have to check....its just an outdated model that hasn't had any community support since the early 2000s.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Getting WSwatches up to my S&E makes me more comfortable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 On 3/4/2013 at 5:56 PM, H2O said: Getting WSwatches up to my S&E makes me more comfortable Wes got a WSW! Now he HAS to forecast a HECS for us all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 While we're waiting for the Euro, our MU-WRF came in. FWIW, I personally find it does rather poorly in these dynamic situations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 On 3/4/2013 at 5:32 PM, Ian said: My current probabilities: 100% chance of clouds 98% chance of precipitation 95% chance of snow 80% chance of big globby snow 62% chance of a pinger that makes me want to shoot someone 12% Ji is happy with the end result This storm is old news. He's already looking for the next KU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThreeRedheads Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Fairfax County Government is using CWG's storm name "Snowquester" Quote Winter Storm Watch Issued Beginning Tuesday Evening, March 5 by fairfaxcounty Significant Snow Possible for the AreaPosted at 11:44 a.m. The National Weather Service has issued a winter storm watch starting Tuesday evening and lasting through Wednesday evening. A winter storm watch means there is apotential for significant snow, sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Accumulations of more than 5 inches are possible with the potential for significant snowfall somewhere within the watch area. (NWS graphical maps) "Snowquester" is expected to bring up to 5 inches or more of snow to the region beginning Tuesday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 On 3/4/2013 at 5:57 PM, wxmeddler said: While we're waiting for the Euro, our MU-WRF came in. FWIW, I personally find it does rather poorly in these dynamic situations. There are more kinds of WRF than colors of the rainbow. (I run WRF for Mars btw...). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gocaps Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 The 12z Euro: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 DT gonna explode Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 On 3/4/2013 at 5:59 PM, ThreeRedheads said: Fairfax County Government is using CWG's storm name "Snowquester" Every time I see that name, I want to club a baby seal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 On 3/4/2013 at 6:06 PM, H2O said: DT gonna explode Only on the inside. He'll say the Euro held and then call everyone FOOKING STOOPID who says otherwise. But, I do hope it turns up the coast and hits BOS just to make him mad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dtk Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 On 3/4/2013 at 5:55 PM, chris87 said: not sure, you'd have to check....its just an outdated model that hasn't had any community support since the early 2000s.... They still run it (as do a handful of others....). The community WRF (ARW) is really just a follow-on/adaptation to MM5. On 3/4/2013 at 5:57 PM, wxmeddler said: While we're waiting for the Euro, our MU-WRF came in. FWIW, I personally find it does rather poorly in these dynamic situations. How is it initialized? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 On 3/4/2013 at 6:06 PM, H2O said: DT gonna explode He's gonna end up banning every single follower on FB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 DT implosion in 3....2....1.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fodie77 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Well, congrats to all then. Further proof that the best thing for you guys to hope for is a RIC bullseye a few days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Ok being the novice that I am what exactly does the term QPF mean? I am still learning as I go along and have seen this used here. Tried looking it up online but not sure what I am looking for. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 On 3/4/2013 at 6:02 PM, WxUSAF said: There are more kinds of WRF than colors of the rainbow. (I run WRF for Mars btw...). That.Is.AWESOME. So tell us how martian weather is going to be impacted by the huge meteorite/asteroid heading its way... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 On 3/4/2013 at 6:19 PM, lsukev5 said: Grazi Just to be sure, I will be in Reston Tues-Thurs for work, IAD is the correct airport code? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ike Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 On 3/4/2013 at 6:18 PM, Mrs.J said: Ok being the novice that I am what exactly does the term QPF mean? I am still learning as I go along and have seen this used here. Tried looking it up online but not sure what I am looking for. Thanks. From my very basic understanding, QPF is basically the liquid that falls out of the cloud -- that is, if you take whatever drops (be it rain, snow, or sleet) and melt it down, your QPF is the amount of liquid you end up with. If you're looking for an estimate of snowfall from QPF, you need to adjust for rain-to-snow rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terpsnation Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 DT Response: **** 12z MONDAY EUROPEAN ..STAYS SOUTH...***keep dreaming NYC and CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 On 3/4/2013 at 6:21 PM, Ike said: From my very basic understanding, QPF is basically the liquid that falls out of the cloud -- that is, if you take whatever drops (be it rain, snow, or sleet) and melt it down, your QPF is the amount of liquid you end up with. If you're looking for an estimate of snowfall from QPF, you need to adjust for rain-to-snow rates. What does the acronym QPF stand for. And thank you for your explanation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fodie77 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 On 3/4/2013 at 6:23 PM, terpsnation said: DT Response: **** 12z MONDAY EUROPEAN ..STAYS SOUTH...*** keep dreaming NYC and CT Haha, I want snow as much as the next guy down here, but that is blatantly misleading and the people commenting are calling him out for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 On 3/4/2013 at 6:18 PM, Mrs.J said: Ok being the novice that I am what exactly does the term QPF mean? I am still learning as I go along and have seen this used here. Tried looking it up online but not sure what I am looking for. Thanks. Quantitative precipitation forecast. As a fellow novice, when I'm up against a mystery acronym I find googling the acronym plus the word weather often leads me to the answer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ike Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 On 3/4/2013 at 6:24 PM, Mrs.J said: What does the acronym QPF stand for. And thank you for your explanation. Ah, I guess that would have been useful for me to include, eh? Quantitative precipitation forecast, I believe. Edit: Kay, you have fingers of lightning. I yield to your superior response times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 On 3/4/2013 at 6:12 PM, WxUSAF said: He'll say the Euro held and then call everyone FOOKING STOOPID who says otherwise Told ya. Nevermind that the GFS and Euro low positioning at 18z Wednesday is IDENTICAL and he said how far north the GFS was at that time (apparently 100 miles north of ORF). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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