Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Geography/climo does favor good bands setting up in that area, it tends to happen in northern MD (especially psuhoffman land) agreed. I just thought it was a little early in the day to see that look on sim. Also shows dc like .7+ by 7am too. Thats seems awful high. I shouldn't even be looking at 18hr rap stuff anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 This is auto generated though, is it not?. From what I understand it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 warning time!!@ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 Weather CHannel running a scroll that the watch is now a warning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
onel0126 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 WWA for SoMD up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 DCZ001-MDZ005>007-009>011-VAZ052>056-060400- /O.UPG.KLWX.WS.A.0004.130305T2300Z-130307T0500Z/ /O.EXB.KLWX.WS.W.0005.130306T0500Z-130307T0800Z/ DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-CARROLL-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD- MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE- PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX- ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...WESTMINSTER... GAITHERSBURG...COLUMBIA...BALTIMORE...MANASSAS...MANASSAS PARK... FAIRFAX...ALEXANDRIA...FALLS CHURCH...FREDERICKSBURG 248 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 3 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 3 AM EST THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES WITH THE HIGHER AMOUNTS WEST OF INTERSTATE 95. * TIMING...RAIN MIXING WITH AND CHANGING TO WET SNOW FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. SNOW MAY BE MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES WEDNESDAY. SNOW TAPERS OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 30S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 ... Winter Weather Advisory in effect from midnight tonight to3 am EST Thursday...The National Weather Service in Baltimore MD/Washington hasissued a Winter Weather Advisory for snow... which is in effectfrom midnight tonight to 3 am EST Thursday. The Winter Storm Watchis no longer in effect.* Precipitation type... snow.* Accumulations... 2 to 4 inches.* Timing... rain mixing with and changing to wet snow fromsouthwest to northeast overnight tonight and Wednesday. Snow maybe moderate at times late Wednesday afternoon and evening. Snowtapers off late Wednesday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 i think my warning call timing verified. booya Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 i think my warning call timing verified. booya Very reasonable call by the NWS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Shenandoah Valley getting destroyed at hour 12 on the nam. Also the 0 line at 850 keeps sneaking a little more to the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 From what I understand it is. The map is automatically drawn but the forecasts that make the map are not. It's a good tool to tell what Sterling is thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=nam&area=namer¶m=sim_radar&cycle=18ℑ=nam%2F18%2Fnam_namer_015_sim_radar.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 The snow grid will change every hour- which is what I hate about it. The forecast is the best they can do now with the information at hand. No complaints. I'm still in the 10-14 range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Thanks, well, that is fairly healthy with some ratios I guess. Euro gets there a little differently then GFS, its a little less qpf with the initial surge late tonight, but then keeps precip going better tomorrow then the GFS. In the end it ends up with identical qpf but in a different way. Lets hope the GFS is right with round one, and the euro is right with round 2, and then we might verify close to 10". I know its a wishcast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 NAM is virtually identical with the freezing line at 975mb through 20hrs, which is a very good thing for DC and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Mitch, check surface temps too. Surface freezing just west of 95. It's all snow for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Mitch, check surface temps too. Surface freezing just west of 95. It's all snow for sure. yeppers and.... http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=nam&area=namer¶m=sim_radar&cycle=18ℑ=nam%2F18%2Fnam_namer_018_sim_radar.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Wow, the NAM really throws north the precip shield. Farther than any other model.. by a good 25-50 miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 at 18hrs, NAM finally speeds up the 5H vort from the 12z run which helps to push the 850 line east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 ooo, looks colder where we need it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 NAM is all snow for the big cities and a total pasting. 975mb temps at or below freezing the whole time. One can dream... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=nam&area=namer¶m=sim_radar&cycle=18ℑ=nam%2F18%2Fnam_namer_021_sim_radar.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 per JI the other day, he was waiting for NAM to get in its wheelhouse w/in 24 hrs of the event we're there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 i wonder if psuhoffman will be worried that the banding is over him on this run dry slot :-/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 yikes, lp basically stalls over the mouth of the bay from 18-21z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 not sure about temps specifics, but dc is in the 0.50-0.75" qpf for 18 and 21. gonna be another high qpf run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 per JI the other day, he was waiting for NAM to get in its wheelhouse w/in 24 hrs of the event we're there! isnt it less than 24 hours from the event. the event starts in about 7 hours? I think i meant 24 minutes of the event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 1.25-1.5 follows the potomac at 24 and in southern, MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueapple Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Really looking like while DC will get less than N&W (obviously), the big drop off won't happen until you get into PG county and points S&E. Seems to be cooler from 950mb the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.