Scuddz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 What site can I find this map on? coolwx.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bari Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 do you have this map for the DC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 What site can I find this map on? http://coolwx.com/cgi-bin/getbufr.cgi?region=VA&stn=KDCA&model=nam&time=current&field=prec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I could have sworn that's what I read when i got up around 6:45. Yes. Jebman posted it several pages ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 000FXUS61 KLWX 050855AFDLWXhttp://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=LWX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=offAREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC355 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013TNGT DYNAMIC PROCESSES FM THE CYCLONE TAKE OVER...INCL AN INCRSGLYSTRONG /60-70 KT/ COLD CONVEYOR BELT. THE SFC LOW WL BE PASSING EWDSOMEWHERE NEAR THE NC/VA BRDR...PLACING CWFA IN THE AREA OF BESTLIFT AND MSTR INFLUX. SFC TEMPS REMAIN PESKY THO. SHUD HV COOLING OFTHE COLUMN...BUT THERE/S NO REAL COLD AIR ANYWHERE...AS SFC FLOW WLBE INCRSG OFF OF THE RATHER WARM ATLC. AM SEEING PTYPE DIFFS IN GDNCINCREASE BY LT TNGT. WL FAVOR STRONG DYNAMIC COOLING...MARCHING THERA-SN LINE EWD TO SOMEWHERE E OF I-95 BY DAWN. AM NOT REAL CERTAINWHERE IT WL END UP THO...AND HV A FAIRLY WIDE SWATH OF RASN IN GRIDSTO DEPICT THAT UNCERTAINTY. Trix is right, it is the same wording as the overnight AFD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 Trix is right, it is the same wording as the overnight AFD. Ok, I just overlooked it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 GFS looks a little wetter to start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Rgem absolutely pummels DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Even if only half of the NAMS forecast precipitation fell for DC as snow and if the ratios were atrocious, 6-1, we'd still hit warning criteria. Have to like where we stand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 GFS so far the ULL is looking even more beastly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 GFS looks better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 gfs will be better than 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Rgem absolutely pummels DC 24 -- http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/592_100.gif 36 -- http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/593_100.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bari Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I apologize for this, but could someone explain to be what the "ULL" is? THanks alot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I apologize for this, but could someone explain to be what the "ULL" is? THanks alot upper level low. look at the 500mb maps to find it. you can see it diving down on the satellite imagery... http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/us_comp/us_comp_big.html it's the rotating bowling ball or whatever you wanna call it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 950mb freezing line is about 20mi farther southeast from 9z-15z tomorrow vs. the 6z GFS. Still slightly northwest of I-95 by eyeball. 975mb freezing line is somewhere in Canada...but the temp is still probably only 0-1C above freezing. Edit...ack...still warms above freezing at 950mb tomorrow afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 GFS looks better It isnt substantial but the surface goes east more quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 So when does everyone think the Warnings will be put up for Fairfax and DC? Probably before noon, especially if the GFS hops on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 GFS through 27 is seriously juicy. Position of low looks about identical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 gfs just seems to cr@p out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 GFS does not seem to be as much as impressed with the CCB as the NAM is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 slightly S/E at 36. DC should love this so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 gfs just seems to cr@p out it does...it isnt the slow mover the others are..we are done at like 6pm.....qpf now similar to euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 About 1.5" QPF per 12z GFS for DC and N/W suburbs, 2" in the blue ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hobbes9 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 QPFs are still 1.5-1.75 range for DC and central VA. Not as juicy as the NAM but was it ever going to be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 it does...it isnt the slow mover the others are..we are done at like 6pm.....qpf now similar to euro Euro and GFS together should be a cause for concern. The weenie side of me wants to say perhaps they are not picking up on the dynamics quite as well as the NAM. Still, that's interesting that it's like the EURO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 GFS has trimmed precip back in MD each of the last 3 runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 More realistic qpf. But the position should be better for DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 About 1.5" QPF per 12z GFS for DC and N/W suburbs, 2" in the blue ridge. Substantially less around Baltimore, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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