mitchnick Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I'll say this much this noaa site for soundings that I know many have used have lower temps than any of the text outputs I've seen for tonight's NAM http://ready.arl.noaa.gov/READYcmet.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Same positioning at 27, 850 line further south ahead of the SLP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Appears a bit colder and wetter at 36, looking better I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 hr 36 looks a little stronger, colder, and a hair further southeast than 18Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazeKing Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 slghtly colder, slightly wetter @36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazeKing Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 A lot colder @ 39...looks like moving towards NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 Definitely better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Bombs away at 36. Same location, looks colder thank god!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Still a little southeast an cooler at 45, snow continuing here with obvious deform band, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Every degree counts here, I'm really liking this change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 There is like five of us doing pbp, haha. I am stopping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 NAM vs GFS at 950mb at 48hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 THis is the time we probably should give a little more weight to the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shane M. Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Definitely colder: KIAD through Thu 06z WED 00Z 06-MAR 2.2 -1.3 1012 77 97 0.01 551 541 WED 06Z 06-MAR 0.7 -1.1 1005 94 100 0.38 545 541 WED 12Z 06-MAR 1.0 -1.6 998 100 100 0.42 535 537 WED 18Z 06-MAR 1.0 -2.2 999 100 100 0.38 534 535 THU 00Z 07-MAR 1.2 -1.7 1007 99 100 0.34 540 535 THU 06Z 07-MAR 0.6 -2.2 1011 93 86 0.06 544 535 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazeKing Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Exits a little faster and with less qpf than id like but definiitely a move towards the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Fingers crossed, but I think this looks better for the DC crowd. Run looks wetter, if that's believable. I guess the snow determination will be clearer when some of our pros come in with soundings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 winterwxluvr loves this run.. 2'+ for him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 You serious, Clark? Exits a little faster and with less qpf than id like but definiitely a move towards the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 And with that.. we will see a Warning from LWX before we wake up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 Ugh, storm does end quicker though. YOu guys are incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Exits a little faster and with less qpf than id like but definiitely a move towards the nam What the heck are you talking about? Less precip? What? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 THis is the time we probably should give a little more weight to the NAM. Hey can you explain why? Is it because the NAM does better with its higher resolution in working out the details? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Ugh, storm does end quicker though. I will take less rain if it gives me more snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 NAM is a higher resolution model it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Don Cherry's Jacket Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 NAM vs GFS at 950mb at 48hr http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?app=core&module=attach§ion=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=92668]NAM 950.gif[/url] http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?app=core&module=attach§ion=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=92669]GFS 950.gif[/url] What is that, 200 miles+ on the 0C line? Fascinating and huge difference so close to the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Exits a little faster and with less qpf than id like but definiitely a move towards the nam What? Look at the 48 hour total precip at hour 54... All of NOVA is in >1.5... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 What the heck are you talking about? Less precip? What? east of you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Nice recovery from 18Z. Weenies stressing over "less precip" with purples across the area are stupid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 YOu guys are incredible. Hey now, I like this run, and the good outweighs the bad by far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 east of you I have a feeling that for whatever reason this is a run that has you really worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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