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The March 6 Storm- The (last) Great White Hope, Part II


stormtracker

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Now I confused myself, if you read the bottom of the map it says precipitation accumulation so I think 75-100 is 7.5" to 10".

 

Oh I thought this was liquid equivalent. I'm not sure it's snow accumulation. I think E-wall uses a similar scale like that. With 175 = 1.75 liquid equal. 50 = 0.50 inch. Maybe we are thinking the same thing - because yes after the typical 10:1 ratio that would yield 7.5-10 inches of snow. But I think it's liquid. 

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Thanks guys. I think it must be like the qpf so 175-200 would be 1.75 to 2.00. If so that is indeed a lot of moisture off of the 18z Hi Res NAM with the jackpot of 2-3 in northwest MD.

 

Also, fwiw the hires nam basically keeps the p type as snow for those north and west of 95.

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before I get a storm of people angry for saying that, I should clarify that the sref is north with the precip sheild NOT the storm track.  This is the normal period where models figure out the extent of the precip on the northern edge will be further then they thought initially. 

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before I get a storm of people angry for saying that, I should clarify that the sref is north with the precip sheild NOT the storm track.  This is the normal period where models figure out the extent of the precip on the northern edge will be further then they thought initially. 

LOL...well, you just answered my question above!  Thanks.  What you said makes sense about models adjusting the precip shield extent.

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Despite DTs facebook scolding of this forum, he basically has the DC-Balt region in 8-12" of snow...pretty bullish for a guy that seemed like the southern track would prevail

Are you actually looking for logic in anything from DT? I take great pride in him banning me from his facebook threads after I told him that I was sick of him over-hyping everything instead of being realistic like the Mets in this forum.  He has been unprofessional ever since he was on Wright-Weather, but now he makes things up to impress his blind followers (typically students and mom's that have no knowledge of even the basics of meteorology so they they can't tell him when he is wrong, that's how he likes it lol)

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anyone expecting these snowfall numbers to equal the snow depth in their backyard is going to be very disappointed

What snowfall numbers??? I think most people have realistic expectations. 4-8 in the cities is probably a good bet, west of there, dramatic increase

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