TalcottWx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 With the way you long time locals talk about pepco go look up the blizzard damage in the se mass area from the blizzard. They got a paste job and some members of the board didn't have power for a week. Winds were significantly stronger there however, but those are examples of already storm hardened communities that were hammered. At least a lot of the deadwood and trees were taken down here locally between the derecho and sandy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 does anyone know what the temps and dewpoint around the area are looking like during the projected start time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Through 24, 18z NAM looks similar to 12z on the h5 panels... perhaps a smidge slower and NW on the 18z Its just barely SW of the 12z when comparyng panels side by side Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 stronger at 30 hours....maybe 50 miles south of 12z. Holding course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 and it's moving north of us too, which is a real shocker in my book I would have never thought this had a chance to effect people in NE, but it likely will I don't think come Thursday sne will have a huge coup over us in snow totals. I think with this track id rather be in the mid atlantic. This storm goes boom over our heads and its stacked. The metros and just nw are in the modeled sweet spot. I personally would pick Westminster as a place to be. I think Carroll sits pretty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I think the discussions will fire up again when DCA measures 3.5" and Glenmont 7.5" with apparently the same snowfall rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 Looks wetter vs 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Looks wetter vs 12z yep, and a hair slower at 33 vs. 39, but that has been the trend with each run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 even 33 hr sim rad is impressive http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=nam&area=namer¶m=sim_radar&cycle=18ℑ=nam%2F18%2Fnam_namer_033_sim_radar.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TL97 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 At 36 it's much wetter then 12z with identical low placement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I gather we are discussing the 12z EURO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I gather we are discussing the 12z EURO? 18z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nflwxman Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 NAM going to be super juicy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 a tad stronger....looking identical to 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TL97 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 39 identical low placement with heavy precip on DC's doorstep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Could someone tell me what my temp looks like please I would really appreciate it I have heavy rates and the 850 line right on top of me with .75 falling in a 6 hr period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I don't think come Thursday sne will have a huge coup over us in snow totals. I think with this track id rather be in the mid atlantic. This storm goes boom over our heads and its stacked. The metros and just nw are in the modeled sweet spot. I personally would pick Westminster as a place to be. I think Carroll sits pretty. If the deform band gets up here yea, but right now I would pick somewhere in NW VA with a little elevation if I had to pick one spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Verbatim its tough to tell whether the track is a touch south through 36 or just even slower looking at 5h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 If the deform band gets up here yea, but right now I would pick somewhere in NW VA with a little elevation if I had to pick one spot. I agree. Thats true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 42 looks exact same.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 With concern of precip. 18z is about 10 miles farther N with the precip axis.. but sharper with the N edge. More or less flatter.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 42 the nam is nearly identical if not a few miles west. Qpf might be even more impressive then previously modeled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 by the time the 18z run NAM run finishes, the storm will be over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 lol, the vort max is in the EXACT same spot as 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Looks wetter vs 12z lol...youve said that every run since Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 lol...youve said that every run since Saturday "lol", probably because it's true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 lol, the vort max is in the EXACT same spot as 12z last night NAM 00z was the valley low when it only gave us 1.25 qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TL97 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Through 48 DC at 1.4 and Baltimore at 1ish... with more to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 DC crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 5H looks better to me this run at 18z than 12z at 48 \the axis is better and vort max is a hair to the west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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