SNO Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Does this support a SE movement of the "jackpot" area? I would say no. They should have warning critera amounts of snow, but best totals should be in Shenandoah Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Does this support a SE movement of the "jackpot" area? I think it's just precautionary as all watches are. They can turn a Watch into a WWA now just as well as a WS Warning. It's supposed to be for "potential of 5" of snow or greater" and I think that's certainly a potential scenario for southern MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I think the read it in weep comment was in a good way..not bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 euro should be a touch north based on 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 yeah at least a smidge north.. still clocks SW of DC best but should be better into dc area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 The euro is north of 0z...not sure how that will affect QPF yet I need an o face. Honestly I'd be shocked if it didn't come at least a little north. I don't really expect anything dramatic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 still does that silly SE jog but it's over the mouth of the bay initially when it does it this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 sounds to me like we're really getting better consensus now and that temps are going to start being the next main focus (if they haven't already). side note: it sure does feel chilly outside for early march Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 Estimate through 66 (probably done) IAD: 1.25" DCA: 1.20" BWI: 1.0" I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 gets 1"+ north of the potomac.. so everyone bumps a bit except maybe west snow map looks pretty similar but pushes east slightly (again--did the same last night) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Estimate through 66 (probably done) IAD: 1.25" DCA: 1.20" BWI: 1.0" What the N extent of the .5" contour if you don't mind me asking... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 gets 1"+ north of the potomac.. so everyone bumps a bit except maybe west snow map looks pretty similar but pushes east slightly (again--did the same last night) We need your crude paint map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 .75" almost to the md/pa border in far ne md.. everyone else above that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Estimate through 66 (probably done) IAD: 1.25" DCA: 1.20" BWI: 1.0" Better for us then 00z ofc... DCA was 0.98 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Boston 3 feet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 We need your crude paint map. 4-8" N/S thru DC or maybe just east, 8-12" N/S thru eastern Loudoun, 12-18" hugging the area we know will jackpot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 .75" almost to the md/pa border in far ne md.. everyone else above that OH that's plenty with ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Thanks for the early Euro updates, guys. Like zwyts said, the Euro is so solid, that for it to nudge the precip a little north on consecutive runs is a great trend for those of us closer to the northern edge and more in need of rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Boston 3 feet? No, maybe a 0.25" of precip through 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 4-8" N/S thru DC or maybe just east, 8-12" N/S thru eastern Loudoun, 12-18" hugging the area we know will jackpot Based on no science at all, I'm going to average all the models and go 5-10 for dc, 10-15 for loudoun and 15+ west of that. Mark my words. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fodie77 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Sorry for the IMBY post, but QPF for RIC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Euro 850 temps are cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Richmond is rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Richmond temps are a disaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Really nice run of the Euro. It caved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Richmond is rain boston gets fringed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 boston gets fringed they are just like we were at 84 hrs they will get hit, count on it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I think euro may have one more qpf increase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 The GFS ensembles look like someone got lazy and just copied every member. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Richmond temps are a disaster They do flip eventually, but with this north trend by 0z they may be complete rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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