cyclone77 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Yup...gotta watch out for those tornadoes on the north side of this clipper system. Somebody hit a wrong button lol. It's a test tornado warning I guess. Getting ready for severe season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 nado awareness was last week.. mke still rolling with warning for here.. could have at least mentioned they were going to bust in some areas before the afternoon package. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 hi-res nmm will be well south/west sfc low actually further north at 30hr compared to it's 0z run. Maybe a tad slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 sfc low actually further north at 30hr compared to it's 0z run. Maybe a tad slower. Wagons north. cyclone gets crushed on the 12z NMM. Very nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Wagons north. cyclone gets crushed on the 12z NMM. Very nice. sfc low ends up stronger/further NW compared to 0z but best band is further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I'm getting whiplash from changing directions so many times.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIWeather Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 LOT expands Winter Storm Warning further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 sfc low ends up stronger/further NW compared to 0z but best band is further south. Chicago does very well. Thunder Road better get back to VPZ, if the NMM has a clue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Alright well the NMM might be further north than anything other than the NAM lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I'm getting whiplash from changing directions so many times.... Nah, we're not talking some super north move here. NMM has basically zilch for MKE. Looks like the "precip field" of the 12z GFS and NAM really, but with clearly too much QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Warning text for IKK with 5-8" LOT bumped amounts for here in warning text to 7-10" with mention of now 2"/hr rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 P&C for IKK. Tuesday: Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 34. East wind 10 to 15 mph becoming north northeast in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible. Tuesday Night: Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 26. North northwest wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Updated LOT graphic...They're still riding north... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 hrw-nmm_eus_042_precip_p36.gif Weenie blob of 1.50"+ over cyclone's house? Or close to it anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Alek's new favorite model. 12z UKie total QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Warning text for IKK with 5-8" LOT bumped amounts for here in warning text to 7-10" with mention of now 2"/hr rates. Yup. They also bumped point forecasts. 4-8 on Tuesday, 2-4 Tuesday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Yup. They also bumped point forecasts. 4-8 on Tuesday, 2-4 Tuesday night Tuesday Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 31. East wind 10 to 15 mph becoming north in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 5 to 9 inches possible. Tuesday Night Snow with areas of blowing snow before midnight, then areas of blowing snow and a chance of snow after midnight. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 22. North northwest wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 48hr total precip. Looks nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 P&C for IKK. Tuesday: Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 34. East wind 10 to 15 mph becoming north northeast in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible. Tuesday Night: Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 26. North northwest wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Don't go look at the P&C for LAF That damn 5 letter S word is there.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RJSnowLover Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Tonight: Snow, mainly after midnight. Low around 29. East wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Tuesday: Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 32. Breezy, with a east wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 5 to 9 inches possible. Tuesday Night: Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 27. Blustery, with a north wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. P&C going HAM with the 7-13" range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 48hr total precip. Looks nice! Wrong run... that's the 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Weenie blob of 1.50"+ over cyclone's house? Or close to it anyway. Haha, man that'd be sweet. Think that's pretty overdone, but feel very good about 6-8" of fresh powder for here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Don't go look at the P&C for LAF That damn 5 letter S word is there.. lol, yep. Wouldn't be a winter storm in the LAF without [expletive] unmentionable precipitation type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Wrong run... that's the 6z Oops..sorry guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 HRW-NMM showing some nice pockets of 1"+/hr rates over parts of northern IL and IN, including Chicago and LAF. EDIT: This is just a 6hr window of snowfall ending at 39hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 LOT update .DISCUSSION...1126 AM CSTWE HAVE UPGRADED THE REMAINING COUNTIES IN THE WINTER STORM WATCH TOA WARNING. WE DECIDED TO HOLD OFF ON ANYTHING FROM OUR FAR SOUTHERNCOUNTIES UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGH IT IS QUITE POSSIBLE THAT AWARNING MAY BE WARRANTED FOR THESE COUNTIES AS WELL.THE LATEST 12 UTC GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO HIT THE AREA HARD WITH HEAVYSNOW...ESPECIALLY DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY. IT CURRENTLY APPEARSTHAT MOST OF THE AREA WILL RECEIVE AT LEAST 5 TO 6 INCHES...BUT MANYAREAS WILL LIKELY RECEIVE MUCH MORE THAN THIS. THE THREAT FOR LAKEENHANCEMENT LATER TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD RESULT IN AFOOT OR MORE ACROSS SOME ISOLATED LOCATIONS NEAR THE LAKE. FARTHERINLAND...SNOW AMOUNTS WILL STILL BE FAIRLY IMPRESSIVE...WITH 5 TO 8INCHES LIKELY.THE STRONG DYNAMICS WITH THIS SYSTEM AND THE LIKELIHOOD OF LOW STATICSTABILITY IN THE MID LEVELS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO SOME IMPRESSIVE SNOWRATES...OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES PER HOUR. SOME ISOLATEDAREAS...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE LAKE COULD SEE SOME PERIODS OF 2 INCHPER HOUR RATES. I DID BUMP UP SNOW AMOUNTS SOME ACROSS NORTHEASTERNILLINOIS DUE TO THE LIKELIHOOD OF LAKE ENHANCEMENT.WE WILL ASSESS THE NEED FOR EITHER A WARNING OR ADVISORY FOR THE FARSOUTHERN COUNTIES FOR THE AFTERNOON PACKAGE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 LOT update .DISCUSSION...1126 AM CSTWE HAVE UPGRADED THE REMAINING COUNTIES IN THE WINTER STORM WATCH TOA WARNING. WE DECIDED TO HOLD OFF ON ANYTHING FROM OUR FAR SOUTHERNCOUNTIES UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGH IT IS QUITE POSSIBLE THAT AWARNING MAY BE WARRANTED FOR THESE COUNTIES AS WELL.THE LATEST 12 UTC GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO HIT THE AREA HARD WITH HEAVYSNOW...ESPECIALLY DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY. IT CURRENTLY APPEARSTHAT MOST OF THE AREA WILL RECEIVE AT LEAST 5 TO 6 INCHES...BUT MANYAREAS WILL LIKELY RECEIVE MUCH MORE THAN THIS. THE THREAT FOR LAKEENHANCEMENT LATER TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD RESULT IN AFOOT OR MORE ACROSS SOME ISOLATED LOCATIONS NEAR THE LAKE. FARTHERINLAND...SNOW AMOUNTS WILL STILL BE FAIRLY IMPRESSIVE...WITH 5 TO 8INCHES LIKELY.THE STRONG DYNAMICS WITH THIS SYSTEM AND THE LIKELIHOOD OF LOW STATICSTABILITY IN THE MID LEVELS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO SOME IMPRESSIVE SNOWRATES...OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES PER HOUR. SOME ISOLATEDAREAS...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE LAKE COULD SEE SOME PERIODS OF 2 INCHPER HOUR RATES. I DID BUMP UP SNOW AMOUNTS SOME ACROSS NORTHEASTERNILLINOIS DUE TO THE LIKELIHOOD OF LAKE ENHANCEMENT.WE WILL ASSESS THE NEED FOR EITHER A WARNING OR ADVISORY FOR THE FARSOUTHERN COUNTIES FOR THE AFTERNOON PACKAGE. going to be the heartbreaker of the winter for sure...lol @ foot or more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Updated Cook county zone. .TONIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW IN THE EVENING...THENSNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATION UP TO 1 INCH. LOWS IN THEUPPER 20S. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION80 PERCENT..TUESDAY...SNOW. SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES IN THE AFTERNOON.SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 8 INCHES. TEMPERATURES NEARLY STEADY INTHE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO30 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 100 PERCENT..TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW IN THE EVENING...THEN SNOW LIKELY AFTERMIDNIGHT. SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES IN THE EVENING. SEVERALINCHES OF ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. BLUSTERY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.NORTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CHANCE OFPRECIPITATION 100 PERCENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Been snowing for about 4hrs now. Accumulated a tenth earlier, but that has all melted off. Rates are so light it's not accumulating. Still pretty impressed at the staying power this WAA has had. Nice to see mood flakes flying around out there the day before the real deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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