BowMeHunter Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Look at the prediction thread. my bad, I didn't see anything before I went to bed. few tenths off milwaukee's low end of forecast. hard to believe my cyclone like call of 2.4" is in serious jeopardy of busting high even. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 my bad, I didn't see anything before I went to bed. few tenths off milwaukee's low end of forecast. hard to believe my cyclone like call of 2.4" is in serious jeopardy of busting high even. Same here, and my Madison call will be utterly awful probably. Oh well, the Euro had the general idea with tapering amounts quickly north and east of Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 According to the 12z RGEM precipitation type maps, gonna need to drive 15 miles north for mostly frozen. Does flip completely over eventually, but not until tomorrow evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Same here, and my Madison call will be utterly awful probably. Oh well, the Euro had the general idea with tapering amounts quickly north and east of Chicago. Thankfully we have Dr No to catch the early signs of American Model disease. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 According to the 12z RGEM precipitation type maps, gonna need to drive 15 miles north for mostly frozen. good thing you're bald or else you'd have a chia pet head of gray hair after this one.. quit sweating it man... dr no has your back still. that's all you need to look at.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 good thing you're bald or else you'd have a chia pet head of gray hair after this one.. quit sweating it man... dr no has your back still. that's all you need to look at.. Winter beard is graying. Well, that's been happening for awhile. Still riding a fine line here, but snow prospects have definitely increased. That's all I can ask for I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 According to the 12z RGEM precipitation type maps, gonna need to drive 15 miles north for mostly frozen. Does flip completely over eventually, but not until tomorrow evening. lol...12zrgem comes close to whiffing chicago thru n.IN and n.OH... 12zNAM hammers those same 'whiffed' areas... Model differences inside 48hrs are astounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 lol...12zrgem comes close to whiffing chicago thru n.IN and n.OH... 12zNAM hammers those same 'whiffed' areas... Model differences inside 48hrs are astounding. It's south alright. I'm not sure if MKE sees a flake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 the trend is not my friend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 lol...12zrgem comes close to whiffing chicago thru n.IN and n.OH... 12zNAM hammers those same 'whiffed' areas... Model differences inside 48hrs are astounding. Looks like it completely misses all of the WSW issued by Cleveland... at this point I'm not even sure what to think. SREF/GFS/NAM was 6" or so, ECMWF was 3-7" here, GGEM/RGEM/UKMET haven't had decent precip here for a while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 12z NAM text for LAF. Torch, then fun. 2-4"-ish. 24 03/05 12Z 32 31 94 13 0.03 0.00 540 549 1.2 -22.2 1011 100 -RA 014OVC257 0.0 10.727 03/05 15Z 35 32 100 14 0.04 0.00 541 548 1.4 -21.7 1009 100 -RA 011OVC135 0.0 11.630 03/05 18Z 36 33 101 9 0.10 0.00 540 546 -0.3 -22.6 1007 100 -RA 008OVC270 0.0 8.333 03/05 21Z 32 32 12 2 0.15 0.00 536 541 -4.9 -22.8 1005 100 SN 007OVC279 1.5 0.436 03/06 00Z 31 30 23 10 0.16 0.00 533 538 -5.8 -24.2 1006 100 -SN 007OVC239 1.6 0.939 03/06 03Z 27 26 8 15 0.08 0.00 531 538 -7.4 -24.0 1009 100 -SN 008OVC248 0.8 0.742 03/06 06Z 27 26 360 19 0.06 0.00 532 542 -8.1 -24.2 1012 100 009OVC155 0.4 3.345 03/06 09Z 27 25 348 18 0.01 0.00 533 545 -6.6 -22.9 1015 100 009OVC157 0.1 4.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Winter beard is graying. Well, that's been happening for awhile. Still riding a fine line here, but snow prospects have definitely increased. That's all I can ask for I guess. I might have to go bald after this winter.. going on 40 and the grey hair is spreading faster than a sex workers legs the night rent is due. My favorite storms are the ones where you work your way in to the goods instead of being the bulls eye days out... Congrats man. no way you deserved another cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 12z UK stepped north a bit...it had to considering it was on the extreme southern edge. But best snows remain "well south" of I-80. DNV, CMI, on east "jackpot". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Looks like it completely misses all of the WSW issued by Cleveland... at this point I'm not even sure what to think. SREF/GFS/NAM was 6" or so, ECMWF was 3-7" here, GGEM/RGEM/UKMET haven't had decent precip here for a while Well I guess the GFS can be crossed off that list... yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 12z UK stepped north a bit...it had to considering it was on the extreme southern edge. But best snows remain "well south" of I-80. snatching defeat from the jaws of victory...winter 2012/2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 12z NAM text for LAF. Torch, then fun. 2-4"-ish. 24 03/05 12Z 32 31 94 13 0.03 0.00 540 549 1.2 -22.2 1011 100 -RA 014OVC257 0.0 10.727 03/05 15Z 35 32 100 14 0.04 0.00 541 548 1.4 -21.7 1009 100 -RA 011OVC135 0.0 11.630 03/05 18Z 36 33 101 9 0.10 0.00 540 546 -0.3 -22.6 1007 100 -RA 008OVC270 0.0 8.333 03/05 21Z 32 32 12 2 0.15 0.00 536 541 -4.9 -22.8 1005 100 SN 007OVC279 1.5 0.436 03/06 00Z 31 30 23 10 0.16 0.00 533 538 -5.8 -24.2 1006 100 -SN 007OVC239 1.6 0.939 03/06 03Z 27 26 8 15 0.08 0.00 531 538 -7.4 -24.0 1009 100 -SN 008OVC248 0.8 0.742 03/06 06Z 27 26 360 19 0.06 0.00 532 542 -8.1 -24.2 1012 100 009OVC155 0.4 3.345 03/06 09Z 27 25 348 18 0.01 0.00 533 545 -6.6 -22.9 1015 100 009OVC157 0.1 4.1 What site did you use for that text? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Looks like it completely misses all of the WSW issued by Cleveland... at this point I'm not even sure what to think. SREF/GFS/NAM was 6" or so, ECMWF was 3-7" here, GGEM/RGEM/UKMET haven't had decent precip here for a while gfs crushes i-70 corridor now across OH. fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 What site did you use for that text? http://www.wxcaster.com/models_text.htm'>http://www.wxcaster.com/models_text.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 12z GFS still looks good for I-80 south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 sne gets crushed now lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Still too early to claim victory...but it's looking like the foreign models are taking the Americans back behind the woodshed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 LAF on the 9z SREF plumes mean: 6.2" high: 11.6" low: 1.2" 10 runs higher than the mean, 10 runs lower than the mean. Things are looking up. If we don't get an additional southward shift then I'd probably put final amounts shy of warning criteria due to uncertainties on BL temps early on/changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Things are looking up. If we don't get an additional southward shift then I'd probably put final amounts shy of warning criteria due to uncertainties on BL temps early on/changeover. 2-4", 3-5"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 sne gets crushed now lol. The further south the snow goes in the Great Lakes the further NW the storm goes in New England. Fantastic. Hope you enjoy your winter storm warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 what a winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 The further south the snow goes in the Great Lakes the further NW the storm goes in New England. Fantastic. Hope you enjoy your winter storm warning I wasn't a sucker that fell for the watch/warning... enjoy your snow man! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 http://www.wxcaster.com/models_text.htm Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 It's never easy here, not that I should be complaining right now. But the 12z RGEM with the "flip LAF off finger" on the snowfall map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 2-4", 3-5"? Something like that looks good for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 It's never easy here. 12z RGEM with the "flip LAF off finger" on the snowfall map. 3:4 12z RGEM snowfall.gif 1-3" purgatory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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