Chitown Storm Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 does LOT now pull the trigger and extend warnings south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 does LOT now pull the trigger and extend warnings south? yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 why did they ever go to an advisory only anyways? last storm was easy as pie to see north side of chicago all the way up the lake was in for good snow. There was a shift south in guidance, before it came back even farther north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 its gonna rip down south.. not sure about near 14" rip but there is going to be some double digi's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Meteorologically packed you could say. I don't know...still kinda want to err on the lower end unless we change to snow quicker or have no problem sticking initially. We're in agreement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 NAM going weaker/south again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 There was a shift south in guidance, before it came back even farther north. suckers.. and now they got sucked in by the NAM lulz. even you busted bad up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIWeather Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 does LOT now pull the trigger and extend warnings south? They said in their AFD update earlier, that chances are they would. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 -RAPL at IND right now. WAA band has held fairly strong, further east. Dewpoint at LAF went down a degree to 19º. But, again, better returns in the county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Waiting for IWX to get brave and issue warnings with their afternoon package. Thinking 6-8 IMBY and greater amounts sw of me in north central IN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 18z NAM much warmer for LAF. Yeah, this is gonna be touch and go. Rather be just north of here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afterimage Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 IND upgrading to a Warning for the LAF-MIE-OKK areas. 5-7" sleet/snow. Bullish. Great AFD from them. A must read. Yes, it was a great read. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 why did they ever go to an advisory only anyways? last storm was easy as pie to see north side of chicago all the way up the lake was in for good snow. I think they downgraded about 24 hours out, then early on Tuesday they started back peddling! The 18z suite on Monday went a little south and spooked them. Edit: This has happened 2 or 3 times this winter. They should issue when LOT does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 its going to be hard to justify mke even putting an advisory out now for some areas.. They would and do so much better when they operate like LOT and maybe have to play catch up at worst.. Maybe this bust will finally sink in that's its ok to milk it and not just go all in early especially when dr no is not on board with the american junk. Lol, classic writing off the storm just as it's starting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Nam still dumps 10" for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 18z NAM much warmer for LAF. Yeah, this is gonna be touch and go. Rather be just north of here... Changeover looks like it may be a couple hours slower on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RJSnowLover Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 NAM still showing 6-8" for the city of Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Chicago continues to look good, via the 18z NAM. Weaker/farther south concerns invalid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 brutal rush hr for chicago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 NAM going weaker/south again Hour 27 still a solid hit. We're golden dude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Chicago continues to look good, via the 18z NAM. Weaker/farther south concerns invalid. Agree. Looks a lot like the euro. Northern IL does very well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Changeover looks like it may be a couple hours slower on this run. Bad run for us, as we get split by the heavier bands of precip. Shows the volatility for LAF. I like my 2.8"...or 2-4" range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Through hr 30 nam is .50 for all of Chicago area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Lol, classic writing off the storm just as it's starting. talking in the east.. unless you have some model that shows advisory snow there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Think the southern trend might be over, just might cut back QPF a bit in the Euro's direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 HRRR gives an idea about how this is going to set up, sweet track for southern WI and northern IL http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/jsloopLocalDiskDateDomain.cgi?dsKeys=hrrr_jet:&runTime=2013030415&plotName=1ref_t2sfc&fcstInc=60&numFcsts=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields%20-%20Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&resizePlot=1&domain=t2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Jackpot i88 and south through hr 33. .75+ for alek bank clock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 nam is beautiful south.. congrats ladies and gents. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 OMG TOTALLY WEAKER AND SOUTH! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RJSnowLover Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Chicago flirting with the 10-12" range at 35hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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