Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 0z Euro is very similar to the 12z NavGem. I'm sure that lends confidence. GEFS still a pummeling. For what it's not worth ... the 12z 'GAP was slightly less progressed and NW ...slightly, of the 00z run, tho - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 84 hours says Ekster loses the bet, he gets more snow from this one versus today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I think EURO will be a crush job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I think EURO will be a crush job. That would be a MASSIVE shift in just 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 We have already had a EURO blizzard....now maybe a GFS blizzard lol A GFS solution is a real pasty snow - it's harder to verify blizzards with larger aggregates that are glued together by 32F isotherms. Even with wind blowing it around, it will be harder to verify a blizzard in the non-hyperbolic terminology of this when we don't have the "saw dust" dryness to work with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Should we start taking bets on 8:00a.m. Thursday flighits from BDL? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 A GFS solution is a real pasty snow - it's harder to verify blizzards with larger aggregates that are glued together by 32F isotherms. Even with wind blowing it around, it will be harder to verify a blizzard in the no hyperbolic terminology of this when we don't have the "saw dust" dryness to work with. You read too much into it...I just meant monster storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I think EURO will be a crush job. Like I said last night/yesterday it's not an incremental thing. The Euro was too slow with the ULL, missed the feature up here which lowers heights (which allows for the faster movement) and was slow to slide the northern energy SW. It's a tipping scale and eventually it hits the point where the low just jumps a huge amount NW because everything is better aligned, that should be this run. Again more in agreement with the euro ensembles. I don't expect the Euro will be terribly different from the NAM/CMC/UK, the GFS is probably overdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 You read too much into it...I just meant monster storm. No ... I knew what you meant - That's why I said non-hyperbolic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 GEFS locked in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Not really sure what the Euro will show and nobody else is either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 You read too much into it...I just meant monster storm. Personally I don't really care much for blizzard verification. Wind can be fun and all, but ultimately I find larger flakes and more evenly distributed amounts more enjoyable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 That would be a MASSIVE shift in just 12 hours. Well, it doesn't need to take baby steps. If it's capturing that pivot like the others, it should just take the giant step. I'm inclined to think that it's new sampling will have ingested whatever was missing before and NW it will come. Still anticipate that WNE will be sitting on the fringes. But I'd be pretty excited if I were east of the CT river. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Not really sure what the Euro will show and nobody else is either. We all get smarter in 1 hour or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I don't expect the Euro will be terribly different from the NAM/CMC/UK, the GFS is probably overdone. Speaking solely for our backyards, the GFS being overdone is probably a good thing wrt the mixing line. A compromise is still a huge hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Personally I don't really care much for blizzard verification. Wind can be fun and all, but ultimately I find larger flakes and more evenly distributed amounts more enjoyable. I'm with you...I enjoy the juggernauts of the April '97 ilk, more than that of the Jan '11, or Feb '13... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I hope Ekster posts that weenie gfs snow accumulation map because BOS totals would be obscene. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 GEFS locked in. Seems to be. Good luck folks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Yea, the GFS is probably too amped....but as others have intimated, a slightly more supressed solution than that of the 12z GFS would clobber a more expanisve section of the region by limiting precip type issues in the se. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfsensemble/12zgfsensemblep120120.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Not really sure what the Euro will show and nobody else is either. I'll bet you $50 the bowling ball to oblivion is gone this run because that was silly to begin with...that brings it into the fold of the other models. Beyond that I am not sold on the blizzard the GFS has, Euro likely backs the non-gfs consensus. Only way I see it coming in as amped is if this really is the next great blizzard and the GFS has had a total coup, but that goes without saying. To me this has played out very similar to the seasonal pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Speaking solely for our backyards, the GFS being overdone is probably a good thing wrt the mixing line. A compromise is still a huge hit. Speaking of my area, I hope it rains. A damaging snowstorm for my area is not what I need now, travel plans late week. This is shaping up to be a freaking nightmare for me, this will surely put a huge dent in air travel on the east coast. I say that only because this is one of those times I'm actually hoping things go wet vs white here so in now way do my comments re the GFS being too amped play into a desire for snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Not really sure what the Euro will show and nobody else is either. Come one, throw out a useful guess just like 20 others will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 That might be the sickest GEFS run I have ever seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 The 12z GFS would be a more impressive event to me, personally, than the blizzard last month.....2'+ of cement is simply more imperssive, than wind-swept sand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 That might be the sickest GEFS run I have ever seen. No kidding. 3" on a mean? What in the hell? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Come one, throw out a useful guess just like 20 others will. It's 54-72 hours out, at some point people need to kind of make a call here vs waiting for the models to totally agree, JMHO. I feel like everyone is waiting for the Euro when it's probably a foregone conclusion that it's going to cave substantially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 That's 2-3 feet of tree tearing down snow. Yes please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 The 12z GFS would be a more impressive event to me, personally, than the blizzard last month.....2'+ of cement is simply more imperssive, than wind-swept sand. Much bigger impact on the region if that happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 The 12z GFS would be a more impressive event to me, personally, than the blizzard last month.....2'+ of cement is simply more imperssive, than wind-swept sand. It would certainly have a more damaging affect, Then the last one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.