Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 We may have to start taking our clothes off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 lol, Feet of snow, This would be the biggest model coup verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 20"-30" Blizzard!! GFS Keeps getting Better as All Mets Continue to say No! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 thats a nasty a$$ LLJ the GFS orientates itself over PHL- BOS.. 75knots^^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 We may have to start taking our clothes off Because of the GFS? Someone should take your temperature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 a general .75"-1.25" qpf for all of SNE, except fo 1.5-2.5" for extreme eastern areas.. winds look like a big problem as well as Long Island Sound flooding.. as with Sandy a storm (this one stalling) to the ESE of Long Island would be horrible news... BUT what does this all mean with the EURO still showing partly cloudy skies?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I gotta say....GFS may have pulled a coup with unc coming on board. Crazy! Nothing's verified yet of course ... just sayin', THAT many GFS members being nearly identical and persisting across more than a mere cycle was/is telling in my mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Always been more worried about rain vs a miss here. Still am. Dryslot will be making snow angels with Ekster Friday while we squeegee our living rooms. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I hope the GFS is right and scores a big coup over the Euro. LOL, oh man is this ever true for me too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 The RGEM would have done this as well IMO...it has that piece sitting on top of NE. I am happy I didn't book my motel yet in VA, I may have to roadtrip to Boston again lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I hope the GFS is right and scores a big coup over the Euro. Me too Randy, I assume it's really good for you guys too? If only because I like the idea that even in 2013 we can never be too reliant on any one model. I have no doubt the Euro comes north this run, but we also can't ignore (up here) that the GFS has almost always been overdone in these situations right about now. (aside of the last blizzard where it was underdone, lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I would love to see the euro jump north today I'm sure it will..whether it actually does so in a significant enough fashion to start making us believe a major storm is coming is another question. That retro-phase of the energy has definitely been the main key. I remember texting Scooter the othernight wondering if we could pull off a March 2001 with the retrophase only everything is shifted well south since the block was well south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Just wow. I knew I felt uneasy with the ensembles...might have to eat crow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 GFS still going balls to the wall eh? Not only that, seems to be trending towards and even bigger hit the last couple runs. Big Euro run today...can the GFS pull the upset of the winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Over 2" qpf here................ Meanwhile still retro snowing here again today, 5 days straight of weenie snows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Just wow. I knew I felt uneasy with the ensembles...might have to eat crow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 the gfs actually changes most of SE new england to rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 LOL, looks like SE MA sees more snow than WV/VA/MD. Nuts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Because of the GFS? Someone should take your temperature. No way...if Kev has taught this board one thing...GFS is trash. Right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I am a bit confused here, is this a storm snow for Northern Connecticut or not? Local mets last night had nothing. The ULL is hanging around like an unwanted house guest, wouldn't that push this storm out to sea south of here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 the gfs actually changes most of SE new england to rain Yep. that's been my fear that we ultimately ended up with a system that drags in so much warm air I flip. LOL. In this case not a bad thing I have a flight I need to take Saturday, this is a nightmare for me right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I'm mobile, but is that all snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 We may have to start taking our clothes off The reverse psychology may be working again. Kevin not on board hyping the storm because it was the GFS. Keep tossing it, Kevin, that means blizzard incoming! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 pretty crazy to think they we may have another blizzard or close to it in just a couple days.. excited for the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 This overnight MDD excerpt from NCEP seems funny right now... ...THE 00Z GFS/GEFS MEAN ARE THEDEEPEST/FURTHEST N SOLNS WHILE THE UKMET SUITE OF SOLNS STILLREMAINS TOO QUICK. EVEN THE ENS MEANS START TO DIVERGE BY LATE WEDAS THE ENERGY PUSHES OFFSHORE OF THE MID-ATLC. ESSENTIALLY THE 00ZGEFS MEAN/21Z SREF MEAN ARE ON THE NRN EDGE OF THE CONSENSUS WHILETHE 12Z ECMWF ENS MEAN REMAINS DISPLACED TO THE S. GIVEN MOST OFTHE 00Z GUIDANCE HAS BEGUN FAVORING A LOWER LATITUDE SOLN...PERTHE 00Z CMC/UKMET/ECMWF AND 12Z ECMWF ENS MEAN...WILL FAVOR A 2/3WEIGHTING TOWARD THE ECMWF VS. THE GFS. OF NOTE...THE 00Z ECMWF ISSLGTLY AHEAD OF ITS FORMER RUN BUT IS ACTUALLY PROFOUNDLY FASTERTHAN 24 HRS AGO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Just wow. I knew I felt uneasy with the ensembles...might have to eat crow. Don't get sucked in just yet. Wait for at least a majority if not across the board consistency. Also, temp profiles look just a touch warm halfway through (what a duration, tho). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Forky, the damage is done by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 GFS still going balls to the wall eh? Not only that, seems to be trending towards and even bigger hit the last couple runs. Big Euro run today...can the GFS pull the upset of the winter? I'm gonna just put this out there: nope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I'm mobile, but is that all snow? For I-95 westward it looks like it is. BOS may flip as its lightening up after 78 hours, though then it goes back to light snow after 96 hours. Its close for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 This is a pretty sweet sounding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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