Baroclinic Zone Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Blizzard ? On the Goofus, looks like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 GFS is a crushing hit most of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 One detail that has gone completely under the radar is that the last 3 cycles of the oper. GFS has rotated the entire trough axis slightly more negative in orientation per time intervals. This is not likely being noticed because it is natural to want to focus on the core of the quasi-closed feature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 damn close Blizzard ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Lol I love the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 You guys get absolutely rocked this run, WOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 i hate you guys!! lol. but seriously, the leftover energy sitting over top of NY grabs the ULL as it heads to the BM, and pulls it back west. Hence, the qpf bomb. Id be careful with such an extreme outlier solution, but hope it works out for ou guys. Just comical differnces between the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 how long are you going to keep ignoring the GFS. The storm for DC starts tomorrow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Crazy Uncle starting to bite now too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I'm honestly shocked. This is one of the biggest Euro/GFS differences I can recall - and there have been a lot of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 On the Goofus, looks like it. LOL, looks like SE MA sees more snow than WV/VA/MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 10" up here. What a terrible model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 People keep tossing but models have been moving towards the GFS.. slowly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I'm pretty sure those are pure GFS-based. So that would be the worst case scenario. Tainted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 3' for BOS? OMG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 One detail that has gone completely under the radar is that the last 3 cycles of the oper. GFS has rotated the entire trough axis slightly more negative in orientation per time intervals. This is not likely being noticed because it is natural to want to focus on the core of the quasi-closed feature. Wasn't lost on me Tip, nor the fact that the Euro was coming around to that idea too it was just too slow in the south, and totally missed the spin coming across New England. It'll correct this run I'm sure. Crazy Uncle starting to bite now too Euro f'd the duck on this one I'm willing to bet anyone on that now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 how long are you going to keep ignoring the GFS. The storm for DC starts tomorrow! Probably as long as the Euro doesn't look a thing like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 That's it - that's the missing component in the "why" category. The GFS is rotating this trough more negative per each cycle, and every time it rotates a small dial, the end result has to correct further west - it's just physics. The question is, why aren't the other runs doing that - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 3' for BOS? OMG. No; only 2' and change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I might have to start worrying about mixing. The Rolli storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Just south of BOS is 3.1" qpf...verbatim Se mass this would beat the blizzard....wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I gotta say....GFS may have pulled a coup with unc coming on board. Crazy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 All of SNE crushed lol. We toss It's kind of funny though that you were saying throughout the weekend (I think you were) that climatology would have this coming north. But, in spite of your overall sentiments, you were (continue to?) dismiss the one model that's supporting what you claimed would happen and embracing the ones that keep it south. GFS might cancel my flight out of BDL Thursday morning (and the planes arrival Wednesday night). I wonder what it would do to my clients' flights out of EWR Thursday morning. Funny if they make it to CID and I'm sitting at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I'm honestly shocked. This is one of the biggest Euro/GFS differences I can recall - and there have been a lot of them. Ha ha - what. the GFS was asleep at the wheel for the Blizzard - but I know what you mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I would love to see the euro jump north today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I might have to start worrying about mixing. The Rolli storm Always been more worried about rain vs a miss here. Still am. Dryslot will be making snow angels with Ekster Friday while we squeegee our living rooms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I hope the GFS is right and scores a big coup over the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 No; only 2' and change. Damn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I would love to see the euro jump north today I don't think I could stomach another torrent of calls, e-mails, and desk visits from coworkers who know me as "the weather guy" at my office if the Euro even trends close to this and the mass media hype machine begins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I would love to see the public reaction on this one if we actually got it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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