HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 If someone gets 4" liquid equiv in snow ill buy them a 12 pack or a generator Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Reports of a streaker seen on the Tolland Green! They were bouncing to the left and to the right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I find it staggering that the vast majority of those ensembles are 3+ " of QPF for E MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diego Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Upton seems confused with this, their AFD seemed very brief and un Upton like, not to mention they delayed it an hour, presumably for a more thorough look. They also threw out this map which makes little to no sense, even the EURO is 3-6" in NYC according to the NYC forum. I really don't like to criticize the NWS, they do a great job with what they are given, but this map seems absurdly low... -skisheep The one correction i would make is by making an adjustment upwards to 1.1" over Essex and Union Counties, NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 SREF plume average in ORH is 16" 18" FIT 13" BOS 15" ASH 7" HFD 9" CON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I feel pretty good in a solid hit. Trends were impressive today. Will probably have to start chucking numbers tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 SREF plume average in ORH is 16" 18" FIT 13" BOS 15" ASH 7" HFD 9" CON AWT, a few slushy inches inland. I feel pretty good in a solid hit. Trends were impressive today. Will probably have to start chucking numbers tomorrow Really though to warn the public the numbers got to be a chuckin' around here tonight at 11. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 not a single miss on the GEFS again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 12 for 12 blizzards on the GEFS and the EURO is a no big deal advisory event. If the EURO is wrong here, which I'm starting to think it is, it's position as the king is in serious jeopardy, combined with it's other misses recently, and it's not looking so infallible anymore... -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 12 for 12 blizzards on the GEFS and the EURO is a no big deal advisory event. If the EURO is wrong here, which I'm starting to think it is, it's position as the king is in serious jeopardy, combined with it's other misses recently, and it's not looking so infallible anymore... -skisheep Funny, before the temp profile fail, it was the other way around after the blizzard, Euro was KING and the GFS was the bastard child of the model world, how quickly things change before even the first flake has fallen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 12 for 12 blizzards on the GEFS and the EURO is a no big deal advisory event. If the EURO is wrong here, which I'm starting to think it is, it's position as the king is in serious jeopardy, combined with it's other misses recently, and it's not looking so infallible anymore... -skisheep You have a lot of drama in your posts. You should write scripts for reality TV. The Euro has failed big time before and it will again. This is nothing new. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 i wonder if over at upton they have to put out maps so far ahead bc maybe the manager over there says so regardless seems kind of early though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Funny, before the temp profile fail, it was the other way around after the blizzard, Euro was KING and the GFS was the bastard child of the model world, how quickly things change before even the first flake has fallen.Euro was craptastic with every single scraper this winter. It didnt get a single one right in the 3-4 day range and most of the time was 500 miles too far south. The perception of it being better this winter is partly the result if its failures not effecting the majority of the board.If the 4" wet snow bomb we got 12 or so days ago hit boston etc instead of here people would have noticed. That'd have shut Tolland down for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Funny, before the temp profile fail, it was the other way around after the blizzard, Euro was KING and the GFS was the bastard child of the model world, how quickly things change before even the first flake has fallen. It's with other storms as well, it's been frequently too far south right up until the last minute. They didn't affect us, but they still were misses all the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 It's with other storms as well, it's been frequently too far south right up until the last minute. They didn't affect us, but they still were misses all the same. You made my argument stronger with this statement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 You have a lot of drama in your posts. You should write scripts for reality TV. The Euro has failed big time before and it will again. This is nothing new. Drama makes it more exciting, reality TV sounds nice, though I'm not the best writer It has failed big time before, but this to me is more than the average fail, this is a large scale failure.(assuming it's failed, which I think it has, although I'm not convinced yet) -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 In fact in the medium range the Euro showed fantasy snowstorms on several occasions this winter, usually day 5 or so range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I feel pretty good in a solid hit. Trends were impressive today. Will probably have to start chucking numbers tomorrowneed to be very careful still! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Euro was craptastic with every single scraper this winter. It didnt get a single one right in the 3-4 day range and most of the time was 500 miles too far south. The perception of it being better this winter is partly the result if its failures not effecting the majority of the board. If the 4" wet snow bomb we got 12 or so days ago hit boston etc instead of here people would have noticed. That'd have shut Tolland down for days. This. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 but not to careful this could have a major impact on alot of the area and the public should know theres a chance of it happening and some on-air mets didnt say that need to be very careful still! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Drama makes it more exciting, reality TV sounds nice, though I'm not the best writer It has failed big time before, but this to me is more than the average fail, this is a large scale failure.(assuming it's failed, which I think it has, although I'm not convinced yet) -skisheep Boxing Day was a large scale failure too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 We take mnoy.es/VwdFyE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Really though to warn the public the numbers got to be a chuckin' around here tonight at 11. I dunno. I'm fine with waiting for the Euro tonight. Start honking tomorrow AM and people have all day to prepare and really the "worst" of any storm wouldn't be until Wednesday night and Thursday. It's not like the very worst moves in for the AM commute on Wednesday. need to be very careful still! I know. It's hard to get too amped up yet but I'm more the 50% confident we'll get something "decent" here in CT. Gusty winds and some coastal flooding will magnify the impact of even a glancing blow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted March 5, 2013 Author Share Posted March 5, 2013 this could easily bust as a nbd event for most. Mets are playing with fire throwing around numbers, if so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Here you go 2+ liquid equiv all 31-32 degree snow.. Yes ,,yes please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I dunno. I'm fine with waiting for the Euro tonight. Start honking tomorrow AM and people have all day to prepare and really the "worst" of any storm wouldn't be until Wednesday night and Thursday. It's not like the very worst moves in for the AM commute on Wednesday. I know. It's hard to get too amped up yet but I'm more the 50% confident we'll get something "decent" here in CT. Gusty winds and some coastal flooding will magnify the impact of even a glancing blow. i agree...especially at the shore. The combination of the above factors will probably make this a very nasty storm for some there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Boxing Day was a large scale failure too. True, that's probably the closest comparison, although I think this might be worse because in boxing day, everything lost it*, here, the GFS has had it for 5 runs now, and GEFS longer. *I was on a cruise and missed the whole thing, at $.75 per minute for internet on ship, weather can wait for my return! -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Channel 6(NBC 30) mentioned the potential for a strong noreaster, and stated that it could snow heavily wed night. But they didn't go in detail about accumulations/impacts at all. Probably a good idea to hold off on that stuff until 11:00 anyhow. Yeah I think we had the right tone. All weekend I was talking about the storm and how we had to watch it... ramped up a bit at 11 last night saying that one model was really going bonkers with a big hit... so I think people are aware there's a storm out there. Can wait for the Euro tonight to start really getting into details. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 2+ liquid equiv all 31-32 degree snow.. Yes ,,yes please I am shocked to see you ride the GFS my how times so quickly change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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