Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Yeah the NAM is close to something a lot bigger...but I really couldn't care less what the NAM shows at this point. Maybe it will actually figure out a system outside of 48 hours at some point, but until it does, there's little reason to take it seriously. Rgem looks much better. Note it too has almost a closed contour 5h feature now wnw of us. Major win for the goofus on that feature. But it could still fumble the main ULL in being fast biased and screw the pooch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 This is trouble: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Rgem looks much better. Note it too has almost a closed contour 5h feature now wnw of us. Major win for the goofus on that feature. But it could still fumble the main ULL in being fast biased and screw the pooch Just in case anyone is looking ... there probably won't be any run where all the models just jump on the same page with the GFS. If the GFS is going to be more right, these other guidance types will hedge against while reluctantly conceding in small intervals over the next several cycles, such that the integrated correction out in time "ends up" more GFS-like. You know what ... The way this winter and modeling performance has gone over all, you could almost see the 12z GFS and it's members going SE, and the 12z Euro stays SE, and the collective sentiment in here is stressed, frustrated, and angry, venting all their ire on the GFS; then, sometime tomorrow all models including the Euro come back NW and we end up getting clocked. No one will remember the day and half's worth of GFS cycles that saw it - they'll only remember how fun it is to scapegoat it. I tell you what, it's tough to imagine what this forum would be like if the GFS wasn't around to server as a lightning rod for people's baggage - haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 This is trouble: I'm pretty sure those are pure GFS-based. So that would be the worst case scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 This should be a more compromising run for the GFS. It got this feature over New England right but was probably a little fast in the south. So, one of those deals where it does really well in one area, not so well in the other vs the Euro that tends to be more even throughout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I think the GFS is coming NW. wtf??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Thru 42h, does not look like the GFS is budging on that piece of energy over NYS. Looks almost dead on to 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I think the GFS is coming NW. wtf??? agreed. wtf..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Well, if the GFS is going to cave, it looks like it's not going to be on this run, it actually looks more amped than 6z... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Lol. Dear God Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I think the GFS is coming NW. wtf??? Yes, It just won't bend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 There are some detail differences arriving on this new GFS run, but it is unclear what those will mean for the sensible impact just yet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 This should be a more compromising run for the GFS. It got this feature over New England right but was probably a little fast in the south. So, one of those deals where it does really well in one area, not so well in the other vs the Euro that tends to be more even throughout. Or maybe not, LOL. The GFS keeps surprising me, I really expected the slower nature would allow it to bowling ball a bit more than last run, fail on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 could this be the GFS storm?? even the RPM had it's storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Well, if the GFS is going to cave, it looks like it's not going to be on this run, it actually looks more amped than 6z... Less amplitude actually... The 06 position was sub-528dm in the mid level core, this is between 528 and 534... But position-wise there are detail differences... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Thru 42h, does not look like the GFS is budging on that piece of energy over NYS. Looks almost dead on to 06z. it won't and it shouldn't...it's a real feature and all models now have it. RGEM/NAM/GFS etc. The Euro botched the m/l's up here, and I fully expect it to come around at 12z. That said, the GFS is still a little tough to swallow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Coming in a hair NW of the 06z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 The 12z RGEM has that piece that the GFS phases with as well. Or uses to rotate with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Coming in a hair NW of the 06z run. GFS is going to nail us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 GFS is really far N...but the whole circulation looks a little tighter. I thinkt he block to the north is compressing this a bit on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Congrats dendrite? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Blizzard SE mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 The 12z RGEM has that piece that the GFS phases with as well. Or uses to rotate with. 6z RGEM did that too. LIke I said NAM/Euro/RGEM were late to the party, but it's a real deal despite my friend DT's going off about it last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Yup. WOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Blizzard ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 gfs once again is awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 lol, I get rocked here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Complete destruction over all of SNE by 72h, lol....BOS is getting annihilated again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 All of SNE crushed lol. We toss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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