New England Storm Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 It is the 850 mb 0C line. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 LOL which parts of NNE? The NAM doesn't get significant precip north of the MA/NH border really. Hits a brick wall there. The only model that snows up here is the GFS and its the northern outlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Now this would really be an epic fail if it went back SE. Still over 48 hours to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 .75 + in Upslope across the Greens of Bennington/Windham Counties on the NAM. Mount Snow FTW. LOL which parts of NNE? The NAM doesn't get significant precip north of the MA/NH border really. Hits a brick wall there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 FYP... NWS has already declared critical weather delays in support of DC. The terminals are going to follow that trend too of preparing early I suspect. Yep, the warnings have been given to clients as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wolf Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 If you want t to snow, don't! So true... That's always the way it goes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 are you gonna miss this one .....(you are up in NH ) I'll be back tomorrow night.hopefully no regrets lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I was in the HV below ALB then and we only got 10 inches, but I do recall up to 4 feet in the Catskills. ...I assume they did pretty well here also. Yup. The worst part of the ever-improving resolution of weather models is constantly getting freaked out by modeled downslope. It almost never verifies as extreme as the mesos, but even the globals depict it these days. The NAM should offer encouragement that somehow we are still in the game in the HV. But I'm plagued by the feeling that we'll be in the snowhole between the occlusion and hooking of the SLP, and even if NW solutions verify, there are still downsloping and temp issues to worry about. I'm guessing you don't mind comparisons to Dec 1992. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Here we go! GFS off to the races... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I think this is a big ....huge in fact hit to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Yes sir jerry RGEM looks NAMish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 what run is that RGEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I think this is a big ....huge in fact hit to come. Yes that looks quite robust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 what run is that RGEM? Yes, 18z RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I was in the HV below ALB then and we only got 10 inches, but I do recall up to 4 feet in the Catskills. ...I assume they did pretty well here also. I was south of Poughkeepsie, at 200ft, and we did great... like 14." The Hudson Highlands did even better, though it rarely shows up on historical snowfall maps due to spare obs. At the time, lacking the sort of details the internet provides nowadays, I figured everyone north of me did great. But I also had no idea that the Catskills got clobbered. The localized orographic effects can be amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 On the RGEM you can see that piece around NY state hooking up with the shortwaver over the Great Lakes...I can't explain it, but it almost acts like a pendulum swinging the low more NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I'll be back tomorrow night.hopefully no regrets lol. wait did you let the wife no you are leaving nh early for a snow storm lol , unless that is not the case , either way good man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Probably a cluster fook but I'm off until Friday FTW. Can I start my qpf-whining yet? NAM gives GC the scroogie again. lol Scott--is there a general threshold where you say the airport closes or airlines say 'cancel'? Beginning to have some doubts about Thursday a.m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 3 closed contours at 500 mb as a surface low emerges off the VA coast with a 1034 hp to the north. I couldn't have drawn it better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Can I start my qpf-whining yet? NAM gives GC the scroogie again. lol Scott--is there a general threshold where you say the airport closes or airlines say 'cancel'? Beginning to have some doubts about Thursday a.m. LOL you can tell who has flights out this week, you and me. All fun and games until we're helping Kevin sculpt his snowbanks instead of vacationing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 watch gfs crap the bed now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 3 closed contours at 500 mb as a surface low emerges off the VA coast with a 1034 hp to the north. I couldn't have drawn it better. Let's hope the temp profiles are much cooler than the NAM, if you think this run is a nod to that particular track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 watch gfs crap the bed now Handling things differently than earlier, that is for sure. I'll be surprised if it doesn't come back SE, I think it was overdone, but maybe in delaying some it's going to fool me again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 24. 8 inches to 100. Lets do it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 LOL you can tell who has flights out this week, you and me. All fun and games until we're helping Kevin sculpt his snowbanks instead of vacationing. No kidding, I love snow as much as any of you...but once it starts screwing with my travel plans we become foes. Leaving boston thursday afternoon is continuing to look less likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Can I start my qpf-whining yet? NAM gives GC the scroogie again. lol Scott--is there a general threshold where you say the airport closes or airlines say 'cancel'? Beginning to have some doubts about Thursday a.m. You'll already start seeing delays as big hubs like MSP and ORD get snow tonight. So it's not as simple as the airport you might be flying out of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Let's hope the temp profiles are much cooler than the NAM, if you think this run is a nod to that particular track. Had the NAM followed this solution it wouldn't have rained anywhere. The NAM midlevel temps are mysterious to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 We find out right now if this is the normal pattern of the winter with the GFS being too far NW for a few runs...or the alternative which is all the models are playing catchup as the block develops. I still go former, may blow that though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 3 closed contours at 500 mb as a surface low emerges off the VA coast with a 1034 hp to the north. I couldn't have drawn it better. What I don't like is that the h5 low and surface low are already on top of each other at 48hrs. That limits the future deepening and introduces all sorts of ways this could bust negatively. It does look fairly close to the NAM though... maybe a hair south and stronger. The firehose scenario is alive and well for EMA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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