Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 One of those deals in which if you are not IN the hills, then you don't want to be near (just west) them....not as well as the ORH hills, but my area would do fine here on the cp, void of terrain interference. Right, and I think Will mentioned this ... while not an analog for 1992, there could be some similar layout headaches resulting... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 NAM is prob gonna be a big hit. Def north with the ULL through 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 We're getting close to Harlem Shake time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 NAM @ 54hr getting ready to unload on SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Agreed! I posted much earlier in this thread that this system as GFS has it has an impressive "shadowing" characteristic to it. Could see some interior N-S oriented valleys getting meso boned I'm not sure how many W - E oriented valleys there are in NE... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 NAM is prob gonna be a big hit. Def north with the ULL through 48. Straight question...have you given up on the idea of the GFS collapsing SE? Nam run surprises me, I think this will be the most NW model at this point. Does kind of fit the pattern though, NCEP stuff goes bonkers but overdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 DC pummeled through 45. Maybe a megalopolis mauler (Finally!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 NAM is going to be big I think. Snowing up to the NH border by 10pm Wednesday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I'm not sure how many W - E oriented valleys there are in NE... The Merrimack is for a bit of a stretch in ne MA.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 We're getting close to Harlem Shake time. Holy cow....a SNE Harlem Shake video would be something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 high pressure placement doesn't look to shabby. nam looks like its tryin to go in the updated kocin edition Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Thought Grandpa might like this, plumes are going to be sick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 NAM...lol. ULL not getting away this time, much further NW. Epic. The fickle finger of fate pokes the GFS haters square between the eyeballs like Moe from the 3 stooges. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Snowing hard up to the pike by 60 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Straight question...have you given up on the idea of the GFS collapsing SE? Nam run surprises me, I think this will be the most NW model at this point. Does kind of fit the pattern though, NCEP stuff goes bonkers but overdone. No. GFS is the northwest outlier still...granted its leading the trend, but I can easily see it coming back SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 NAM...lol. ULL not getting away this time, much further NW. Epic. The fickle finger of fate pokes the GFS haters square between the eyeballs like Moe from the 3 stooges. I can't see the NAM. How does it compare to the GFS thus far? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I'm not sure how many W - E oriented valleys there are in NE... Not many, but I'm in the Merrimack Valley which is E-W, then tipping SW before giving way to the Watchusett rise east of I-190... But the impetus there was "where there is downsloping" in general... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 what were the gfs ensembles numbers.. at work in between clients can't check.. For CT, ranging from about 0.9 W to 1.6 E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Thought Grandpa might like this, plumes are going to be sick Love it Ginx. I'm about to get Giggy with it. 18z NAM unleashes the fury on us too now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 NAM...lol. ULL not getting away this time, much further NW. Epic. The fickle finger of fate pokes the GFS haters square between the eyeballs like Moe from the 3 stooges. Even by it's own standards that's a pretty large 6hr jump. March 01 parallel with the split ULL low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 oh my. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 That's borderline blizzard. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 chilly as well, thats hammer time here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
capecod04 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 2.17'' qpf at KPYM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 chilly as well, thats hammer time here.Dude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 nam is onboard now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Even by it's own standards that's a pretty large 6hr jump. March 01 parallel with the split ULL low. Ironic that I've been pushing the hit scenario, but am now very cautious with regards to NCEP guidance. They've done this before being over aggressive. This could be the time they're right, but I'm not buying it yet. A solid 0z run and I will throw the odds out the window, but this is the timeframe when they've done this many times prior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 ~50 naut. mile west correction at 500mb at 54 vs the 60 hour, per respective guidance. That may not seem like much but it is huge, considering that farther east in the open Atlantic the entire domain of isopleths are also bugling more NW at that time - this thing's closing the door on being able to escape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Dude Honestly shocked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 NAM punishes us past 60 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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