ineedsnow Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 he is the laughing stock on his own facebook page now and people are calling him out lmao I don't know if the storm will work out but one thing I am sure of is the trolling of DT will be epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I don't know if the storm will work out but one thing I am sure of is the trolling of DT will be epic. In fairness there's enough bump trolling material to go around for about 3-4 years across multiple threads...if a more intense solution plays out. Wunder has the detailed Euro maps up. I cannot get over how large the changes are in just 24 hours (can see all 3 runs right now)... what a botch job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I'm feeling a sizeable storm for you guys in SNE, but I bet it will be more elevation dependent than some are thinking right now. It's pretty marginal on the GFS for coastal plain areas, though if you get into the meat of the CCB it wouldn't matter. Long duration easterly flow with marginal airmass in March though may be more of a problem than just seeing 850s of 0C and lower would suggest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 And OT but MPM....10/30 is not a sun angle issue. 10/30 is equivalent to around 2/15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I don't know if the storm will work out but one thing I am sure of is the trolling of DT will be epic.DT fails are amongst the finer things in life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I don't know...just talking out loud. My worry is the gfs collapse to the euro. Wouldn't be the first time. A GFS fold to the current EC still reflects a diminished EC fail. It's satisfying to see. Similar to the way that everyone outside NE takes satisfaction when the Pats lose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Does the euro rain on Richmond? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Many of us are going to have Been very wrong. But it's actually a win because we get a Oak Obliterating snowstorm out of it t. So losers win and winners win. We all win FTW That is why conservative approaches are the right approaches...you win with snow even if your call is dead wrong. If you always hype you have no where to go but disappointment if it doesn't quite pan out fully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Euro ensembles getting better qpf in here at 3-4 day lead time than the OP is a bit of a red flag as well. The Euro ensembles were one reason I stayed pretty bullish in the inverted trough Feb 24 event...they really had a nice looking setup. Still though, even the Euro ensembles will probably end up way too far south at 3-4 days lead. We'll see if the GEFS stay the course in the next 24 hours...they definitely made it a head scratcher since 18z yesterday when they nearly all agreed on big hits. Yeah but even they were way south and drawn out with the QPF. Half an inch to Marshfield in 24hrs? That won't cut it and that was 00z last night. Could be an epic fail for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I thought maybe 70/30 in favor of the euro in all honesty, but that may go down the toilet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Does anyone know when the 15z SREF is released? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I don't know if the storm will work out but one thing I am sure of is the trolling of DT will be epic. He banned me for saying that the Euro went a little more northward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Good vibrations, hell of a cave there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Does anyone know when the 15z SREF is released? 50min Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Does anyone know when the 15z SREF is released? Usually around 2:30 from where I look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 DT is miserable lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 So who wants to start taking bets that my 11am flight on Thursday out of BOS to DCA is on time. Or 8:00a.m. from BDL-CLT. I'm going 30% chance of cancel, 40% chance of delay to deicing. Unless things are coming down hard beginning Wednesady evening perhaps keeping planes from coming in. If' the plane's there, it'll be going out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
capecod04 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 DT is miserable lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I don't know if the storm will work out but one thing I am sure of is the trolling of DT will be epic. I don't know what the pre-occupation is with that guy - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Usually around 2:30 from where I look. PSU E-wall is pretty belated with their update - I'm certain it's later than 2:30. What ur source? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Another great DT line was when he was fighting weenies 12/25/02 and someone said to stay in the holiday spirit. Response: "Fuk Christmas." They broke the mold when that boy came out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Right, so 12 members of GFS are almost indistinguishable from one another, including the operational version, and the Euro comes NW TOWARD that mean - I don't have any issue tossing the Euro runs at this point. It's not handling this synoptically - I discussed yesterday that it's wave lengths were too long in a blocking regime and it's slowly shrinking them now. We'll see - At this time range the GEFS are almost always clustered near the op. There have been numerous storms this year where one or more of the globals had a solution outside the entire range of the GEFS. So I'm not so confident that we can write off a Euro solution based on the consistent clustering of the GEFS. If the GFS is wrong, whatever is causing the error will have polluted the entire GEFS cluster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I guess the question is, why did everyone discount the Euro ENS up until now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I don't know what the pre-occupation is with that guy - comedy, my friend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I don't know what the pre-occupation is with that guy - I think there is a correlation between how cranky he gets to how much snow we get . We all know on the inside he's saying to himself. WTF, stop moving north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 DT is coming unhinged, hilarious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 PSU E-wall is pretty belated with their update - I'm certain it's later than 2:30. What ur source? NCEP. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Oh boy, here we go! lol Yeah I highly doubt that we get power outages, the snow will start out wet here and as it gets colder that will change to crappy little snowflakes falling for most of the storm as per usual. It's tough to get a heavy wet snowstorm up here at this elevation in Early March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 PSU E-wall is pretty belated with their update - I'm certain it's later than 2:30. What ur source? NCEP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 At this time range the GEFS are almost always clustered near the op. There have been numerous storms this year where one or more of the globals had a solution outside the entire range of the GEFS. So I'm not so confident that we can write off a Euro solution based on the consistent clustering of the GEFS. If the GFS is wrong, whatever is causing the error will have polluted the entire GEFS cluster. Not true - this kind of clustering is intense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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