Heisy Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Still showing the heaviest precip over C VA, man I would hate to be a meteorologist right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Warrior commander Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 do you guys still have snow left from Nemo? Yes, I still have a decent snow cover. It's pretty packed with good W.E. in it as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Euro is def north of 00z but still not going to get it done here. In the next few panels the Cape and south coast may get a piece of the CCB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 LOL...I think Ray's call is going to verify. What was that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Definitely a jump north... still not like the GFS. Getting snow into SNE though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Man that's a big jump north. 100s of miles. That is a cave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Oh boy that is a huge change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Definitely a jump north... still not like the GFS. Getting snow into SNE though. meh-light or moderate snow may not even stick esp if daytime....any cold air with the euro solution? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Right, so 12 members of GFS are almost indistinguishable from one another, including the operational version, and the Euro comes NW TOWARD that mean - I don't have any issue tossing the Euro runs at this point. It's not handling this synoptically - I discussed yesterday that it's wave lengths were too long in a blocking regime and it's slowly shrinking them now. We'll see - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Well the next run tonight should bring it all the way and I will eat everyone's shorts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Man that's a big jump north. 100s of miles. That is a cave Hundreds of miles? That would be at least getting close to a cave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 meh-light or moderate snow may not even stick esp if daytime....any cold air with the euro solution? Not sure the specifics really matter. It made a pretty big jump toward the GFS after run and run and run sticking to its guns with an OTS track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Sound the alarms. Tell your friends. It's coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 What was that? He said Euro would be a crush job but it just misses that part. Big change vs prior runs though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Well the next run tonight should bring it all the way and I will eat everyone's shorts I'll make sure to send you them shorts for your shortluck Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 12z GFS Indiv. Ensm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colonel Badger Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 The Euro was never gonna jump its solution. It always slowly evolves... wouldn't be surprised if it kept evolving to something closer to the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 How is euro for here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Hundreds of miles? That would be at least getting close to a cave. If you look at the last several runs it's more like 700-1000 miles, it's been caving for more than a day. That said I'd still toss the GFS and go with a blend of all the others, until proven otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 OK, this is a bold call, but I'm tossing the EURO. It did what it needed to do, which was come a huge amount north towards the GFS. This, combined with the GFS being locked in, every single one of it's ensembles being onboard, and the EURO never making the sort of massive shifts that the GFS does, is enough to convince me to toss it, it's got the right idea going north, it's not north enough though I think. I think the GFS is overdone on QPF, but I think many on this forum are heading for a solid warning event, and I think down here even we have a decent shot at a nice storm, probably advisory level for sure, and a not zero chance at warning. I think 0z EURO tells us all we need to know, and if I had to go on TV, this is not what I'd forecast, but I think it's becoming much more likely that the GFS is on to something... -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 The Euro was never gonna jump its solution. It always slowly evolves... wouldn't be surprised if it kept evolving to something closer to the GFStruth Ruth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Euro now gets qpf up much further north with 0.25+ through 84 hours through most of ME/MA/CT/RI with 0.5+ PYM SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I would take anyone of those 12z GFS Indiv. Ensm. f72.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Euro will come north and gfs a little south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Yeah hate to say it but I'm starting to lean more toward to GFS. Euro showed a cave. I expected one of the 12z op runs to do it... but the trend is NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Euro will come north and gfs a little south? A compromise is actually a decent storm lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 This is a major cave by the Euro bringing the 0.5 line to BOS by 90 hours and still going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Euro now gets qpf up much further north with 0.25+ through 84 hours through most of ME/MA/CT/RI with 0.5+ PYM SE.if it's Ens beef North look out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Euro ain't gonna cut it though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 A compromise is actually a decent storm lol I know lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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