Chrisrotary12 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 A GFS solution is a real pasty snow - it's harder to verify blizzards with larger aggregates that are glued together by 32F isotherms. Even with wind blowing it around, it will be harder to verify a blizzard in the non-hyperbolic terminology of this when we don't have the "saw dust" dryness to work with. Details details details.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 RPM is supposedly on board. Haven't seen it though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 It would certainly have a more damaging affect, Then the last one I love how you have been tying a noose nearly all winter long, yet have ~30" more inches than I do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 RPM is supposedly on board. Haven't seen it though. It was already on board last night, but I havent bothered to look at it since then. Maybe I'll take another peak inside of 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 One more important run today. Without a doubt its the most important of our lives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Details details details....As he alluded to, I wasn't speaking in literal terms with regard to the blizzard reference....just a juggernaut of a snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 So if Euro makes not changes, what would folks' thoughts be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I wonder if Euro will come on like that run it had the other day with 1.5 qpf to pike! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I love how you have been tying a noose nearly all winter long, yet have ~30" more inches than I do. lol, And it has been just as useless as last winters snow, A lot of bad luck with all these storms timing wise and results after, My snow pack is 8", Rain storms after snow storms, Above normal temps, Ground surfaces thawed, It goes on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Boston on air mets seem to be sticking with breezy and showers for CC Wed-Thurs. Could be some major back peddling come 6pm broadcasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 So if Euro makes not changes, what would folks' thoughts be? Scraper...same as before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Ok everyone. The GFS and it's Ensemble mean are very fun to look at, but realistically what should we expect with the rest of today's runs. We should probably expect the Euro to come northward a bit towards the GFS and it's ensembles. But we should also expect that the 18z GFS trends back towards the northward Euro solution. Don't get me wrong, I want what the GFS is selling. I just want to keep expectations in check. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 So if Euro makes not changes, what would folks' thoughts be? then no deal. The king is the king Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Scraper...same as before. It seems alot of this is 2 issues: 1. Interaction with what was thought to be phantom system in NY state. 2. Much broader expanse of heavy qpf away from low center vs normal. The path of the system even on GFS is normally a scaper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 So if Euro makes not changes, what would folks' thoughts be?ride it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 The GGEM is actually a good middle ground right now along with the Ukie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Ok everyone. The GFS and it's Ensemble mean are very fun to look at, but realistically what should we expect with the rest of today's runs. We should probably expect the Euro to come northward a bit towards the GFS and it's ensembles. But we should also expect that the 18z GFS trends back towards the northward Euro solution. Don't get me wrong, I want what the GFS is selling. I just want to keep expectations in check. Nice thought, but impossible in weenie land. I agree, a compromise seems to be the most obvious and logical solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 then no deal. The king is the king But if it caves is it acting "unkingly"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 The BUFKIT soundings on the overnight GFS runs were nuts with the wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
educate Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 consistency is important right now and the gfs has shown a major/historic event for 3-4 runs. we will see but it makes a difference that the other models are coming around slowly to its point of view. Ok everyone. The GFS and it's Ensemble mean are very fun to look at, but realistically what should we expect with the rest of today's runs. We should probably expect the Euro to come northward a bit towards the GFS and it's ensembles. But we should also expect that the 18z GFS trends back towards the northward Euro solution. Don't get me wrong, I want what the GFS is selling. I just want to keep expectations in check. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 do you guys still have snow left from Nemo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 The GGEM is actually a good middle ground right now along with the Ukie. UKMET is probalby a bigger hit vs CMC but who can tell... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 do you guys still have snow left from Nemo?elevations do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Not buying what the GFS is selling, I still think up here we would be on the fringe at best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 do you guys still have snow left from Nemo? Worcester Co. through NW MA does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 do you guys still have snow left from Nemo? Piles here. Some of the higher elevations have a few inches of cement left.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 But if it caves is it acting "unkingly"? if it ends up even like last nights Euro ENS it'll have shifted about 1000 miles in a few runs. Not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 do you guys still have snow left from Nemo?Yes interior does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 do you guys still have snow left from Nemo? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 consistency is important right now and the gfs has shown a major/historic event for 3-4 runs. we will see but it makes a difference that the other models are coming around slowly to its point of view. This is a good point. I texted this to Phil earlier that this isn't just a GFS blip... it's been 4 runs in a row with ensemble support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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