stormtracker Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 Euro goes SOUTH at 72. Good for you. <shrugs shoulders> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 really tight gradient across dc snowmap wise. nightmare forecast unless the gfs is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 looks similar but sfc features slightly north... estimates 1" DCA and IAD 0.75 BWI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 really tight gradient across dc snowmap wise. nightmare forecast unless the gfs is right. At this point, we have no choice but to believe the GFS is the outlier. What's the total for us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 Euro goes SOUTH at 72. looks similar but sfc features slightly north... estimates 1" DCA and IAD 0.75 BWI Huh? I was told it was S O U T H at 72 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Sounds like a NAM clone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 really tight gradient across dc snowmap wise. nightmare forecast unless the gfs is right. the spread is better than it was....but yes...bottom line is I cant find a compelling reason not to hug the euro right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 baby steps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vinylfreak89 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Huh? I was told it was S O U T H at 72 hours. it does that weird SE jog thing, but the QPF field is further N... still keeps the heaviest down near CHO-RIC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Three to five inches of extremely wet cement snow would be fine. I need to thin out a few old dead branches in my front yard tree. I DO like snow. I am NOT greedy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 At this point, we have no choice but to believe the GFS is the outlier. What's the total for us? it's pretty similar to 12z.. 3/4 or 4/8.. right on the line it looks. picks up big w/sw and drops fast e. higher totals actually expanded north in the hgr area and s pa tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
capecod04 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I hope it's north so DT can fail.lol. Me too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 How does the temp profile look east of the bay? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Huh? I was told it was S O U T H at 72 hours. umm.no...the sfc features came north like 50 miles....the 12z dove southeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 it's pretty similar to 12z.. 3/4 or 4/8.. right on the line it looks. picks up big w/sw and drops fast e. higher totals actually expanded north in the hgr area and s pa tho. Thanks, Ian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 the spread is better than it was....but yes...bottom line is I cant find a compelling reason not to hug the euro right now... yeah a little .. the higher totals pushed toward us a bit, just not much shift right on that gradient. main story is confidence west grows probably. those areas are going to get clocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Well, at least we can cross off the "dive down to Wilmington,NC" option. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 it's pretty similar to 12z.. 3/4 or 4/8.. right on the line it looks. picks up big w/sw and drops fast e. higher totals actually expanded north in the hgr area and s pa tho. Really, higher as in what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 umm.no...the sfc features came north like 50 miles....the 12z dove southeast Nice. So nothing like the GFS, but it came north a little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vinylfreak89 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 the sfc looks like a clone of the nam... 500... not so much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 few more shifts east w/ jackpot and it matches the gfs can look at it that way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vinylfreak89 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Nice. So nothing like the GFS, but it came north a little. it has that weird piece of the N Atl low that breaks away, but weaker than the GFS...its kinda a cross between the GFS and NAM and 500, with the sfc weighted more toward the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Really, higher as in what? 8-12" gets a bit north of the border now over in that area.. hard to describe since i dont really know it well, but near hgr, north and northwest a smidge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Looks to have slowed 6 hours DCA: WED 06Z 06-MAR 2.1 -3.6 0.03 WED 12Z 06-MAR 1.4 -4.5 0.36 WED 18Z 06-MAR 2.6 -4.9 0.34 THU 00Z 07-MAR 2.5 -4.9 0.21 THU 06Z 07-MAR 1.1 -3.5 0.04 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 it has that weird piece of the N Atl low that breaks away, but weaker than the GFS...its kinda a cross between the GFS and NAM and 500, with the sfc weighted more toward the NAMAgreed. It's a nice combo of the features that both we're picking up on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 few more shifts east w/ jackpot and it matches the gfs can look at it that way I wonder what the GFS is smoking? THis has got to be a letdown for NE. I mean, I want the GFS to win for obvious reasons, but the main reason would be to see it score a huge coup on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Nice. So nothing like the GFS, but it came north a little. what happens at the surface as the low exits land is much better than 12z...you can see it in the precip shield..it is healthier and wetter in general..the precip shield is oriented better and the 1" countour jogged north by maybe 40 miles....the storm is much more east/west oriented now....at 12z the sfc completely fell apart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 what happens at the surface as the low exits land is much better than 12z...you can see it in the precip shield..it is healthier and wetter in general..the precip shield is oriented better and the 1" countour jogged north by maybe 40 miles....the storm is much more east/west oriented now....at 12z the sfc completely fell apart Ok. That's a nice shift. And with that I'm off to bed. Work in 6 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 what happens at the surface as the low exits land is much better than 12z...you can see it in the precip shield..it is healthier and wetter in general..the precip shield is oriented better and the 1" countour jogged north by maybe 40 miles....the storm is much more east/west oriented now....at 12z the sfc completely fell apart There may actually be hope to project the trend forward. A blend is good for us. East toward the Bay Id be more nervous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 8-12" gets a bit north of the border now over in that area.. hard to describe since i dont really know it well, but near hgr, north and northwest a smidge. Hmm well a few more 10 mile shifts and we will have it. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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