MN Transplant Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 ~2.25 for DCA? Looks like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Find DC on this map! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 You posted this about a NAM run today too... he isnt entirely wrong though it is poor analysis...we dont want a compact bowling ball that has no chance to rounding the corner...ala euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 You posted this about a NAM run today too... So maybe he should stop posting? love you Randy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 ~2.25 for DCA? Looks pretty similar to the NAM, wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 That low positioning is perfect. Hopefully 0Z with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Dumps .72 in 6 hours with surface temp of .8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 gfs hits new england nice too .. matt ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 GFS is a naughty, naughty model. this run is so dirty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Looks pretty similar to the NAM, wow! toss King Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 he isnt entirely wrong though it is poor analysis...we dont want a compact bowling ball that has no chance to rounding the corner...ala euro Yeah no doubt. But it just goes along with poor model analysis as you said. Crushing run verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I'm confident in this system. You haven't seen me post that all winter. Banding would be punishing. Don't worry about warm ground/sticking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 Looks pretty similar to the NAM, wow! Wes, can you talk about the wind situation with the GFS depiction? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 gfs hits new england nice too .. matt ftw Might have to edit your map from the other day about March. BOS gets 1'+ this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Sooooo... what was that about the NAM being a huge outlier again...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 sick run.. 18" for all. I am pretty sure that would break all time record for the month of march... destroy them in fact... 93 was like 10-12 for the major cities.. and I think something back in the forties was about the same.. if the GFS or NAM verified... it would be something you only see in once in a century.. for the March at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Looks pretty similar to the NAM, wow! If Wes is in Weenie mode we are in business! Is the vort over land yet? This is obviously the result of some better data sampling. Gotta think the Euro OP will at least shift north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Dumps .72 in 6 hours with surface temp of .8 What time of day.. is that the Wed Night period or Wed during the day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I am pretty sure that would break all time record for the month of march... destroy them in fact... 93 was like 10-12 for the major cities.. and I think something back in the forties was about the same.. if the GFS or NAM verified... it would be something you only see in once in a century.. for the March at least. that's prob high side but would be widespread foot+. still breaking a lot of records including in dc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 GFS is a beaut there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 GFS keeps it's poker face. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 This is the "perfect" run...it puts the energy in the right area. Like others have said we don't want the bowling ball to just glide and meander SE ala Euro, we want the highest vorticity in the NE quadrant so it kind of forces the ULL NE. Maybe GFS will score a coup like 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 BOOM! WED 00Z 06-MAR 1.9 -2.1 0.08 WED 06Z 06-MAR 1.4 -1.1 0.13 WED 12Z 06-MAR 0.8 -3.5 0.72 WED 18Z 06-MAR 0.9 -4.5 0.88 THU 00Z 07-MAR 1.4 -5.0 0.41 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ger Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Now I am concerned that the shift north should stop now but won't. Please some met tell me such a shift is unlikely given the setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 I kinda hate this run, because it probably can't get any better for us. It set the bar too high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Now I am concerned that the shift north should stop now but won't. Please some met tell me such a shift is unlikely given the setup.This is where the euro comes in handy with a blend. . I think we are close to locking in.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I kinda hate this run, because it probably can't get any better for us. It set the bar to high. It's only gotta hold serve for another 7-8 runs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ger Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 This is where the euro comes in handy with a blend. . I think we are close to locking in.. Perfect reasoning. and in that case, the Euro is still my King Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Just out of curiosity when do you think lwx issues a statement? Will it take a better euro run? Unrelated to this post...I haven't paid a lot of attention the last couple days to the current temps but each day I was surprised by how cold it's been outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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