Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 yea, it's slightly better but awful close to last night...hmmm...I suppose worse things could have happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 quick and dirty DCA - 0.85 IAD - 0.8 EZF -1.25 BWI - 0.7 CHO - 1.5 PHL - 0.25 I would be extremely content if that verified. After these last couple years all I'm craving is a standard 2-4" storm...anything else is a bonus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Oh lord Shouldn't we get to vote on this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 So Euro still likes Richmond. Don't have access to details. But I'd assume there still a rain to snow scenario.. even with the higher precip totals for the Metro area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Cant toss the Euro. Still a viable solution I would guess. What does it do with the block? Does it move it due east by 48? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Ha, this is quite old and outdated (where did you get it from?). The fact that it references T216 is all you need to know (the ECMWF is run at T1279 now, I think). From a NWS office in KY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I don't buy it that far south. Look how it wraps the low back to the southwest at hr 84-90. It seems to do that quite a bit, but never really verifies to that extent. I can't rule it out, but I'm suspicious of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I'm temped to toss it given it's almost THE only outlier, that's including other op's and 90% of ensembles. I'll wait for the HPC WPC model disco though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Shouldn't we get to vote on this? i will forever mock storm naming so whatever. but i'm still pretty sure the idea originated here. i saw it first from wxusaf... no doubt a lot of the cwg peeps read this board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 slightly better.. at least it's not worse at least it is trending the right way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Text shows dca .96 through 6z thurs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 I don't buy it that far south. Look how it wraps the low back to the southwest at hr 84-90. It seems to do that quite a bit, but never really verifies to that extent. I can't rule it out, but I'm suspicious of that. A ray of hope. But honestly, anybody down or upset that we only get ".85" in this winter is crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Text shows dca .96 through 6z thurs If that's a miss... Who has the temps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 So Euro still likes Richmond. Don't have access to details. But I'd assume there still a rain to snow scenario.. even with the higher precip totals for the Metro area... First .75 definitely falls as rain with text output. Next 1" looks to be all snow. Kinda reading between the lines. Only have surface/850 and not sure about in between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 i will forever mock storm naming so whatever. but i'm still pretty sure the idea originated here. i saw it first from wxusaf... no doubt a lot of the cwg peeps read this board. I don't know why we couldn't wait until the actual discussion later to mention it. seems very accuwx-ish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 First .75 definitely falls as rain with text output. Next 1" looks to be all snow. Kinda reading between the lines. Only have surface/850 and not sure about in between. sounds like stickage problems for sure it it pans out that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 12z Euro brings .96" verbatim to DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 For those who have access to the precip maps, what does it show for Chicago? I think that is a key factor. While NAM and GFS shoes 8"+ there Euro last night was like 2-3" If Chicago gets crushed I think we will be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Even though the Euro is south with less QPF, I would not complain at all with "only" 6" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 If that's a miss... Who has the temps? 850's plenty cold throughout. -3.5 to -4.5 Surface ranges from +1.5 to 3.5+/-. Not so worried about surface on euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 If that's a miss... Who has the temps? WED 06Z 06-MAR 2.5 -4.5 0.01 WED 12Z 06-MAR 1.4 -4.4 0.30 WED 18Z 06-MAR 3.7 -4.5 0.28 THU 00Z 07-MAR 2.5 -3.9 0.24 THU 06Z 07-MAR 1.5 -3.6 0.13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I'd like to see if other mets agree. I can't rule it out because it's a strong ULL, but I've seen the euro do this before and then back off a bit. Just a little suspicious to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 For those who have access to the precip maps, what does it show for Chicago? I think that is a key factor. While NAM and GFS shoes 8"+ there Euro last night was like 2-3" If Chicago gets crushed I think we will be fine. Midway just over .6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 For those who have access to the precip maps, what does it show for Chicago? I think that is a key factor. While NAM and GFS shoes 8"+ there Euro last night was like 2-3" If Chicago gets crushed I think we will be fine. I think for a storm like this developing on the coast that won't be a key factor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 For those who have access to the precip maps, what does it show for Chicago? I think that is a key factor. While NAM and GFS shoes 8"+ there Euro last night was like 2-3" If Chicago gets crushed I think we will be fine. between .50-75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Midway just over .6 So it is increasing over there now. I like that trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I don't know why we couldn't wait until the actual discussion later to mention it. seems very accuwx-ish. i know why it's done. i should probably just stop commenting. i'll call it the march 2013 snowstorm should it happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Text shows dca .96 through 6z thurs That' about what Jason thought for amounts. I'd be surprised if the storm gave us less than 1.00 given the sref mean of 1.5. I think the median was also in that 1.5 or so range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nflwxman Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 The KING has spoken! I think we will be fine with the euro, GFS, cmc solutions- you name it. It's the "edges" like ROA, BWI, and DCA (sorta) that are still up in the air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I think for a storm like this developing on the coast that won't be a key factor. It would matter cause it would allow the primary to pull everything more northward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.