clskinsfan Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 It almost moves back west for a couple of hours. I am really pumped now. We are gonna get blasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 USA_APCPIPER_sfc_084.gif My old eyes can't tell wehther it gives us 1.8 or less than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 ok, enough runs.. this one is it. dc bullseye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 ok, enough runs.. this one is it. dc bullseye you spare another 25 miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 ok, enough runs.. this one is it. dc bullseye I'm about to change your avatar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 8-12 for everyone in N VA/N MD, 12-18 immediate DC area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Very nice for the metro area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 you spare another 25 miles Mitch, you're firmly in 1.25-1.5 contour. And 1.5+ knocking on the door. I think we all know where this is going..... MBY has been loving runs for days though. hah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 you spare another 25 miles this run is way better than 0z for you at least.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravenmaniac Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Northern trend. Luckily the heavier precip and the strength of the southern low should keep us mostly in snow. Looking at GFS it looks like taking 2/3 the total of the NAM is reasonable. Now, this is two sets of runs 6z/12z that have hit us pretty hard. Let's see if the Euro jumps on board at 12z. Obviously the 0z Euro was further south and actually a little slower with the development. If it changes, I could see us seeing special weather statements tonight and a winter storm watch popping up tomorrow afternoon. Ratios will probably be more in the 8-1 ratio with this storm, but hey we can't complain can we? It would be our only significant storm of the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I figured the bullseye would move north and we didn't need to worry about it being south. Now we have to look for the weenie bands on the edges. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 for the people on phones. Darkest purple is 2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 you spare another 25 miles Mitch, you're firmly in 1.25-1.5 contour. And 1.5+ knocking on the door. I think we all know where this is going..... MBY has been loving runs for days though. hah. For those of us stuck on phones, what are contours heading north? Sent from my DROIDX using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 im guessing baltimore would get close to what dc is gonna get, depending on rain snow line of course, still 1-2" of QPF is an amazing output Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Damn, ninja'd. Thanks chill. Sent from my DROIDX using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 about 1.7"? for DCA so now...0zEcmwfens/6ZGFS/6ZGEFS/12zNAM/12zGFS all say the euro is out to lunch.....we should see the euro come north in 2 hours...or at least take a NE job once it gets near the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Northern trend. Luckily the heavier precip and the strength of the southern low should keep us mostly in snow. Looking at GFS it looks like taking 2/3 the total of the NAM is reasonable. Now, this is two sets of runs 6z/12z that have hit us pretty hard. Let's see if the Euro jumps on board at 12z. Obviously the 0z Euro was further south and actually a little slower with the development. If it changes, I could see us seeing special weather statements tonight and a winter storm watch popping up tomorrow afternoon. Ratios will probably be more in the 8-1 ratio with this storm, but hey we can't complain can we? It would be our only significant storm of the winter. As progged by the GFS this would be a huge storm in any year. A foot+ of snow across the area in March is a big deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 about 1.7"? for DCA so now...0zEcmwfens/6ZGFS/6ZGEFS/12zNAM/12zGFS all say the euro is out to lunch.....we should see the euro come north in 2 hours...or at least take a NE job once it gets near the coast Euro is Dog Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Sweet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 The north trend statements are flawed. I just want to point that out one more time. SLP & ULL (give or take a little) have been locked into pretty much the same track with wobbles. The precip shield has expanded north because of intensification and the models are honing in on the deform band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 The banding potential is tremendous on this run for DC, from what I can tell. Back bent WF at H7 pivots overhead practically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I want to roadtrip this but I'm going to have to wait last second to find a spot, I gotta be far east enough to get the heavy snows yet far west enough to not have to worry about rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 The banding potential is tremendous on this run for DC, from what I can tell. Back bent WF at H7 pivots overhead practically. I'm scared to bring this up in case they run me out for excessive weenieism....but I can see +tssn potential in that band. Crazy look at h7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 The north trend statements are flawed. I just want to point that out one more time. SLP & ULL (give or take a little) have been locked into pretty much the same track with wobbles. The precip shield has expanded north because of intensification and the models are honing in on the deform band. north trend is classic weenie logic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 GFS is 30 consecutive hours of snow. Crazy at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I'm scared to bring this up in case they run me out for excessive weenieism....but I can see +tssn potential in that band. Crazy look at h7. Ther sounding for DCA at 15z was conditionally unstable looking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 The north trend statements are flawed. I just want to point that out one more time. SLP & ULL (give or take a little) have been locked into pretty much the same track with wobbles. The precip shield has expanded north because of intensification and the models are honing in on the deform band. there has actually been a north trend with the ULL and it is no longer getting shoved southeast....it is turning the corner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bjohnson102184 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 about 1.7"? for DCA so now...0zEcmwfens/6ZGFS/6ZGEFS/12zNAM/12zGFS all say the euro is out to lunch.....we should see the euro come north in 2 hours...or at least take a NE job once it gets near the coast Ukie disagrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 The banding potential is tremendous on this run for DC, from what I can tell. Back bent WF at H7 pivots overhead practically. Gonna have to ban you for pornographic posts like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Looks as if the winds should pick up as it winds up off the coast. Could we see close to blizzard type wind speed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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