buckeyefan1 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 12z NAM is holding on to the Canadian maritime vort longer than 6z, at least through 48 hrs, which is causing it to slow down the midwest vort a bit 09z and 12z nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 slightly slower evolution on the 12z vs. 6z thru 69 hrs guess we'll see where that takes us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 06z and 12z nam you've got the wrong map the 2 maps you have are 3 hrs. apart not 6 (9z vs. 12z) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 NAM absolutely destroys us. Too bad it's the end of the NAM run showing this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 in the end, 12z NAM looks lovely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 By 72 hrs it is kicking butt. 850s collaps as strong uvv gets going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 We got NAM'd. Hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 NAM looks pretty good to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 By 72 hrs it is kicking butt. 850s collaps as strong uvv gets going. Oh crap, Wes is excited Real deal coming folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 The NAM is pure porn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 in the end, 12z NAM looks lovely The 9z srefs and 12z nam look superb @ h5. But if the globals didn't look so good as well I would be distraught. There is rock solid consistency with the evolution of the ull. We're getting close to the time that nothing can take that part away from us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 in the end, 12z NAM looks lovely You were worried. I could tell. Known you for 12 years now...read you like a book. Its unfortunate though that it's the NAM. Like Wes said UVV's are just killer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 you've got the wrong map the 2 maps you have are 3 hrs. apart not 6 (9z vs. 12z) Sorry... edited times...at 3 hrs it's easier to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 NAM is a 09/10 bliz type storm, you pick which one you want Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 We got NAM'd. Hard. I was gonna put it in the banter thread, but yeah, that is the NAM being the NAM to the greatest extent possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 You were worried. I could tell. Known you for 12 years now...read you like a book. Its unfortunate though that it's the NAM. Like Wes said UVV's are just killer no more or less than any other weenie on this board man, this run went to exactly to what yesterday's SREF and NAM that were getting me excited were suggesting would happen and.....it's still coming down hard at 84 hrs!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 The NAM is pure porn. Like we knew it would. Maybe that can be the MA's equivalent to New England's AWT (As we thought)? LWKIW Heh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I was gonna put it in the banter thread, but yeah, that is the NAM being the NAM to the greatest extent possible. It's a best case scenario time 1.3 to 1.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 and still snowing at 84 hrs http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=nam&area=namer¶m=precip_ptot&cycle=12ℑ=nam%2F12%2Fnam_namer_084_precip_ptot.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Even outside reliable range, still cut qpf by 1/3 to 1/2? Seems like a perfect run relative to maxing out the potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 I'm to the point now where I don't even get excited when I see the NAM do this. If the GFS showed this, I'd still be on the floor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 DCA @ hr 63 when the light stuff arrives. Rain. DCA @ 69 when the deform band arrives. Snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Can the 540 thickness be correct? If so, let the good times roll. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 and still snowing at 84 hrs http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=nam&area=namer¶m=precip_ptot&cycle=12ℑ=nam%2F12%2Fnam_namer_084_precip_ptot.gif Prob would for another 6 hrs based off of h7 position and sim radar. Wow at NAM. But its at the end of its run, usefulness near zero even though its been like this for a few runs now. Hopefully GFS will agree to some extent and we can become more excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 DCA @ hr 63 when the light stuff arrives. Rain. namdca63.JPG DCA @ 69 when the deform band arrives. Snow. namdca69.JPG Is the diagonal line that extends upward at a 45 degree angle from 0 degrees Celsius the measurement of zero degrees celcius as you move upward through the column? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Last post I'll make about the nam but from hr 69-75 it's just an all out pummeling in DCA. All snow and .6+. Surface hovering between 32-34. WinWxLuvr gets absolutely destroyed beyond recognition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doplerdurite77 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Clown map looks like the kind of accumulations Wes spoke of back in either 58 or 62 when he took measurement in Annandale. Brick wall Wes please correct me if I'm wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Is the diagonal line that extends upward at a 45 degree angle from 0 degrees Celsius the measurement of zero degrees celcius as you move upward through the column? Yes, and you can see in that sounding that the only thing above freezing (and not by much) is the surface. It's interesting that the 6z gfs and nam both came in cooler at the surface. Especially when it matters. This is a very very important trend at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Last post I'll make about the nam but from hr 69-75 it's just an all out pummeling in DCA. All snow and .6+. Surface hovering between 32-34. WinWxLuvr gets absolutely destroyed beyond recognition. That sums up the NAM, DCA rised to around 34 during the day with S+. west of DC probably stays lower with S+ according to the NAM. now we wait for the big league models to come in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Clown map looks like the kind of accumulations Wes spoke of back in either 58 or 62 when he took measurement in Annandale. Brick wall Wes please correct me if I'm wrong Do you have a link to the clown maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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