mitchnick Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Why are you worrying about temps 90hrs out? I'm analyzing what the pretty colors on the maps mean, that's what I'm doing, and they don't necessarily mean snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Wait until the NAM gets a hold of this lol....If the GFS is showing 2-3" of QPF imagine the NAM. Bit OT but right now I am 75% sure I will make a roadtrip for this storm since it will be the last chance to see snow most likely this year.. What is a good spot in NW VA that has some elevation and does well usually? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Qpf is really getting insane. Euro/gfs are showing nam-like outputs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 It will be super annoying listening to the Baltimore weenies whine until 24 hours out when the models shift the heaviest snow axis to northern MD like always happens. Amen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 Weenies whining about something almost 90-96 hrs out?? Lots of time and shifts left. this right here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 What the heck is going on? Arguing like 40 miles on a global when a precip crushing covers everyone already. It's been borderline all the way. Everything has only gotten better. We're almost down to the details. Track is getting locked. Our entire area is in the bullseye and every single trend has gone our way. Sheesh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Man 1"+ QPF IMBY... Excited? Yes. Convinced? Not at all. We've got a loooong few days ahead of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Lots of wiggle room 90 hours out. At least we are tracking SOMETHING. Super tight window between 1" and 3"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 God forbid anyone not only highlight every single positive. It's ok Mitch.. Or cry about things that will change. This will only go so far north, but a 50 miles jog either way is very plausible. That will mean everything to Baltimore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 No real "north shift" is even required. I have no idea why anyone south the Mason-Dixon would whine about this run. It is mind-boggling to me. It's March in a marginal air mass and he isn't in elevation. Maybe others should try to stay grounded instead of chopping up the GFS and snorting it for a high, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Wait until the NAM gets a hold of this lol....If the GFS is showing 2-3" of QPF imagine the NAM. Bit OT but right now I am 75% sure I will make a roadtrip for this storm since it will be the last chance to see snow most likely this year.. What is a good spot in NW VA that has some elevation and does well usually? Go to CHO...They look to get destroyed. Or even out this way. We are gonna get hit hard as well and temps shouldnt be an issue out here either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 It will be super annoying listening to the Baltimore weenies whine until 24 hours out when the models shift the heaviest snow axis to northern MD like always happens.This x1000Mitch do u really want to be in the gfs bullseye 84 hours out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I'm worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 It's March in a marginal air mass and he isn't in elevation. Maybe others should try to stay grounded instead of chopping up the GFS and snorting it for a high, But it's purples! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Or cry about things that will change. This will only go so far north, but a 50 miles jog either way is very plausible. That will mean everything to Baltimore. I know you guys weenie 100% of the time up there but it's not usually easy to get a HECS here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Qpf is really getting insane. Euro/gfs are showing nam-like outputs. 2nd run in a row (or is it 3rd with the 12z?) showing copious amounts of QPF over the area. Kinda weird that the GFS/EURO/DGEX combo is showing this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 the problem is not me I am analyzing a model run I am the messenger I am not worrying, I am not predicting, I am not whining, I am discussing a wx model, including predicted temps if you folks can't handle that, not my problem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 The higher elevations are demolished. Anybody above 1K...congrats on a condo collapser. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I know you guys weenie 100% of the time up there but it's not usually easy to get a HECS here. Even if half of that GFS output is snow (.8" or so) we will all rejoice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 The NAM is going to require us to build a Ark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 wow CHO wow wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Looking at those snow maps, this looks like a VA only party. Too bad it's Sat night and not Tues night. My oh my, it's going to be a long 3 days. Overall though you have to love today's events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Here you go 4-8" will about do it for I95 on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 No real "north shift" is even required. I have no idea why anyone south the Mason-Dixon would whine about this run. It is mind-boggling to me. Agreed I think with the track now shown by most guidance the northern edge of the Ccb will bleed north a bit not because the storm really came north but just because usually the northern edge makes it a bit further then depicted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Even if the track does not budge odds are that the precip shield will expand slightly more than shown. I like where I sit on the mason dixon line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I know you guys weenie 100% of the time up there but it's not usually easy to get a HECS here. No one is asking for a HECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I know you guys weenie 100% of the time up there but it's not usually easy to get a HECS here. I don't think we disagree...I guess my point is to not worry too hard about specifics this far out since things can change in a hurry when it's marginal. I understand fully how tough it is to get a HECS there. You still have some issues to work out at H5 over New England and energy diving into this trough from the Plains too...nevermind where the deformation band sets up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 I'm going to bed. this forum is unreadable now. Getting caught up in QPF lines with 35 miles 84 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 2nd run in a row (or is it 3rd with the 12z?) showing copious amounts of QPF over the area. Kinda weird that the GFS/EURO/DGEX combo is showing this It means alot. We are in the NW quadrant of a significant storm. Its going to snow as depicted. And probably quite a bit. We are rightfully spooked and dont wanna jump. I wont till 0z tmrw but well modeled consistency w/ blocks to our north scream of a done deal in DC w/ a high qpf event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 ScreenShot071.jpg Here you go 4-8" will about do it for I95 on this run. thanks for proving my point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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