beanskip Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Still has the weak secondary over WV, but it's really weak. 1000 mb low about 100 miles west of CLT, just on the NC/SC line. Does it still have that double barrel look with a weak secondary dieing over WV, or are we talking more of a dominant coming out of GA/SC to near ILM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 For CLT it could light snow from 102 - 114. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Take it south central VA gets crushed again, area just west of Richmond with maybe SE VA cashing in late? Edit: thanks for the updates btw, about time to trade in my inaccupro for the SVista rapid update. Hopefully before the weekend is out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted March 2, 2013 Author Share Posted March 2, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 How does the blocking look compared to earlier runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Great news for NC. And VA of course! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Uh oh -- cliff jumper for MA/SNE -- heads SW SE!!!!! after moving offshore -- LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 franklin what would be the best track to keep us here in wnc in mostly snow. even if it starts as rain what would be the best track to quickly turn it over to snow for wnc for the duration of the storm? I'd like to see at least 4 inches out of this.it would really have to move south to get all snow. The only snow comes on the backside of the upper low. We want to be on the nw sidenof the upper low. Right now the models take it right over us so we don't see much moisture. Maybe it can become vertically stacked and most of the qpf will stay confined to directly under the upper low. See march of 09 for a vertically stacked upper low. What we need is the upper low to dig a little farther south and we can get on the heavy backside snow. Right now we get light snow and flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Hope it keeps coming south so southern central nc can get some snow just a 50 mile jog south would be game on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Uh oh -- cliff jumper for MA/SNE -- heads SW after moving offshore -- LOL. west or east, occluding inland lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted March 2, 2013 Author Share Posted March 2, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 I really like where I sit in SW VA with this one. Southern and C VA should cash in good too. I'm sure someone in NC will see some good snow as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Uh oh -- cliff jumper for MA/SNE -- heads SW after moving offshore -- LOL. SW? How far? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 LOL -- EAST!!!!! Sorry! west or east, occluding inland lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 it would really have to move south to get all snow. The only snow comes on the backside of the upper low. We want to be on the nw sidenof the upper low. Right now the models take it right over us so we don't see much moisture. Maybe it can become vertically stacked and most of the qpf will stay confined to directly under the upper low. See march of 09 for a vertically stacked upper low. What we need is the upper low to dig a little farther south and we can get on the heavy backside snow. Right now we get light snow and flurries. thanks franklin, seems like the trends so far today have been south so if this continues, maybe we'll be in luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 INT and GSO do very well, RDU is virtually all rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Wow STRAIGHT out to sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 H7 field largely misses NC, another VA special run, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 H7 field largely misses NC, another VA special run, I think the writing's on the wall with this one. Even south trends don't seem to be helping much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 I think the writing's on the wall with this one. Even south trends don't seem to be helping much. Agreed, I thought that run would end better for us, but it didn't, we have a pretty good model consensus now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 guys I think the block is stronger as the models are showing, think you'll keep seeing south trends, (HOPECASTING) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted March 2, 2013 Author Share Posted March 2, 2013 yeah, NC looks to get dry slotted at H7...but the good news is we still have another 24-48 hours to settle on an eventual track of all the relevant pieces (if not longer). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 yeah, NC looks to get dry slotted at H7...but the good news is we still have another 24-48 hours to settle on an eventual track of all the relevant pieces (if not longer). fellows isn't it true that you don't want to be in that sweet spot right now, a lot can happen, we're to far out still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nraleigh Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 I hate to say this, but I agree with JB and DT on this one. JB says storms usually correct north and this is a VA storm. DT says the same, a VA storm, he said RDU is just rain. Such a shame if they are right, to miss out on such a great opportunity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 WxSouth: http://www.facebook.com/WxSouth New European runs holds strong. The block in eastern Canada keeps New York and most of NJ safe from the storm, but helps to consolidate this powerhouse upper low travelling through NC during Wednesday. The surface low goes to 996 in Raleigh, placing northern NC and all of Virginia in heavy snow. It begins in southern VA, sw sections overnight Tuesday and spreads across the State, the southeast section is last to switch over, but it will. Same for most of eastern NC, esp. ne NC. Huge amounts of snow are shown along the NC/VA border northwest NC and especially Lynchburg, Roanoke Farmville Richmond to the coast, and very significant for areas in NC north of I-40, and not much further north than DC, Maryland. I'll have a video soon highlighting amounts and more detail at www.wxsouth.com for premium subscribers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Well that went down hill quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 I hate to say this, but I agree with JB and DT on this one. JB says storms usually correct north and this is a VA storm. DT says the same, a VA storm, he said RDU is just rain. Such a shame if they are right, to miss out on such a great opportunity. The real hope we RDUers have is the sampling tomorrow reveals a missed/wrong assumption and the models correct to the south. Unlikely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 For folks in the Piedmont, it does look to hit you very good... INT - 0.84" of snow, maybe a little less GSO - 0.90" of snow, maybe a little less as 850's are crashing so you probably lose a little of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted March 2, 2013 Author Share Posted March 2, 2013 I'm confused, Roberts says "very significant" for I-40 north everyone else says just rain for NC per the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 For folks in the Piedmont, it does look to hit you very good... INT - 0.84" of snow, maybe a little less GSO - 0.90" of snow, maybe a little less as 850's are crashing so you probably lose a little of this. So does RDU get mostly all rain with some backside changeover and then game over? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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