burgertime Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Further north @72...not as much energy in the NE...would not surprise me if this is north of the 6z when it gets to us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 A hair slower than 0z, ridge in NE Canada is stronger, two contours, with the 546 isohypse a nice guitar pic shape, extending down to the mouth of the Hudson Bay in Quebec... Should be a good run, maybe a little further south to account for the stronger block. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 The surface reflection is still not too bad I guess at 75 well see though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lee_Sidedryslot:-( Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 The differences between the GFS and the Euro at just 84 hours is amazing, the ULL must be 300 miles south on GFS. Granted they both eventually get to the same spot by day 4/5 which is good. Pack biggest difference to me besides the distance you mentioned is the western ridge which looks to be impacted by the next storm to come ashore. The Euro has what appears to be a larger piece of energy than the GFS and it is pushing the ridge not really any futher east, but higher I guess which forces our storm to travel furture. Very new to this, does that make sense? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 A hair slower than 0z, ridge in NE Canada is stronger, two contours, with the 546 isohypse a nice guitar pic shape, extending down to the mouth of the Hudson Bay in Quebec... Should be a good run, maybe a little further south to account for the stronger block. Looks like it's going to come a hair north to me compared to 6z...but @87 it's just enough north to probably make an impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Vortmax on the southern edge of the ULL goes from south-central AR at 0z to extreme eastern TN this run, same period, 0z on the 6th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 @93 it's def. north. 3 contour closed low with the center right over SW NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 @102 congrats VA. This wasn't a good run for NC IMO...could be wrong though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Hey Burger, so basically as long as that low slides under my area I should be good to go most likely as long as precip rates are coming down well. At 93 it looks awesome for my area as the low begins to take off strength wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Hey Burger, so basically as long as that low slides under my area I should be good to go most likely as long as precip rates are coming down well. At 93 it looks awesome for my area as the low begins to take off strength wise. Yep you wanna be on the NW side of that low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 It'll come further south as time goes along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Wow this thing is wound up as it's going off the coast. Enough to really give GSO some back side snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Hour 102 is absolutely awesome for Virginia!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Southern Track Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 NC/VA border says thank you 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Eastern VA just gets destroyed with snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted March 2, 2013 Author Share Posted March 2, 2013 southern third of VA is the big winner on this run so far. Still plenty of wiggle room. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Surface low goes from about CLT to Elizabeth City, 2-4 along 81 in VA, just north of the NC boarder Farmville down toward Danville get thumped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 southern third of VA is the big winner on this run so far. Still plenty of wiggle room. Just need a little shift south for NC to be the big winner and I think that will happen. I think you and I up into southern VA will be in a great spot. US1 to 85 up to VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 UK looks a tick south, looks to have LSP tracking over NC/SC border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Yep you wanna be on the NW side of that low.unless its like march of 09. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 I do have one question for someone with the knowledge will this storm be able to tap into the gulf to pull lots of moisture north or is it mostly going to have its own moisture without the gulf feed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Wish I could make a trip to VA...this is looking like a mighty storm for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nraleigh Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 I agree, I think when all is said and done, it will be a VA storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Just my guess by looking at the RGEM but I'll bet the CMC comes in further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 I do have one question for someone with the knowledge will this storm be able to tap into the gulf to pull lots of moisture north or is it mostly going to have its own moisture without the gulf feed? Nope not gonna happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted March 2, 2013 Author Share Posted March 2, 2013 Just need a little shift south for NC to be the big winner and I think that will happen. I think you and I up into southern VA will be in a great spot. US1 to 85 up to VA. Going to be a close call, for sure. If I lived right on the border, or just over the VA border, I would feel pretty good at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 I agree, I think when all is said and done, it will be a VA storm. Yep, I think the sweet spot is going to be between Richmond and NC/SC stateline, we are going to have to hope for some scraps, which in March probably won't work, we need to be under the deform band to get accumulating snow. Still time, it really needs to shift maybe 50 miles south, of course 50 miles north it clobbers the NoVA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Just need a little shift south for NC to be the big winner and I think that will happen. I think you and I up into southern VA will be in a great spot. US1 to 85 up to VA. it sounds like some of the models are starting to pick up on a shift south, guess time will tell, we need this thing to dig a little more just to the west of the apps before it comes east, hopefully across central sc. I don't think you want to be in the sweet spot right now, not close enough to the event, from past experience. maybe if your in the sweet spot sunday night or monday morning its probably game on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Yep, I think the sweet spot is going to be between Richmond and NC/SC stateline, we are going to have to hope for some scraps, which in March probably won't work, we need to be under the deform band to get accumulating snow. Still time, it really needs to shift maybe 50 miles south, of course 50 miles north it clobbers the NoVA. It's not going further north. If anything, it will shift further south. I really think northern Wake up 85 into VA will be in a good spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 GFS is definitely going with a VA event. Disaster for snow lovers in NC. The 850 low crosses the northern border counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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