famartin Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 Ray, you did a great job this week. When I see other people guessing at high totals and see you talking about a coating to 2 inches, I know to dial down my expectations. I know I would rather have a storm exceed my expectations than be let down. I don't understand why so many people seem to want to follow the guys who almost always erroneously predict the highest amount of snow. Is it some kind of adrenaline rush thing that I just don't understand? If one guy predicts 4" and another guy predicts 12" and you wind up with 6", wouldn't you be much more likely to put your trust next time in the guy who was only off by 2"? Yet it seems like the opposite is true in the land of the weather weenies. I busted low today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 I busted low today Live by the NAM die by the Nam, just kidding you are the voice of reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 By the way, since people were talking about the biggest busts, this one will always be the one I think of that let me down the most. Only time I ever remember Philly being under a PDS Tornado Watch. Even the local forecast on The Weather Channel was ominous that Sunday - the picture for that day's weather showed a large tornado and the text even said "destructive tornadoes possible." URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 358 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 150 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2003 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK CENTRAL AND EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA LAKE ONTARIO EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 150 PM UNTIL 700 PM EDT. ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION... DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER... THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HARRISBURG PENNSYLVANIA TO 15 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF WATERTOWN NEW YORK. REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. I remember that one -- that was a pretty bad bust as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 8, 2013 Share Posted March 8, 2013 This storm may not have panned out as well as expected for a lot of areas, especially for the first round, but I have to say that the analysis given by all the mets in this and other forums was exceptional and greatly appreciated. Great learning experience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted March 9, 2013 Share Posted March 9, 2013 Ray, you did a great job this week. When I see other people guessing at high totals and see you talking about a coating to 2 inches, I know to dial down my expectations. I know I would rather have a storm exceed my expectations than be let down. I don't understand why so many people seem to want to follow the guys who almost always erroneously predict the highest amount of snow. Is it some kind of adrenaline rush thing that I just don't understand? If one guy predicts 4" and another guy predicts 12" and you wind up with 6", wouldn't you be much more likely to put your trust next time in the guy who was only off by 2"? Yet it seems like the opposite is true in the land of the weather weenies. This is the one thing I have taken from the last two crappy winters overall and it has kept my sanity in check because of it. That and the NAM is a college student that drank to much 4loko. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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