RedSky Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 The good news is it is march and spring and i could care less that my 1-3" didn't materialize. Sounds like it went badly in DC land? What stumps me is how both ecm and gfs overdid qpf there was no way to win with this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 The good news is it is march and spring and i could care less that my 1-3" didn't materialize. Sounds like it went badly in DC land? What stumps me is how both ecm and gfs overdid qpf there was no way to win with this one They did overdo it, but seem to generally have been superior to the competition. In fact, from my recollection of how guidance looked overall, taking a GFS/EC blend and NOT believing the dynamical cooling potential would get you another few degrees would've won in many areas snow-wise. If you assumed it would not be sticking if the model surface temps were 34, then you would be hard pressed to forecast much snow at DCA. Might've still been overdone but it wouldn't have been a big bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 I dare to ask, but anyone want to venture on Thursday night possibilities? NAM overdoing precip i suspect, what about Euro? Looks more of a north and east event for our CWA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 sooooo.... whatever is a Mike2010 sock? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 EC does have precip too and all models show a BL which is (shockingly) actually cold enough to support it. At this point my suspicions are that at least northeastern areas will see more snow with that than they will see tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted March 7, 2013 Author Share Posted March 7, 2013 I dare to ask, but anyone want to venture on Thursday night possibilities? NAM overdoing precip i suspect, what about Euro? Looks more of a north and east event for our CWA Yea as of now i would lean towards northern and northeast jersey maybe down to ttn. I think everyone will see some snow showers or what not but the meaningful stuff should be up that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 I think the evidence above speaks for itself. She trashed the Philly forum for a really poor reason. It's ok to beat up on me for my stupid comment...I'm not perfect. That said, I don't think she did herself any favors by trashing a pretty good group of mods who aren't really that strict but do believe in quality over quantity. If you prefer a group that thinks the NAM computer model is all that and thinks that there are going to be "two storms" from the coastal, there are other subforums that may be better suited for those who like that. That type of stuff isn't welcome in this subforum by the mods...and it makes for that high standard. Trashing that by saying "I guess my post is getting deleted" and other crap isn't going to do anyone any favors. You have my support. I constantly brag about this sub-forum in the staff forum because of how much we have improved since the "how much for Philly" days of WWBB and Eastern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 EC does have precip too and all models show a BL which is (shockingly) actually cold enough to support it. At this point my suspicions are that at least northeastern areas will see more snow with that than they will see tonight. Yea as of now i would lean towards northern and northeast jersey maybe down to ttn. I think everyone will see some snow showers or what not but the meaningful stuff should be up that way. thanks guys. I know we're all scarred from today, hopefully tomorrow's not a rerun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 The regulars on here all did a fantastic job. Ray's NAM graphic was more accurate than anything! Remember in the longer ranges when some certain mets were comparing this week to 1993 and 1960? Major LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 From mt holly regarding their latest snow map and the norlun "Yes, this does not include the Thursday night, Friday morning wrap-around. Looks like 1 to 4 inches northeast of a line from Lehighton-Allentown-Doylestown-Toms river. The Thursday night precipitation should not have temperature concerns (like today). There its more of a question as to how much precip wraps around." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 The regulars on here all did a fantastic job. Ray's NAM graphic was more accurate than anything! Remember in the longer ranges when some certain mets were comparing this week to 1993 and 1960? Major LOL Can't wait to see that certain met claim victory because of the pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 He got the upper air pattern right! I take this sub-forum very personally. If someone bashes ths sub-forum they bash me. That's why I'm as defensive as I am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Can't wait to see that certain met claim victory because of the pattern coldest since 1996!!11!!! (/hypemonger) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Wow, I just looked at the 18z NAM for tomorrow night and literally spat out laughing. We really do need to fix this model, it was sooooo much better just two years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 sooooo.... whatever is a Mike2010 sock? Gotta be, he pulled this I'm a girl crap the last sock he used, and he's riding the NAM like usual. He should really try to make it less obvious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Man Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 I feel bad for dca crew. It takes years to get over a bust like that. I get chills just thinking about it. I was down there (DC) today for a business meeting. It was snowing hard this morning but it didn't even accumulate on the grass. I told everyone about the BL and marginall cold air issues. Everyone thought I was smart.....LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 sooooo.... whatever is a Mike2010 sock?IP is static and unique. Beyond that, I can't tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Gotta be, he pulled this I'm a girl crap the last sock he used, and he's riding the NAM like usual. He should really try to make it less obvious. Whatever's reporting station needs a grill with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Lets have a laugh shall we? Hey ray thanks, I bought tapatalk! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Not looking good. This Sunday we gain an hour of daylight which is going to make it even more difficult for it to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted March 7, 2013 Author Share Posted March 7, 2013 might as well add this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Gotta be, he pulled this I'm a girl crap the last sock he used, and he's riding the NAM like usual. He should really try to make it less obvious. funny that he's degraded at the same rate as the NAM. He, too, used to be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Not looking good. This Sunday we gain an hour of daylight which is going to make it even more difficult for it to snow. You wouldn't believe how many people I get with this line every year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 So is this the thread where I should put the NAM Sim Radar for the trough tomorrow night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Gotta be, he pulled this I'm a girl crap the last sock he used, and he's riding the NAM like usual. He should really try to make it less obvious. funny that he's degraded at the same rate as the NAM. He, too, used to be good. Eh, I disagree, the only good thing was his grill pics, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 might as well add this one lol. You gotta love Walter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 yeah i do miss those grill pic's but thats about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Eh, I disagree, the only good thing was his grill pics, lol. yeah i do miss those grill pic's but thats about it. Was he the one who used to berate Mount Holly about not issuing Freezing Rain Advisories for his elevation? Yeah maybe he wasn't that great after all... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 Was he the one who used to berate Mount Holly about not issuing Freezing Rain Advisories for his elevation? Yeah maybe he wasn't that great after all... Mike2010? Yeah I think so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted March 7, 2013 Share Posted March 7, 2013 This describes the snow aspect of this storm :facepalm:. , Even thinking the NAM/SREF had some indication of being on the right track send me down the wrong way. I'll be out of town for DLOC training next week, might not be on the boards much till I get back. Coastal flooding and high winds were high impact though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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