cyclone77 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Party at Mt. Geos. I'll bring the beers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Geos/SE WI/Turtle jackpot. Congrats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Huh? GFS 030112z.gif GFS 030212z.gif Relatively speaking. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Geos/SE WI/Turtle jackpot. Congrats. 3:3 0z NAM total QPF.gif most of Chi metro still gets .75"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Consistency my a**. The 12z run had 2-4" of snow here. This run is all rain. Not for Laf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 For MBY, I'm more concerned about the NAM trend than the exact solution. Still time to change but I'm a lot more nervous than if we were talking about the NAM at 84 hours. Two words. Rough draft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 ImageUploadedByTapatalk1362279175.491686.jpg Ouch! That is a major shift north from the 18z run. Storm cancel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Party at Mt. Geos. I'll bring the beers. Ok, I'm up for a party! Everyone can take as much snow as they can carry/haul away! --- But yeah I wonder if the NAM is too far north. Couple jackpot spots of 14"+ over Brewers, BowMe, and Lake Geneva, WI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 RC was right. Wagons north. Congrats once again to Mt. Geos. It's the NAM, it might have been right with the last storm, but it's worth it to wait for the other 0z guidance before jumping off the cliff if you live in Lafayette or other parts of Indiana and Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 As far as the consistency thing, I honestly think it depends on your location. The models can be more different for a different location due to the differing angles of the heavy band run to run. Makes many of us, including myself sometimes to see models performance relative to a location differently. Hope that made sense lol. Geos, you need to run down to the Home Depot tomorrow and buy a yard stick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 Except it's got consistency, and the GFS moved north. Where's the facepalm when I need it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 It's the NAM, it might have been right with the last storm, but it's worth it to wait for the other 0z guidance before jumping off the cliff if you live in Lafayette or other parts of Indiana and Ohio. Enjoy your snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 For MBY, I'm more concerned about the NAM trend than the exact solution. Still time to change but I'm a lot more nervous than if we were talking about the NAM at 84 hours. Correct, the NAM wasn't the only model to shift North today and the trend has been ongoing for about 24 hours now of slight nudges North every run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I really shouldn't be shocked...as I've been beating the LAF isn't get much of anything drum. But reality sucks sometimes. Anyway, it'll be interesting to see how far north this thing really goes...if it does. N IL, S WI, S MI, N IN still in line for a good one I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 It's the NAM, it might have been right with the last storm, but it's worth it to wait for the other 0z guidance before jumping off the cliff if you live in Lafayette or other parts of Indiana and Ohio. Welcome Back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 One thing to note though, this can only shift so far North, with the strong blocking. There is a limitation to the Northward trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Proper measuring is checking (and clearing) the board at 7 AM, 1 PM, 7 PM, and 1 AM. That's the probable reason for the 4" Midway snowfall. However, anything that falls and melts in between is not counted. Most people check as soon as the snow lets up and reports it, thus higher amounts than the 'official' measurement. That really makes ORD/Harwood Heights measurements seem strange. In all due respect I disagree with this. Speaking with some hydrologists at Mall of America during government days, the proper way way to measure snowfall on your board is to do it every 6 hrs after the start of the event to the end. Of course if you want to record daily snowfall you should always take a measurement at midnight, but during a event, don't clean your board unless it's close to the 6hr interval. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Enjoy your snow. Out of you and Alek, who is the long snapper and who is the punter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Watch as the 06z NAM shifts the snow only to central MN and central WI into MI while IA,IL,IN gets NADA. Sometimes these strong hybrid clippers have brutal cutoffs on the southwestern edge, so it's definitely something we'll have to watch. The Dec 3 2010 was like that, but just northeast of that cutoff were the best amounts for the storm. Gonna be interesting to be sure... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Shift that snow axis 75 miles north so Wyandotte gets crushed and you have a winner with the 12z NAM. Was there ever any doubt? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Feeling this one for LAF. EURO looks like quite the spanking. Was there ever any doubt? Must have been. Thanks for the LAF sentiments though. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Geos, you need to run down to the Home Depot tomorrow and buy a yard stick. I got one around here someplace. Going to need a that to measure the overall snow depth! Having snow piles into April is looking likely at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Out of you and Alek, who is the long snapper and who is the punter? You fail to realize i'm actually optimisic about this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Disregard my last post (which I have deleted) since I forgot that there was a strong high in Canada that will prevent this thing from shifting ever more north. But still, did the 0z NAM take into account that strong blocking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Looking forward to Alek's reaction. Might have to shift from concerns over a miss to the south to beating the mixing drum/north trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 You fail to realize i'm actually optimisic about this one. I'm just giving you a hard time lol I owe you after most of the winter Optimistic thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 You fail to realize i'm actually optimisic about this one. Uh oh. Don't blame you though. Looking good up there. Question is...how will Alek spin his south miss call now? Or will he start putting out the all rain caution flags? Decisions, decisions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Looking forward to Alek's reaction. Might have to shift from concerns over a miss to the south to beating the mixing drum/north trend. Dry slot/lower ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Must have been. Thanks for the LAF sentiments though. Oh well. Sorry. I was in pom-pom and mini skirt role for LAF. If it makes you feel any better, I have a 0.1% chance of seeing a flake from this storm. You've easily got 100-200x more of a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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