A-L-E-K Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 awesome looking winter cell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Updated LOT graphic... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Boy just a little north and I get dumped on These GFS runs are looking pretty good for Toledo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 18z GFS drops 1.00"+ liquid at DPA/ORD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Gefs mean jackpot alek and Chicago crew at hr 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 We've seen some cutters with less QPF in the cold sector. Very impressive hybrid clipper system we have here. Gotta love these early spring systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 18zgfsensemblep72084.gif Looks great for you guys. Hopefully it holds steady Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 18zgfsensemblep72084.gif Hopefully the 00z runs come back a little further north/ne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Hopefully the 00z runs come back a little further north/ne. Yeah, many of us only need 60 miles, would think that kind of shift would be doable. Looks like a cutoff low about a week after this, so this may be our last major shot of snow in this subforum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 18zgfsensemblep72084.gif GEFS has been surprisingly consistent with bullish amounts in northern Illinois. Good to see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 GEFS has been surprisingly consistent with bullish amounts in northern Illinois. Good to see... agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Last three runs of the NAM (6z being first) showing southward trend in dry slot over those runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Last three runs of the NAM (6z being first) showing southward trend in dry slot over those runs. nice illustration Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Yeah, many of us only need 60 miles, would think that kind of shift would be doable. Looks like a cutoff low about a week after this, so this may be our last major shot of snow in this subforum. It is doable but ala we have a blocker of sorts to our east/ne. We need a stronger UL system and or one developing a bit quicker and or for the block to slide east/ene a bit more. NOT much but just a little. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 At least no sleet! For a last blast of winter I want snow and not freezing rain here in Michiana. Yet a mix of snow and sleet is presently in my point forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Yeah, many of us only need 60 miles, would think that kind of shift would be doable. Looks like a cutoff low about a week after this, so this may be our last major shot of snow in this subforum. 100% disagree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 For a last blast of winter I want snow and not freezing rain here in Michiana. Yet a mix of snow and sleet is presently in my point forecast. You look like the jackpot zone to me and or very close to it. Thus you should do well and freezing rain/sleet would be the last of my concerns there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 LOT really banging the drums for this one. 4-8 in my point forecast just for Tuesday day alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Lets hope the models don't bust as bad as they did on March 4-6 2001 on the East Coast. That was an almost non-event for New York, expected to be Storm of the (21st) Century. It was a cold day in Michigan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Indy is bullish... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Cheryl Scott on NBC5 Chicago, while nice to look at, really has no clue. She just said since the trend has been northward today,Chicagoland will only receive 3 inches or so in many areas. Way to read the teleprompter, babe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Not sure what model this is from, but this is DVN's map off their fb page. Has 10" for Hawkeye, 8" here. Over a foot northeast Iowa. Looks a little too dry for northeast IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 100% disagree Emphasis on major, and I was talking about a nice spread the wealth system like this looks to be. Obviously threading the needle on a system is possible if not likely in parts of the GL from mid-March through much of April, but hard to expect or predict it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Looking like we get into a more favorable and deep DGZ during the afternoon/evening on Tuesday as colder air aloft moves in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Lets hope the models don't bust as bad as they did on March 4-6 2001 on the East Coast. That was an almost non-event for New York, expected to be Storm of the (21st) Century. It was a cold day in Michigan. lol, this storm isn't even in the neighborhood of that one. But, greatest bust I've ever seen for a forecasted historic/biblical storm. WWBB was a riot. Though, parts of New England did very well in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Man, Haven't followed this storm too closely over the weekend. Was quite excited to see the SREF, NAM, and GFS ... then I took a look at the Euro which shows basically nothing for northern Ohio. Definitely a bad sign locally when the Euro is the model that shows the least amount of snow. Without going back and reading this entire thread, has the Euro been locked into a track, trending, wobbling? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 lol, this storm isn't even in the neighborhood of that one. But, greatest bust I've ever seen for a forecasted historic/biblical storm. WWBB was a riot. Though, parts of New England did very well in the end. Yeah, the WWBB meltdowns were something. I think that was the first time I had seen a meltdown due to weather. Totals ramped up very quickly east of NYC IIRC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Geos is likely to have a tremendous snowpack after this one (not inconceivable to have 18-20") it will take some warm temps to melt that crusted pack. Surely it will melt, but enough of the sun's energy will be required to melt it that the warmup expected will be muted initially in this part of the Midwest I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Yeah, the WWBB meltdowns were something. I think that was the first time I had seen a meltdown due to weather. Totals ramped up very quickly east of NYC IIRC. And that was with a fraction of the membership we have today. Wasn't there something like 18-36" forecasted for DC up to BOS? It was something crazy like that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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