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March 4-6 Winter Storm


snowlover2

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reading through the thread its sounds like all the models been struggling.  NAM way north bias was obvious.

Other than the first run or two at fantasy 84hr range, it has had the general overall right idea.

 

North has always been the way to go.

 

ECMWF will be late to the game.

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reading through the thread its sounds like all the models been struggling.  NAM way north bias was obvious.

Enjoy your foot..

post-1662-0-87299600-1362342836_thumb.pn

 

lol even with a hair south shift this run we're golden.

If GFS stays as solid as the 12Z i'm going to toss the drier and S. Euro runs..

Other than the first run or two at fantasy 84hr range, it has had the general overall right idea.

 

North has always been the way to go.

 

ECMWF will be late to the game.

+100000
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Other than the first run or two at fantasy 84hr range, it has had the general overall right idea.

 

North has always been the way to go.

 

ECMWF will be late to the game.

 

 

I like when the NAM is a useable model not just inside 24 hrs..   Hasn't been for a long while.

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IIRC this was about the time that the Euro bailed on a southern solution with the solstice storm. I could see it come north on future runs but good luck with getting it to look like the NAM.

Time to bail on the Euro. It's clearly out to lunch with this one.

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Enjoy your foot..

attachicon.gifNam weenie.png

 

lol even with a hair south shift this run we're golden.

If GFS stays as solid as the 12Z i'm going to toss the drier and S. Euro runs..+100000

 I'd be a lot more gung ho if the euro and NAM were close and leading the way like last storm here.   I'm going to be all WiscWx with this one until the euro gets on board half ass.

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WIZ051-052-059-060-065-066-071-072-040445-  

/O.EXB.KMKX.WS.A.0005.130305T0900Z-130306T0400Z/  

FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-  

RACINE-KENOSHA-  

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FOND DU LAC...SHEBOYGAN...WEST BEND...   PORT WASHINGTON...WAUKESHA...BROOKFIELD...MILWAUKEE...RACINE...   KENOSHA   239 PM CST SUN MAR 3 2013  

 

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH  

TUESDAY EVENING...  

 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN HAS ISSUED A  

WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT  

THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.  

 

* TIMING...LIGHT SNOW MAY DEVELOP MONDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING BUT  

WILL BECOME HEAVIER BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. MODERATE TO HEAVY  

SNOW IS THEN POSSIBLE TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY EVENING. LAKE  

ENHANCED SNOW MAY CONTRIBUTE TO HEAVIER SNOW TOTALS IN FAR  

EASTERN WISCONSIN. SNOWFALL RATES WILL VARY...BUT COULD REACH  

ONE INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES.  

 

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 11 INCHES BY TUESDAY EVENING.  

 

* WINDS...NORTHEAST TO NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO  

25 MPH WILL CAUSE BLOWING SNOW TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  

 

* IMPACTS...PLAN ON HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY LATE  

MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY EVENING.  

 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  

 

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT  

SNOW ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR  

THE LATEST FORECASTS.  

 

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I think I'm gonna wait until the 00z runs before I get excited but definitely liking the trends. Looks like NAM has halted it's north trend and shifted back south a tad so i'm guessing we'll start to see some better consensus among the models tonight.

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