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March 4-6 Winter Storm


snowlover2

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Models, for now, seem to be converging on eastern Iowa for the best snow.  NAM has come south, GFS a bit north, both juiced up more than ever.  The Euro continues to be weaker and less organized, but it's an outlier.  It's too bad it's still 60+ hours away... too much time for the track/strength to change for the worse.

 

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I like this event for areas in northeastern Iowa down through north central Illinois and down through LAF. This has potent northern stream written all over it, and we've seen how many times this type of solution has verified in this northern stream dominated winter. My guess is that the sweet spot will be somewhere in Iowa, although I don't know to what extent. The NAM and GFS are probably way too wet, but I like their idea of who wins and who loses. For now, I'm going to go with a NAM/GFS blend, shaving QPF in half.

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