Ian Posted March 28, 2013 Share Posted March 28, 2013 All those yrs are decent for chasing. 58 low numbers but its 58. Violent tor outbreak in early June. I loves you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 28, 2013 Share Posted March 28, 2013 All those yrs are decent for chasing. 58 low numbers but its 58. Violent tor outbreak in early June. I loves you guys. How were 47/69/97? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 28, 2013 Share Posted March 28, 2013 How were 47/69/97? 47 is pre modern record (1950). 69 kinda meh. 97 pretty solid. Looks like 4 of 6 yrs have violent tor in the time frame we are going which is getting on the late side. 97 was Jarrell F5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 28, 2013 Share Posted March 28, 2013 All those yrs are decent for chasing. 58 low numbers but its 58. Violent tor outbreak in early June. I loves you guys. I would think logically that late April severe should be pretty good. I'm sure you are thinking the same. Pretty big vortex of cold air in CAN will try to flex at times in the middle of the country creating some pretty strong temp and humidity gradients. That plus what seems to be a pretty active stream of shortwaves hitting the west coast and central rockies should set the stage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 28, 2013 Share Posted March 28, 2013 I would think logically that late April severe should be pretty good. I'm sure you are thinking the same. Pretty big vortex of cold air in CAN will try to flex at times in the middle of the country creating some pretty strong temp and humidity gradients. That plus what seems to be a pretty active stream of shortwaves hitting the west coast and central rockies should set the stage. I didn't look at April but I would think once the pattern breaks down a bit something big could happen. Signs seem good at this pt for a solid peak season overall... But I might just be weenieing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 28, 2013 Share Posted March 28, 2013 I didn't look at April but I would think once the pattern breaks down a bit something big could happen. Signs seem good at this pt for a solid peak season overall... But I might just be weenieing.I obviously don't know much about severe but I know some generalities. Especially closed lows coming out of CO. It looks pretty ripe IMO. Looks to be a solid April snow season in the CO rockies and that should translate well for your focus in the middle of the country. I know CO snow climo very well and they are finally getting what they've been chasing for 2 years now. April can be very snowy even as the resorts close because of lack of business. Part WAG and part educated guess but I think there could be a series of closed ull lows forming in the lee of the rockies as shortwaves traverse the mountains during April. We'll see how things are lookin as the uber block relaxes late next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 28, 2013 Share Posted March 28, 2013 from the other thread Since 1945, there have been 2 months where we did not have a 70 degree reading in either February or March 1958 - No 70 degree reading from November 20th to April 13th 1993 - No 70 degree reading from November 24th to April 14th Can we get to April 15th? 1958 had a very warm April 15-30...1962 was coolish until 4/20 and then we blazed the last 10 days (pun intended)....1993 was cool/cold wire to wire '58 is also the only March since DCA moved that the temperature didn't hit 65°. We will match that feat this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 28, 2013 Share Posted March 28, 2013 Not a perfect match out west but sure looks good on the EC and HL's March 1958 March 2013 through the 26th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 28, 2013 Share Posted March 28, 2013 damn. 1st have of Apr 1958 was pretty sick in the blocking department: Second half broke down and centered the low heights in central canada with ec ridging. I have no idea about the second half of apr that year but looking @ h5 it seems that it would have had some pretty good outbreaks in the middle of the country. I kind of envision a period of april 2013 looking somewhat similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 28, 2013 Share Posted March 28, 2013 A little warmth in 12z GFS fantasy range, but the GEFS are normal or below normal throughout the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 28, 2013 Author Share Posted March 28, 2013 Haha, I guess everyone is going to ignore the Monday night time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 28, 2013 Share Posted March 28, 2013 Haha, I guess everyone is going to ignore the Monday night time frame. ALL IN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 28, 2013 Share Posted March 28, 2013 Haha, I guess everyone is going to ignore the Monday night time frame. 18z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 28, 2013 Author Share Posted March 28, 2013 LOL, will it ever end? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 28, 2013 Author Share Posted March 28, 2013 18z GFS The 18z GFS, the 18z DGEX (insert laughter here), and the 12z Euro which shows precip and 850's at -5c. Oh yeah! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 28, 2013 Author Share Posted March 28, 2013 I can't believe Bob hasn't lasered up on this puppy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 28, 2013 Share Posted March 28, 2013 GFS like perfect scenario here prob. Euro is slower/drier/daytimer. I mean.. it's possible I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 28, 2013 Share Posted March 28, 2013 No one understands we need to play ball. It's gonna flip and this will all go away. Where is Bob anyway? Geez. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 28, 2013 Share Posted March 28, 2013 I'm out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 28, 2013 Share Posted March 28, 2013 I'm out GFS like perfect scenario here prob. Euro is slower/drier/daytimer. I mean.. it's possible I guess. Hush. You cancelled winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted March 28, 2013 Share Posted March 28, 2013 I'm out Tell us something we didn't know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 28, 2013 Share Posted March 28, 2013 I'm out Your like a crack addict, you say you are out but your never really out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 28, 2013 Share Posted March 28, 2013 Tell us something we didn't know. Well played. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 28, 2013 Share Posted March 28, 2013 Hush. You cancelled winter. Last time we got a snow so good into the city in late Mar was 1990. A tiny bit more fell in April in the city. Our last three accum came on the 7th tho so it's maybe a false signal. . No 1"+ storms since 1924 so I'd be kinda bearish. Could be a fun target though.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 28, 2013 Author Share Posted March 28, 2013 I'm out Please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 28, 2013 Share Posted March 28, 2013 heh, I've been watching. Let's be honest with ourselves here. April snow requires luck,timing, perfection, and everything else that you can think of. I'll have little to say until we're inside of 84 at least. Prob more like 72. A bird fart can screw this one up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 28, 2013 Share Posted March 28, 2013 Dulles got 4" in1990 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 28, 2013 Share Posted March 28, 2013 heh, I've been watching. Let's be honest with ourselves here. April snow requires luck,timing, perfection, and everything else that you can think of. I'll have little to say until we're inside of 84 at least. Prob more like 72. A bird fart can screw this one up. I'm in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 28, 2013 Share Posted March 28, 2013 Dulles got 4" in1990 What date?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 28, 2013 Share Posted March 28, 2013 I'm in Well, start texting me at 3am when we're inside of 90. I'm in....between Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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